Generous-Agony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

439

Trades

803

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

75% 83% +$3

Crypto

20% 84% +$1

Politics

4% 75% +$0

Tech

1% 40% $0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	5	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:20
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	4	$79	39	39	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 25?	3	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	07-24 20:34
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	3	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:37
Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 3 and 4 days?	5	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-29 20:45
bitcoin above 72k on july 21 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-29 03:48
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	4	$66	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-17 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 24?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 03:13
Will Alexander Gaasserud be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	5	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	05-11 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 27?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:23
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	09-11 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 25?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 28?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-27 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 24?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-23 20:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 28?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 29?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 30?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-29 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-29 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:31
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-19 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on July 29?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-28 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 12?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	10-12 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 20?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:53
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	4	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:56
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-29 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on July 20?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-20 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-28 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcedf5d…
10-18 17:52:08	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd5f149…
10-16 10:39:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xb42ba7…
10-13 09:31:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xaeb872…
10-13 02:32:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b74af…
10-12 16:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 12?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x52180f…
10-12 16:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 12?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe02cb2…
10-12 09:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa6af71…
10-12 08:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc5c946…
10-12 06:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on October 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbf49c1…
10-12 03:26:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x083419…
10-11 22:18:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe5b98c…
10-05 11:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9bfe26…
10-02 00:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7fcf8…
10-01 23:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3bcb2d…
09-28 04:25:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbb7eba…
09-27 21:37:41	Will Oneil Cruz have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe02892…
09-23 20:24:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x463106…
09-23 05:42:14	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x20fdb0…
09-22 20:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb9de18…
09-22 16:46:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4abcd1…
09-22 15:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x48bf6d…
09-21 22:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on September 22?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x986d90…
09-19 10:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7f7f20…
09-18 02:14:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x29e37b…
09-17 13:11:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xef2c31…
09-13 03:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xea7cf5…
09-11 18:31:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x99e73b…
09-11 00:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x409d3a…
09-10 20:50:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xeac84a…
09-07 14:11:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda2f76…
09-06 21:30:52	Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf1d0d2…
09-06 13:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7ea9d2…
09-06 00:02:45	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5c92b1…
09-05 09:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xaaf606…
09-05 04:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x784f68…
09-04 20:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xadb609…
09-04 16:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x526a71…
09-04 06:13:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xae6a33…
09-04 03:54:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd76892…
09-04 01:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7c5ebc…
09-03 09:45:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3aa8c4…
09-03 02:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfdf76e…
09-02 14:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x64f52c…
09-02 12:26:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd537b8…
09-02 07:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4532cf…
09-01 10:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x3ff70e…
09-01 04:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8903c0…
08-31 04:52:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x91b7c2…
08-31 02:25:06	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaf9966…
08-30 17:32:10	Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Violent Typhoon"?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8419d1…
08-30 15:39:22	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3ae6ff…
08-30 01:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2ab94e…
08-29 19:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0f7a5c…
08-28 12:12:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5adde3…
08-28 09:17:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x63cf86…
08-27 13:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb2b9a…
08-27 08:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4312c8…
08-27 01:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeb5288…
08-26 21:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0460b5…
08-26 16:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x276e5a…
08-25 13:18:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xffc2c4…
08-25 11:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcc9a50…
08-25 04:33:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3a89a4…
08-25 01:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0917b6…
08-24 20:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2d48d5…
08-24 11:48:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x493928…
08-24 04:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xfe93ee…
08-23 20:45:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xaad245…
08-14 19:31:28	will xauusd dip to 4150 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xdff347…
08-14 09:35:12	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x250088…
08-13 22:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe563eb…
08-13 16:26:40	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x11e339…
08-13 10:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe7e1e2…
08-13 07:04:57	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb59916…
08-12 22:42:52	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 12	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9279a…
08-12 06:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 67°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x603931…
08-12 01:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on August 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4029d1…
08-12 01:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc592b6…
08-11 14:58:37	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbbaee7…
08-11 12:13:24	ethereum above 2000 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfe899c…
08-10 22:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x68acc2…
08-10 19:48:34	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x5d4026…
08-10 15:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe0f3f7…
08-10 15:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x83860f…
08-10 12:05:22	bitcoin above 68k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb2601f…
08-09 13:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8df717…
08-09 10:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe07d49…
08-09 04:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x715e39…
08-09 03:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf5e6ca…
08-08 19:12:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2d37d9…
08-08 02:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7ca31c…
08-08 00:20:40	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2ec5b4…
08-07 22:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x780a42…
08-07 19:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x21fb5d…
08-07 12:16:58	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf5326a…
08-07 08:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5e0812…
08-06 16:44:56	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6c1d91…
08-06 03:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc2bf73…
08-06 00:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x200649…