Organic-Wraparound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$592

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

8,171

Trades

20,258

lifetime

Volume

$2.49M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$213

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-28 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Other

71% 92% +$4,159

Crypto

24% 97% -$2,038

Sports

4% 89% -$1,649

Politics

0% 90% +$120

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 344 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No		+215	$200	99¢	$213	+$13	10-26 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Map Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	12	$12.9K	6,876	6,876	+0	Team Vitality	+$871	10-18 09:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	12	$7.9K	3,954	3,954	+0	Yes	+$32	10-19 15:33
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro	5	$6.7K	3,469	3,469	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$219	10-22 13:32
Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz	5	$6.4K	3,411	3,411	+0	Taylor Fritz	+$384	10-22 16:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	19	$5.5K	2,761	2,761	+0	Yes	+$62	05-27 15:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	28	$5.3K	2,652	2,652	+0	Yes	+$20	05-26 12:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	87	$5.1K	2,583	2,583	+0	Yes	+$18	05-22 07:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	12	$5.1K	2,574	2,574	+0	Yes	+$18	10-18 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	11	$5.1K	2,576	2,576	+0	Yes	+$72	05-29 15:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	7	$5.0K	2,539	2,539	+0	No	+$28	06-01 04:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	9	$5.0K	2,522	2,522	+0	Yes	+$34	05-23 15:23
Utah vs. Colorado	14	$5.0K	5,337	0	+5,337	Utah	+$340	10-18 06:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	6	$4.9K	2,490	2,490	+0	Yes	+$34	05-25 06:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	10	$4.9K	2,482	2,482	+0	Yes	+$32	05-30 17:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	10	$4.8K	2,430	2,430	+0	Yes	+$20	05-30 07:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	3	$4.6K	2,297	2,297	+0	Yes	+$20	05-21 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	7	$4.4K	2,218	2,218	+0	Yes	+$19	05-24 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	20	$4.4K	2,397	2,397	+0	Yes	+$384	10-27 16:00
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	3	$4.2K	2,187	2,187	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$172	10-19 11:31
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	3	$4.2K	2,092	2,092	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$19	05-15 13:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	5	$4.1K	2,084	2,084	+0	Yes	+$19	05-18 15:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	8	$3.9K	1,979	1,979	+0	Yes	+$15	05-29 08:50
Pistons vs. Heat	4	$3.8K	2,035	2,035	+0	Pistons	+$232	10-24 02:36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek	3	$3.8K	1,927	1,927	+0	Iga Swiatek	-$3	05-13 12:18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$3.8K	1,906	1,906	+0	FURIA	+$19	05-10 12:57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	5	$3.8K	1,980	1,980	+0	Team Spirit	+$199	10-22 12:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	11	$3.7K	1,899	1,899	+0	Yes	+$48	05-28 15:52
Set 2 Winner: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	13	$3.6K	1,898	1,898	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$160	10-26 09:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	22	$3.6K	1,827	1,827	+0	Yes	+$20	05-19 05:43
Set 2 Winner: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	17	$3.6K	1,830	1,830	+0	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	+$94	10-19 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x462497…
10-28 22:56:07	Spread: Wizards (-9.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	442	94¢	$415	0x3b456a…
10-28 22:55:25	Spread: Wizards (-11.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	494	97¢	$480	0xd84063…
10-28 22:53:11	Queretaro: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	SELL	922	100¢	$921	0xc0f90d…
10-28 22:37:01	Sao Jose dos Campos vs. Unifacisa	Unifacisa	BUY	923	82¢	$754	0x55a7ea…
10-28 22:32:22	Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 2 - 2 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol?	No	BUY	466	95¢	$444	0x5392e7…
10-28 22:31:23	Spread: Pacers (-14.5)	76ers	BUY	539	96¢	$517	0x6e996b…
10-28 22:29:07	Queretaro: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	326	98¢	$319	0xa762fd…
10-28 22:23:10	Queretaro: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	597	93¢	$555	0x98bfcc…
