Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$952
$1,377 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$22,203
Latest YES mid
94¢
Latest NO mid
6¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 05:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $579 | — | +$579 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $342 | $15 | +$327 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 4 | $275 | — | +$275 |
| Below median | 5 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $579 | — | +$579 |
| unranked | 6 | $49 | $14 | +$35 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +624 | $579 | $579 | 5 | 05-10 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | +246 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Another-Countryside 0x9774…f6a5 | No | +184 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 21:43 |
| Well-Worn-Headquarters 0x44f5…ea4b | Yes | +46 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Hilarious-Explanation 0x00ec…687f | Yes | +35 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-09 05:14 |
| Clever-Insurance 0xe72b…b1b9 | No | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e42…f5c5 | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-08 05:19 |
| Buoyant-Dolor 0x72bb…281b | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 14:05 |
| Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-10 03:40 |
| Breakable-Notion 0xac56…c4ae | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 05:14 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 21:43 |
| Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf9f…7dd6 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f8c…914e | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 05:27:40 | (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | BUY | 246 | 95¢ | $234 | 0x5fc7c4… |
| 05-10 04:56:10 | Clever-Insurance 0xe72b…b1b9 | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x172d01… |
| 05-10 04:41:05 | Well-Worn-Headquarters 0x44f5…ea4b | Yes | BUY | 46 | 95¢ | $44 | 0x53369d… |
| 05-10 04:17:12 | (anonymous) 0x4f8c…914e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x12283a… |
| 05-10 03:40:18 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 465 | 94¢ | $437 | 0xe475bc… |
| 05-10 03:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xeecb03… |
| 05-09 21:43:17 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc7aaba… |
| 05-09 21:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x36196a… |
| 05-09 21:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb72a74… |
| 05-09 21:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3824a8… |
| 05-09 21:43:15 | (anonymous) 0xdf9f…7dd6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7c1a08… |
| 05-09 21:43:13 | Another-Countryside 0x9774…f6a5 | No | BUY | 184 | 7¢ | $13 | 0x22cbb5… |
| 05-09 21:43:13 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x109fca… |
| 05-09 05:14:51 | Hilarious-Explanation 0x00ec…687f | Yes | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0xa7eb05… |
| 05-09 01:55:21 | Lawful-Lunch 0x0267…a5b0 | No | SELL | 230 | 7¢ | $16 | 0x53bbae… |
| 05-08 22:01:33 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 119 | 91¢ | $108 | 0x130308… |
| 05-08 22:01:33 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0x01f379… |
| 05-08 14:05:12 | Buoyant-Dolor 0x72bb…281b | No | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x45b7a6… |
| 05-08 05:19:20 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xbc85f4… |
| 05-08 05:19:20 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xd97345… |
| 05-08 05:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x1e42…f5c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x683010… |
| 05-08 05:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x85ed7b… |
| 05-08 05:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x00b8f7… |
| 05-08 05:19:03 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x01b426… |
| 05-08 05:18:56 | (anonymous) 0x1e42…f5c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x549d77… |
| 05-08 05:18:56 | (anonymous) 0x1e42…f5c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xc14ac6… |
| 05-08 05:18:54 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x063e3e… |
| 05-08 05:18:54 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x14e5ed… |
| 05-08 05:18:54 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x6891d5… |
| 05-08 05:14:58 | (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x3ac9c6… |
| 05-08 05:14:49 | (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x0b51bc… |
| 05-07 19:05:52 | Breakable-Notion 0xac56…c4ae | Yes | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xeb7fd4… |