Tender-Nationality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$364

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

4,564

Trades

43,892

lifetime

Volume

$20.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-08 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 38% -$174

Other

31% 42% +$539

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	103	$122	20,071	19,364	+706	No	+$20	03-04 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$84	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$80	05-14 11:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$74	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$66	05-22 13:33
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	4	$60	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$52	04-14 14:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 4	26	$48	8,213	12,000	-3,787	Yes	+$8	03-04 16:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	42	$47	18,076	16,076	+2,000	No	+$11	04-30 21:36
ethereum above 2200 on march 4	7	$45	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$21	03-04 12:59
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	28	$42	9,119	8,968	+151	Yes	-$2	03-04 14:27
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	22	$41	18,000	15,396	+2,604	Yes	+$5	03-13 04:30
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	203	$40	16,000	16,000	+0	No	+$8	05-11 16:10
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	138	$39	17,000	13,138	+3,862	Yes	+$5	03-12 10:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 27 2026 30c	14	$37	60	60	+0	No	+$5	02-27 02:20
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	96	$37	13,501	13,501	+0	No	+$10	06-28 01:37
ethereum above 2300 on march 4	15	$36	8,000	8,000	+0	No	-$4	03-04 15:22
highest temperature in seattle on february 27 2026 50 51f	26	$35	90	81	+9	Yes	+$9	02-27 11:09
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 27 2026 28corbelow	26	$32	120	112	+8	No	+$4	02-27 10:13
highest temperature in miami on february 27 2026 80 81f	10	$31	90	90	+0	No	+$1	02-27 16:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	67	$30	3,378	6,415	-3,036	No	+$11	03-04 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	57	$30	12,124	12,124	+0	No	+$6	05-19 02:06
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	47	$30	11,825	10,105	+1,720	No	+$6	03-13 13:33
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 26 2026 27c	11	$30	60	54	+6	No	+$4	02-26 18:37
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?	27	$30	2,000	864	+1,136	No	+$26	05-22 12:41
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	51	$29	12,000	10,692	+1,308	No	+$5	03-16 04:05
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	72	$29	14,000	9,661	+4,339	No	+$1	04-03 02:14
bitcoin above 60k on april 7	22	$28	14,000	12,248	+1,752	Yes	+$0	04-07 04:24
highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 40 41f	10	$28	60	60	+0	No	+$2	02-26 11:06
bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	21	$28	12,598	12,598	+0	Yes	+$3	06-25 08:10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	83	$27	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$7	05-19 06:58
ethereum above 2500 on march 16	55	$27	10,000	8,525	+1,475	No	+$7	03-16 14:25
solana above 60 on march 5	3	$27	6,955	2,955	+4,000	Yes	-$9	03-04 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 13:53:55	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on July 8?	Yes	SELL	1,470	0¢	$1	0xff984e…
07-08 13:52:58	ethereum above 1200 on july 9 2026	No	SELL	385	0¢	$0	0xd91a28…
07-08 13:49:55	ethereum above 1200 on july 8 2026	No	SELL	375	0¢	$0	0x0d484b…
07-08 13:49:32	ethereum above 1100 on july 8 2026	No	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0x03f5ae…
07-08 13:31:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 8?	Yes	SELL	1,313	0¢	$1	0xe6d472…
07-07 15:11:32	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc856a8…
07-07 15:11:32	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc02bda…
07-07 15:11:32	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x66b1ee…
07-07 15:11:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,100 and $1,200 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x244579…
07-07 12:03:11	ethereum above 1400 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x64aba7…
07-07 12:03:02	ethereum above 1300 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	252	0¢	$0	0x2b41a5…
07-07 12:02:47	ethereum above 1200 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x43ca16…
07-07 11:48:34	bitcoin above 50k on july 8 2026	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe3ce18…
07-07 11:37:10	ethereum above 1100 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x24e15b…
07-07 09:51:50	bitcoin above 52k on july 8 2026	No	SELL	860	0¢	$1	0xdfd180…
07-07 05:49:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9347b5…
07-07 05:49:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,100 and $1,200 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb4bf9e…
07-07 01:02:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x486c9f…
07-06 19:02:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xbf0b90…
07-06 16:25:08	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	312	0¢	$0	0x3a9969…
07-06 16:25:08	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0x12b9c7…
07-06 15:51:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9e130c…
07-06 15:51:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8d98a7…
07-06 15:51:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $50,000 and $52,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4aa081…
07-06 15:12:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	540	0¢	$1	0xb1a323…
07-06 14:53:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe61b08…
07-06 14:07:44	bitcoin above 52k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	1,389	0¢	$1	0x31c02c…
07-06 14:06:22	bitcoin above 48k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x9d5eca…
07-06 13:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	285	0¢	$0	0x10bba6…
07-06 13:33:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1,706	0¢	$2	0xa812a5…
07-06 13:19:25	bitcoin above 52k on july 8 2026	No	SELL	888	0¢	$1	0x985122…
