Subtle-Rediscovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

368

Trades

42,417

lifetime

Volume

$397.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-05 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 33% $-5,254

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 2285 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774423200	40	$2.8K	1,873	1,844	+29	open	—	03-25 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	21	$2.2K	1,872	1,394	+477	Up	+$946	05-11 06:00
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$2.2K	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	01-18 12:44
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$2.1K	1,389	1,389	+0	open	—	01-18 12:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$2.1K	1,208	1,208	+0	open	—	01-18 12:45
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6pm et	61	$1.6K	4,129	1,028	+3,101	open	—	04-14 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	46	$1.5K	4,219	1,864	+2,355	open	—	05-04 16:00
bitcoin above 74k on march 16	52	$1.5K	4,475	1,600	+2,875	open	—	03-16 15:30
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	40	$1.4K	4,438	1,703	+2,735	open	—	04-22 14:52
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	28	$1.3K	1,664	836	+828	open	—	04-15 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	52	$1.3K	912	881	+31	open	—	05-16 06:49
btc updown 5m 1773985200	22	$1.2K	866	853	+14	open	—	03-20 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	16	$1.2K	606	606	+0	Up	$-6	05-12 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	37	$1.1K	674	624	+50	Down	+$101	05-12 07:04
btc updown 5m 1773993300	14	$1.1K	932	684	+248	open	—	03-20 07:59
btc updown 5m 1773871200	18	$1.1K	796	689	+107	open	—	03-18 22:03
btc updown 5m 1774043100	38	$1.1K	1,836	0	+1,836	open	—	03-20 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	40	$1.1K	3,802	0	+3,802	Up	$-405	05-12 00:34
btc updown 5m 1774494600	4	$1.0K	816	600	+216	open	—	03-26 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	24	$1.0K	1,066	461	+605	open	—	05-16 07:00
btc updown 5m 1775252100	17	$982	1,061	373	+688	open	—	04-03 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	9	$942	25,941	0	+25,941	Up	$-942	05-12 01:44
btc updown 5m 1775247000	12	$928	678	653	+25	open	—	04-03 20:15
btc updown 5m 1774494300	1	$909	1,719	0	+1,719	open	—	03-26 03:05
btc updown 5m 1775223000	35	$903	678	654	+24	open	—	04-03 13:33
btc updown 5m 1774155300	15	$903	591	582	+9	open	—	03-22 05:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	32	$869	1,205	1,083	+122	open	—	03-19 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	24	$867	768	499	+269	open	—	05-02 17:00
btc updown 5m 1774139400	18	$865	591	582	+9	open	—	03-22 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	42	$851	1,520	211	+1,310	Down	$-107	05-12 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 20:50:27	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7bc3a7…
06-05 20:49:48	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe47864…
06-05 20:49:48	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa8cdb8…
06-05 20:49:48	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x62080d…
06-05 20:45:06	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x378607…
06-05 20:44:52	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdb54ea…
06-05 20:44:52	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbb1b66…
06-05 20:44:52	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3ac43d…
06-05 20:34:49	btc updown 5m 1780691700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf32f28…
06-05 20:34:49	btc updown 5m 1780691700	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x63137e…
06-05 20:34:49	btc updown 5m 1780691700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x09d0e0…
06-05 18:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780682700	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2b533d…
06-05 18:04:48	btc updown 5m 1780682700	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xba5d76…
06-05 18:04:48	btc updown 5m 1780682700	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3d0633…
06-05 18:00:01	btc updown 5m 1780682100	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5606f9…
06-05 17:54:48	btc updown 5m 1780682100	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd864ac…
06-03 19:22:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xd3c900…
06-03 19:22:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	93	8¢	$7	0x78d691…
06-03 18:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x99176e…
06-03 18:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x45a5c7…
06-03 18:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x134c5b…
06-03 17:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4533af…
06-03 17:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x42d182…
06-03 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf26c5e…
06-03 17:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb89e52…
06-03 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xddb37c…
06-03 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6b20f0…
06-03 17:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4e54f8…
06-03 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8832dc…
06-03 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x617cc9…
06-03 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x32064a…
06-03 16:42:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x737cab…
06-03 16:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x420723…
06-03 16:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc92baf…
06-03 16:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcfb257…
06-03 16:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x44609d…
06-03 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfcd805…
06-03 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x35a6e9…
06-03 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0fad6d…
06-03 16:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xc3f36e…
06-03 15:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x027ca2…
06-03 15:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x30dff3…
06-03 15:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xeab674…
06-03 15:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd6bf2c…
06-03 14:42:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xe5acc2…
06-03 13:45:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x49b16f…
06-03 11:16:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xeca391…
06-03 10:50:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	480	2¢	$7	0xf6f42b…
06-03 10:47:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xaf495e…
06-03 10:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xce1375…
06-03 10:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x259063…
06-03 10:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe46b1b…
06-03 10:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf6662…
06-03 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x996cc5…
06-03 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa33b5b…
06-03 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2fcc71…
06-03 09:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf6a60c…
06-03 09:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0677f3…
06-03 09:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb9b311…
06-03 09:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x3bdd6d…
06-03 09:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x200d2d…
06-03 09:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xdd2bb5…
06-03 09:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x66e8d6…
06-03 09:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x58bfff…
06-03 09:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd0fd36…
06-03 09:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x516414…
06-03 09:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe5cf4a…
06-03 09:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd2c13e…
06-03 09:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9fafba…
06-03 09:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x298ba0…
06-03 07:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2506a4…
06-03 07:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd5ff3a…
06-03 07:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5de53c…
06-03 07:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xea9cb9…
06-03 07:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x7c72bf…
06-03 07:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf9d02a…
06-03 07:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x16c07d…
06-03 05:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x504790…
06-03 05:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd14720…
06-03 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xee9dbf…
06-03 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd10111…
06-03 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1d112c…
06-03 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb7acda…
06-03 05:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb96ec8…
06-03 05:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x82ff9b…
06-03 05:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x0a3878…
06-03 05:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x94b984…
06-03 05:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xa29906…
06-03 05:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x352568…
06-03 05:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x12ba46…
06-03 05:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf7b611…
06-03 05:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc9457e…
06-03 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xad81f4…
06-03 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa5e565…
06-03 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x992bc8…
06-03 04:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x7bfebc…
06-03 04:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1926fa…
06-03 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe60ad5…
06-03 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9c1a8e…
06-03 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4b7c39…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	791	$1.92K	3,954	06-02 18:09
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	744	$414.5K	32,256	06-02 18:07
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	731	$19.3K	5,479	06-02 18:07
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	716	$42.7K	6,914	05-17 21:27
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	707	$121.8K	9,446	06-02 18:05
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	692	$119.7K	22,794	06-02 18:09
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	676	$59.4K	7,975	06-02 18:05
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	666	$446.2K	17,625	05-29 18:57