10-28 17:20:28	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	719	85¢	$611	0x73389e…
10-28 17:20:10	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata	Taylor Fritz	BUY	631	88¢	$555	0x8a1ec9…
10-28 17:19:41	Will SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	338	98¢	$333	0x8718bf…
10-28 17:18:32	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 2 AS Roma?	No	BUY	332	98¢	$325	0x40f454…
10-28 17:18:19	Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna FC 1909?	No	BUY	351	95¢	$335	0x6432b1…
10-28 17:18:07	Exact Score: Venezia FC 2 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?	No	BUY	441	95¢	$420	0x88d64d…
10-28 17:16:31	Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x6cded2…
10-28 17:16:23	Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0x476ed8…
10-28 17:16:22	Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xa4bfac…
10-28 17:16:20	Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x320289…
10-28 16:39:46	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	513	98¢	$500	0x34084a…
10-28 16:33:56	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	610	93¢	$567	0x0268e5…
10-28 10:49:02	Spread: GS Markó (-1.5)	Olympiakós SFP	BUY	315	98¢	$310	0x0c4fe4…
10-28 10:47:35	Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	Sydney Kings	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5e219a…
10-28 10:46:40	Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	Sydney Kings	BUY	631	88¢	$555	0xb9b4e3…
10-28 10:42:59	Exact Score: Gamba Osaka 2 - 2 Buriram United?	No	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0xb95e64…
10-28 10:28:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	599	97¢	$583	0xb7a2ec…
10-28 10:23:07	Exact Score: Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Buriram United?	No	BUY	522	94¢	$493	0x159d2e…
10-28 10:22:56	Exact Score: Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Buriram United?	No	BUY	493	90¢	$444	0xa85c99…
10-28 10:22:11	Exact Score: Kashima Antlers 2 - 2 FC Pohang Steelers?	No	BUY	343	98¢	$335	0x4beeb4…
10-28 10:22:04	Exact Score: Gamba Osaka 2 - 2 Buriram United?	No	BUY	345	97¢	$335	0xb1725d…
10-28 06:56:31	Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	567	98¢	$555	0xeea1e0…
10-28 04:24:56	Ningbo: Kaichi Uchida vs Harold Mayot	Harold Mayot	BUY	351	95¢	$333	0x9b69c3…
10-28 03:36:45	Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)	Lakers	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x7a35f8…
10-28 03:36:27	Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)	Lakers	BUY	590	94¢	$555	0xc742c1…
10-28 02:09:20	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,216	99¢	$1,199	0xb1d89d…
10-28 02:07:35	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	610	100¢	$609	0x42cfe9…
10-28 01:11:23	Panthers vs. Jets	Panthers	BUY	596	93¢	$555	0xfe0ae8…
10-28 00:35:36	Spread: Knicks (-17.5)	Pistons	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xf9cd83…
10-28 00:35:21	Spread: Knicks (-17.5)	Pistons	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xce6ce6…
10-28 00:35:14	Spread: Knicks (-17.5)	Pistons	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0xd0bf58…
10-28 00:19:45	Spread: Knicks (-21.5)	Pistons	BUY	360	96¢	$345	0x9e69af…
10-27 23:43:33	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	610	93¢	$567	0x288175…
10-27 23:40:51	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	659	86¢	$567	0x185212…
10-27 19:07:59	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	377	97¢	$367	0xc32164…
10-27 19:07:35	Exact Score: Fleetwood Town FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?	No	BUY	345	97¢	$335	0x64e2ec…
10-27 19:07:18	Spread: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (-1.5)	FC Augsburg	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0x28b212…
10-27 19:04:26	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner	Envy	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x6449e3…
10-27 19:03:56	NL: Lausanne vs. SCL Tigers	SCL Tigers	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf7a906…
10-27 19:01:27	Spread: RSD Alcalá (-1.5)	UD Las Palmas	BUY	178	97¢	$173	0xbb7528…
10-27 18:58:54	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	566	100¢	$565	0x9300b6…
10-27 18:55:33	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	625	87¢	$543	0x4618f4…
10-27 18:53:48	Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0xcf0b96…
10-27 18:53:41	LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs Mental Rush (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs	Vitality Rising Bees	BUY	339	98¢	$332	0x0d615d…