07-06 13:13:19	bitcoin above 52k on july 8 2026	No	SELL	252	0¢	$0	0xf08ac6…
07-06 13:06:17	ethereum above 1400 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x87f499…
07-06 12:55:25	ethereum above 1500 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x8cf544…
07-06 12:54:32	ethereum above 1500 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0014af…
07-06 12:28:22	bitcoin above 52k on july 9 2026	No	SELL	800	0¢	$1	0x6b1410…
07-06 12:26:13	bitcoin above 52k on july 9 2026	No	SELL	1,167	0¢	$1	0xe9f930…
07-06 12:25:43	bitcoin above 54k on july 8 2026	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x0977fe…
07-06 12:07:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1,018	0¢	$1	0x3b3b1d…
07-06 12:03:40	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4a956d…
07-06 10:04:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x807b59…
07-06 09:44:49	ethereum above 1500 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	934	0¢	$1	0x919cd0…
07-06 09:43:55	ethereum above 1600 on july 6 2026	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xc48dd2…
07-06 09:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x20cf3c…
07-06 09:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x115a34…
07-06 09:01:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xfded85…
07-06 07:09:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x72b3ba…
07-06 06:15:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x72a340…
07-06 06:12:28	bitcoin above 52k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	312	0¢	$0	0xa05f75…
07-06 06:07:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 7?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x27317a…
07-06 06:00:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x3af2f1…
07-06 05:38:53	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	533	0¢	$1	0xe98d3c…
07-06 05:37:14	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	537	0¢	$1	0x4b55e4…
07-06 05:36:29	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x57410e…
07-06 05:35:47	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x8dd657…
07-06 05:33:26	bitcoin above 52k on july 9 2026	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xddeb72…
07-06 05:33:25	bitcoin above 52k on july 9 2026	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x8cb8ee…
07-06 05:31:23	bitcoin above 52k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	1,420	0¢	$1	0x1c19ca…
07-06 05:31:23	bitcoin above 52k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	580	0¢	$1	0x0eb771…
07-06 05:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x864422…
07-06 05:27:41	bitcoin above 54k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x210144…
07-06 05:24:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 8?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xcab14c…
07-06 05:21:43	bitcoin above 52k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	244	0¢	$0	0xf50fc4…
07-06 05:20:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd45a17…
07-06 05:20:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	319	0¢	$0	0x780bf3…
07-06 05:20:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6c65bf…
07-06 05:19:34	bitcoin above 52k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	1,756	0¢	$2	0xa5c8dd…
07-06 05:18:23	bitcoin above 50k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4e571c…
07-06 05:14:05	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa0291f…
07-06 05:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x50d6a7…
07-06 05:03:19	ethereum above 1600 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xce4c02…
07-06 05:02:07	ethereum above 1600 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa18c1b…
07-06 04:56:50	ethereum above 1600 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x329837…
07-06 04:05:04	ethereum above 1500 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0x9a1444…
07-06 04:03:02	ethereum above 1500 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	676	0¢	$1	0xb39aff…
07-06 04:02:23	ethereum above 1500 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	663	0¢	$1	0xc8388a…
07-06 04:02:11	ethereum above 1500 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	530	0¢	$1	0xd64dc0…
07-06 03:57:25	bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	1,970	0¢	$2	0x284385…
07-06 03:47:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 7?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x7db481…
07-06 03:46:35	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	682	0¢	$1	0x84f14a…
07-06 03:32:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	682	0¢	$1	0x47e7fd…
07-06 03:29:43	bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x27be21…
07-06 03:23:16	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb19a68…
07-06 03:23:05	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x556ce5…
07-06 03:22:58	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa5d094…
07-06 03:22:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x70e4a3…
07-06 03:22:41	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6698f2…
07-06 03:17:05	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x0f2efb…
07-06 03:15:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 7?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x541b2f…
07-06 03:15:19	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	749	0¢	$1	0x92fde9…
07-06 03:14:05	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb1634e…
07-06 03:14:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 7?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xe06637…
07-06 03:09:58	will bitcoin dip to 46k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x92b6e5…
07-06 02:51:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,825	0¢	$2	0xd5fdb4…
07-06 02:43:34	bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xfd19e4…
07-06 02:40:19	bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x325cee…
07-06 02:39:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xe60be6…
07-06 02:34:13	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x0215c1…
07-06 02:29:41	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa5c250…
07-06 02:25:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 6?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x9023a0…