Muted-Ribbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-30 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$4

Sports

25% 50% +$8

Other

11% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$557	280	280	+0	open	—	02-02 08:16
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$313	157	157	+0	open	—	01-26 03:56
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$292	146	146	+0	open	—	02-03 07:29
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$284	142	142	+0	open	—	01-27 05:53
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$277	139	139	+0	open	—	01-27 06:23
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$277	139	139	+0	open	—	01-27 06:43
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$273	137	137	+0	open	—	02-13 09:12
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$273	136	136	+0	open	—	02-13 09:39
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	02-09 11:29
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$267	134	134	+0	open	—	03-02 11:44
will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	2	$252	127	127	+0	open	—	03-17 06:41
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$250	130	130	+0	open	—	03-07 07:11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	2	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	04-26 06:52
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	03-27 11:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	2	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	04-26 07:14
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$245	124	124	+0	No	$-0	03-27 12:05
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	04-21 07:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	04-12 04:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	04-12 05:10
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$227	114	114	+0	open	—	04-05 05:06
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$226	113	113	+0	open	—	04-05 05:25
bitcoin above 84k on february 3	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	02-03 07:36
bitcoin above 94k on january 21	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	01-21 06:26
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$137	138	0	+138	open	—	01-27 06:46
bitcoin above 60k on february 12	1	$136	137	0	+137	open	—	02-12 12:23
ethereum above 1600 on february 11	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-11 09:46
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 13	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-13 09:43
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-10 12:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 9	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-09 12:07
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-02 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 09:59:22	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x44bfbb…
06-30 09:57:41	will bnb dip to 400 in june	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x7f3203…
05-31 04:30:52	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x73359f…
05-30 10:37:56	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x66cc77…
05-29 09:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x411900…
05-28 11:36:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xa11579…
05-28 09:41:23	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0xbe1d79…
05-28 09:38:47	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x769061…
05-27 06:25:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xd6b21b…
05-27 06:22:22	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x2b957e…
05-26 07:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x8ce6c7…
05-26 07:44:38	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs	Iowa Stormboar	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb3d26f…
05-25 03:30:52	Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x2f89da…
05-24 10:57:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x5b4a0e…
05-23 12:45:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x9264e3…
05-20 12:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x1b4e9f…
05-19 11:22:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x505697…
05-17 08:37:10	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xbb0c6e…
05-15 08:14:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xfa6a3d…
05-14 07:05:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xc447c9…
05-13 13:01:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xf7ea16…
05-12 10:41:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$128	0xc1a8e3…
05-11 04:36:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0xafc998…
05-10 06:10:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xfd369d…
05-09 08:06:09	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x27f5b2…
05-08 05:23:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe43bb2…
05-08 05:20:25	Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs	BET-M 33	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x4c16ac…
05-05 03:37:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0xd1f769…
05-04 08:08:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x1480c6…
05-03 07:37:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x8c3a2b…
04-30 10:08:14	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x191bb0…
04-28 09:08:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x71c88a…
04-27 08:23:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0xd0c477…
04-27 08:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	746	1¢	$4	0x8021df…
04-27 06:19:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$3	0x4f5c02…
04-27 06:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xdc9174…
04-27 06:17:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$3	0xa0d5e6…
04-26 07:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x775f95…
04-26 07:14:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x8cf567…
04-26 06:52:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x93a36e…
04-26 06:52:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x9a7a69…
04-26 06:11:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x8b0d3d…
04-25 06:17:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xe301af…
04-25 05:35:02	Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x6d7fe1…
04-24 11:46:04	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xd35404…
04-24 10:26:34	Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x6b2a75…
04-23 09:24:10	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 30c	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x9da0ac…
04-23 08:00:42	lol fly sen 2026 04 23	Sentinels	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x4a44e4…
04-22 09:49:16	ethereum above 2600 on april 22	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xae5464…
04-21 07:07:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc71e1a…
04-21 07:05:18	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xdb33f2…
04-21 06:49:30	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x5bbb5c…
04-20 08:03:36	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb6f466…
04-19 09:41:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 19	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x81482b…
04-19 08:56:22	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x8a555f…
04-17 04:21:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xc13bcc…
04-16 09:36:32	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	No	BUY	770	0¢	$2	0x206ce3…
04-16 09:34:34	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	655	0¢	$1	0xbed43d…
04-15 12:51:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 15	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x947ec1…
04-14 12:06:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x20614d…
04-13 10:00:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 13	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x948407…
04-12 05:12:55	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x8a6082…
04-12 05:10:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xebafa7…
04-12 04:53:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xec1fe7…
04-12 04:52:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x61c049…
04-12 03:42:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x6bd78c…
04-12 03:37:57	nba chi dal 2026 04 12	Bulls	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x3a4639…
04-11 11:32:25	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xc41c43…
04-11 10:02:57	ufc cha29 fra10 2026 04 11	Francisco Prado	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x151559…
04-10 12:04:21	ethereum above 2000 on april 10	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x6caff8…
04-09 05:45:17	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 9	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xba6bb4…
04-08 09:50:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4bd380…
04-08 09:29:41	lol sge ewi 2026 04 08	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xf8fa90…
04-07 08:21:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4c26c7…
04-07 07:57:37	nba sac gsw 2026 04 07	Warriors	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x90d60b…
04-05 05:28:49	ethereum above 1800 on april 5	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xe01deb…
04-05 05:25:23	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xd9b767…
04-05 05:08:57	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x30e15d…
04-05 05:06:29	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0xca89ef…
04-05 04:49:15	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0x468215…
04-04 10:59:27	bitcoin above 72k on april 4	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x33d5ba…
04-03 05:26:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 3	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xc185e9…
04-02 05:13:27	ethereum above 1700 on april 2	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x2d7067…
03-31 11:39:21	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x466bc5…
03-30 04:32:36	ethereum above 1600 on march 30	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x3ea5c4…
03-29 08:25:02	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb539de…
03-29 07:57:18	nba orl tor 2026 03 29	Magic	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x673446…
03-28 06:33:57	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x842750…
03-28 06:27:55	ufc bru15 ale57 2026 03 28	Bruna Brasil	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x0a370f…
03-27 12:08:29	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 27	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xf4dd5e…
03-27 12:06:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	No	BUY	676	0¢	$2	0xd61cd3…
03-27 12:05:03	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xd94cbb…
03-27 11:23:07	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xa97be5…
03-27 11:21:33	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x32bb13…
03-27 11:06:51	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x30974d…
03-26 12:14:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 26	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x18d50f…
03-25 11:08:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 25	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x00b336…
03-24 12:32:07	solana above 100 on march 24	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x7b7817…
03-22 11:23:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 22	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x6e15b2…
03-21 05:50:35	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$1	0x629183…