10-27 18:46:45	Exact Score: Benevento Calcio 2 - 2 US Catanzaro 1929?	No	BUY	328	98¢	$320	0x5831bc…
10-27 18:39:38	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	121	91¢	$110	0x9d5bd7…
10-27 18:36:54	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe61f06…
10-27 18:36:42	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 2 Cagliari Calcio?	No	BUY	334	97¢	$325	0xcaac56…
10-27 18:35:21	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x4bac61…
10-27 18:34:27	Exact Score: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 2 - 2 FC Augsburg?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa73d7c…
10-27 18:34:26	Exact Score: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 2 - 2 FC Augsburg?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x52da79…
10-27 18:34:26	Exact Score: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 2 - 2 FC Augsburg?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0452fc…
10-27 18:34:24	Exact Score: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 2 - 2 FC Augsburg?	No	SELL	295	100¢	$295	0x71ea6e…
10-27 18:19:39	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	381	97¢	$371	0x659d4f…
10-27 18:11:54	Will NK Radomlje win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	372	100¢	$372	0xd0f38d…
10-27 18:08:09	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	209	88¢	$184	0x0c4a69…
10-27 18:07:54	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	667	85¢	$567	0xa30679…
10-27 18:07:48	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	510	87¢	$444	0x1170a3…
10-27 18:03:02	Spread: Tartu JK Tammeka (-1.5)	FCI Levadia Tallinn	SELL	660	100¢	$659	0xffcd0d…
10-27 18:01:06	Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0x3aea2a…
10-27 18:00:56	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8259f4…
10-27 17:57:08	Will Tartu JK Tammeka win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	432	100¢	$432	0x665726…
10-27 17:55:14	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	462	96¢	$444	0xbca86f…
10-27 17:51:32	Set 1 Winner: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	SELL	819	100¢	$818	0x878435…
10-27 17:20:12	Set 1 Winner: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x7c2c80…
10-27 17:18:33	Will Tartu JK Tammeka win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0xac1dbe…
10-27 16:18:41	Set 1 Winner: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	572	85¢	$486	0x2bb8d6…
10-27 16:17:17	Set 1 Winner: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	220	84¢	$185	0x646bc4…
10-27 16:12:54	Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Marria Urrutia	Francesca Jones	SELL	457	100¢	$456	0xf5aa30…
10-27 16:12:45	Spread: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (-1.5)	FC Augsburg	BUY	340	98¢	$333	0xace5a7…
10-27 16:12:26	Exact Score: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 2 - 2 FC Augsburg?	No	BUY	472	96¢	$455	0xa8af8f…
10-27 16:11:54	Will NK Radomlje win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	372	89¢	$333	0x8b66ff…
10-27 16:10:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	494	98¢	$487	0x3acaee…
10-27 16:09:15	Spread: Tartu JK Tammeka (-1.5)	FCI Levadia Tallinn	BUY	660	99¢	$651	0x029a13…
10-27 16:04:23	Will Tartu JK Tammeka win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0x7d7c6d…
10-27 16:04:17	Will Tartu JK Tammeka win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	359	96¢	$345	0xd361d5…
10-27 16:00:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	546	100¢	$545	0xd8b703…
10-27 16:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,397	100¢	$2,394	0x10674a…
10-27 14:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	117	90¢	$105	0x804cce…
10-27 14:28:51	Courmayeur: Enola Chiesa vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xd5469b…
10-27 14:11:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	90¢	$68	0xaefd86…
10-27 14:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xae0114…
10-27 14:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	90¢	$434	0x9a225b…
10-27 14:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7e071d…
10-27 14:09:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xfb18d1…
10-27 14:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0xc2a9c2…
10-27 14:09:12	Exact Score: Ratchaburi FC 2 - 2 Kashiwa Reysol?	No	SELL	572	100¢	$571	0x08dbd4…
10-27 14:07:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa72ccd…
10-27 14:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	763	89¢	$675	0xadf7f5…
10-27 14:03:15	Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	SELL	677	100¢	$676	0xac7497…
10-27 13:55:20	Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	451	96¢	$435	0xa3a68c…