French-Pillow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-27 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$1

Other

24% 67% +$0

Sports

23% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$490	247	247	+0	open	—	03-08 05:54
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$467	234	234	+0	open	—	03-18 05:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$260	133	133	+0	open	—	05-26 08:29
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$248	125	125	+0	open	—	03-12 07:08
will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$248	125	125	+0	open	—	03-12 07:38
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	04-19 08:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	05-23 10:24
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$241	121	121	+0	open	—	03-20 08:53
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	01-24 10:50
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	01-24 11:18
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	03-09 07:01
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	01-25 03:23
Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	04-19 10:07
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$236	119	119	+0	open	—	04-23 06:30
Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	04-11 09:42
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$227	115	115	+0	open	—	03-24 03:54
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	03-07 05:04
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	02-13 03:34
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	01-27 03:38
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	01-27 03:58
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$188	94	94	+0	open	—	01-27 04:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	05-24 12:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	05-22 04:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	05-23 10:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	05-20 12:30
bitcoin above 60k on march 4	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	03-04 05:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	05-21 08:19
ethereum above 2300 on march 3	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	03-03 08:25
will elio win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	03-14 11:14
bitcoin above 66k on march 13	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	03-13 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 11:05:53	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xd132fa…
06-26 10:35:55	will abnb reach 156 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xdc37bc…
05-31 05:32:28	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x8e3b8f…
05-30 03:57:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x04f2ce…
05-30 03:50:50	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1f64eb…
05-28 06:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x8dc5b1…
05-28 06:26:35	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1e69a1…
05-26 08:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x167555…
05-26 08:31:36	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x88e405…
05-26 08:29:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	133	95¢	$127	0xb0778c…
05-25 07:03:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x006673…
05-25 07:02:36	Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	Gael Monfils	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xf0e6e6…
05-24 12:41:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xe613c7…
05-23 10:30:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x54323c…
05-23 10:24:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x6187d3…
05-23 09:11:36	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdd31ad…
05-23 09:08:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xacf889…
05-22 04:34:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x3606d2…
05-21 08:19:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x3fc832…
05-21 08:17:19	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Petra Marcinko	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd43052…
05-20 12:30:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x30780b…
05-20 12:08:39	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Lucrezia Stefanini	Lucrezia Stefanini	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5a6400…
05-18 06:43:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xc6cfaf…
05-18 05:17:30	Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikata	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xda9b8e…
05-16 09:14:27	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xe180c1…
05-15 06:21:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x5cac0d…
05-14 09:51:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,360	0¢	$6	0x77ca8d…
05-13 07:16:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfdf412…
05-12 08:36:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x0b4ad9…
05-10 11:22:48	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9780fb…
05-08 04:48:41	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x1418e7…
05-07 03:56:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x4751a3…
05-07 03:49:59	Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ryan Seggerman	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x325bae…
05-06 04:50:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xca04ca…
05-05 02:30:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xbac879…
05-04 09:07:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xe39d38…
05-02 06:20:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xed51fd…
05-01 12:06:52	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x18374e…
04-30 09:39:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x67bb9a…
04-28 05:52:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x380a6d…
04-27 04:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x938790…
04-26 10:33:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x92249d…
04-25 04:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xc118ed…
04-24 04:27:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x8dac78…
04-23 06:40:14	ethereum above 2600 on april 23	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x75f946…
04-23 06:30:38	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x9ca8ed…
04-23 05:26:24	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x9f0280…
04-22 04:03:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x00570b…
04-20 05:50:52	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa0a24c…
04-20 05:46:58	lol wb omg 2026 04 20	Oh My God	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x09e077…
04-19 10:14:16	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xaa4ebc…
04-19 10:07:44	Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x44dff5…
04-19 08:55:20	Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xe860b3…
04-19 08:54:34	Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	Kansas City Royals	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x832b41…
04-19 08:54:06	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0x768947…
04-19 08:37:48	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x38c759…
04-15 04:03:26	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xd31cc8…
04-14 04:05:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 14	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x98c814…
04-14 03:14:07	atp navone rublev 2026 04 13	Andrey Rublev	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x023892…
04-13 00:32:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 13	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xbe4d71…
04-12 08:54:25	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x910a5d…
04-12 07:23:47	mlb cws kc 2026 04 12	Chicago White Sox	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x444821…
04-11 09:47:23	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xdae6c6…
04-11 09:42:41	Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x6cfd55…
04-11 08:05:35	Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x3cae77…
04-10 08:03:01	ethereum above 1900 on april 10	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x51759c…
04-09 12:53:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xde70b0…
04-08 11:35:19	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x80382f…
04-08 09:26:03	nba min orl 2026 04 08	Magic	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xb3f80b…
04-07 07:23:51	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x0a22c9…
04-06 01:43:05	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x2a759c…
04-05 09:40:25	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0xd24563…
04-04 08:24:03	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x736188…
04-04 07:36:19	nhl mon nj 2026 04 04	Canadiens	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x5d0362…
04-02 09:35:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 2	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x69cac8…
04-01 07:40:39	ethereum above 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xcf6a16…
03-31 11:54:13	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 31	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x501820…
03-31 11:44:35	wta day badosa 2026 03 31	Paula Badosa	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x994885…
03-30 10:27:26	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0682ca…
03-29 05:51:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 29	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x25b7f9…
03-29 04:26:50	atp loffhag rodiono 2026 03 29	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd72149…
03-28 09:40:27	bitcoin above 70k on march 28	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe67860…
03-28 08:12:35	nhl fla nyi 2026 03 28	Panthers	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3cac9f…
03-27 13:07:21	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xd8a9ff…
03-25 11:54:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 25	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x426552…
03-25 11:40:33	lol g2nord vdn 2026 03 25	G2 NORD	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x6b67cd…
03-24 04:00:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x78552e…
03-24 03:57:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x26a259…
03-24 03:56:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x67d684…
03-24 03:54:51	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x52acb6…
03-24 03:36:27	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x2cd04d…
03-24 03:33:13	atp cina piraino 2026 03 23	Gabriele Piraino	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x191b7c…
03-22 05:20:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xd849dc…
03-21 12:21:05	ethereum above 2000 on march 21	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x63c00e…
03-20 11:56:57	ethereum above 1900 on march 20	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xdb8621…
03-20 10:27:27	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	Yes	BUY	950	0¢	$2	0x7a79c6…
03-20 08:59:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xc814fb…
03-20 08:53:01	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xeea7fb…
03-20 08:30:25	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xc4c845…
03-18 05:15:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 18	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x4f489e…