Major-Handrail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$550

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

261

Trades

1,125

lifetime

Volume

$128.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-07 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 45% -$359

Other

31% 64% -$191

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl luc guj 2026 04 12	7	$4.4K	2,200	2,200	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$8	04-12 13:08
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	20	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$32	04-21 17:44
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	14	$3.2K	1,720	1,490	+230	Down	+$2	06-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	12	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	8	$3.1K	1,547	1,547	+0	Down	+$0	05-28 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	7	$3.0K	1,799	1,199	+600	Up	+$1	05-08 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	7	$3.0K	1,540	1,430	+110	Down	+$0	06-02 15:30
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	5	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$6	04-25 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	14	$2.3K	1,168	1,105	+62	Down	$0	05-27 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	9	$2.3K	1,140	1,140	+0	Up	+$14	10-02 15:57
cricipl mum pun 2026 04 16	2	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	Punjab Kings	+$1	04-16 17:14
cricpsl hyd isl 2026 04 12	5	$2.2K	1,158	1,100	+58	Hyderabad Kingsmen	-$55	04-12 17:28
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	5	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$7	04-13 17:22
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	4	$2.1K	1,500	600	+900	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$5	05-06 17:06
bitcoin up or down on july 10 2026	29	$2.1K	1,818	808	+1,010	Up	-$2	07-10 15:48
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$0	04-22 17:41
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$1	05-02 17:33
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$4	05-03 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	9	$2.0K	1,022	967	+55	Up	+$0	05-30 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$19	05-04 15:09
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Mumbai Indians	-$5	05-04 17:40
bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	14	$1.9K	1,035	825	+210	Up	+$2	06-08 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	5	$1.8K	1,100	700	+400	Yes	+$1	05-13 15:54
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	5	$1.8K	900	900	+0	Punjab Kings	+$44	04-19 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	3	$1.7K	1,100	600	+500	Up	+$1	05-09 15:58
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals	12	$1.6K	1,200	1,194	+6	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$209	04-19 13:27
bitcoin up or down on july 8 2026	9	$1.6K	1,380	690	+690	Down	+$2	07-08 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	3	$1.6K	810	810	+0	Down	+$2	05-31 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	6	$1.6K	1,070	490	+580	Up	+$3	09-21 15:10
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	3	$1.6K	786	786	+0	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$4	04-27 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 16:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	490	100¢	$490	0x2a6ca8…
10-07 15:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	SELL	393	100¢	$393	0xc5dacb…
10-07 15:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xaea64c…
10-07 15:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xb81989…
10-07 15:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xc48335…
10-07 15:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x5187f4…
10-06 14:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xbf6965…
10-06 07:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x00a896…
10-06 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0x36692b…
10-05 07:57:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x09133f…
10-05 07:56:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	336	0¢	$0	0x169aef…
10-05 07:54:41	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x8a7b53…
10-03 15:47:56	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	481	0¢	$0	0xdf07f8…
10-03 07:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	480	0¢	$0	0xf23f28…
10-02 15:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	575	100¢	$574	0x405677…
10-02 15:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x037e1d…
10-02 15:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x59cf28…
10-02 15:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	543	100¢	$542	0x07ee38…
10-02 15:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xba392e…
10-02 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	167	98¢	$164	0x76b7ef…
10-02 14:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x5045fb…
10-02 13:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	360	97¢	$349	0xb5498b…
09-30 07:59:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	256	0¢	$0	0x7dc5d2…
09-30 07:59:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x351bdb…
09-30 07:59:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x051527…
09-30 07:59:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xe1eb0d…
09-28 15:34:15	bitcoin up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x33f66e…
09-28 15:32:21	bitcoin up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	148	0¢	$0	0x46f932…
09-28 15:31:06	bitcoin up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0xc81556…
09-24 15:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	Down	BUY	380	0¢	$0	0x24593b…
09-24 07:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	410	0¢	$0	0xc7747a…
09-23 07:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	440	0¢	$0	0xa213b8…
09-22 15:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5d2abe…
09-21 15:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa35efc…
09-21 15:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x773475…
09-21 15:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	490	100¢	$490	0x63a6a4…
09-21 14:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xc45ca9…
09-21 07:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	420	0¢	$0	0xd50374…
09-16 07:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9e2aba…
09-16 07:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf2dcaa…
09-16 07:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x30b6cb…
09-16 07:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd33e91…
09-16 07:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2825de…
09-16 07:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf8552b…
09-16 07:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf97820…
09-16 07:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xec01a4…
09-16 07:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xffa2f6…
09-16 07:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	273	0¢	$0	0x5a082f…
09-16 07:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x48d1de…
09-16 07:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	146	0¢	$0	0x8c2637…
09-15 15:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xf7b0bc…
09-15 15:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb63f4c…
09-15 07:56:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x713eac…
09-15 07:56:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb3afb5…
09-14 15:39:24	bitcoin up or down on september 14 2026	Up	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0x82006c…
09-14 15:31:45	bitcoin up or down on september 14 2026	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x8f1512…
09-14 15:26:22	bitcoin up or down on september 14 2026	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x1047b4…
09-14 15:26:16	bitcoin up or down on september 14 2026	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa42aa9…
09-14 15:25:10	bitcoin up or down on september 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9adcf1…
09-10 07:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0xc9b84f…
09-08 15:56:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-08 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x24098b…
09-08 15:53:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-08 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	340	0¢	$0	0x27de0f…
09-07 14:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0xcdc9fc…
09-07 14:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7eeaee…
09-07 14:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7da79c…
09-07 14:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	165	0¢	$0	0x374581…
09-07 07:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	420	0¢	$0	0x5d3e81…
09-05 15:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?	Down	BUY	340	0¢	$0	0xd6056c…
09-05 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x751e1b…
09-05 14:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	230	0¢	$0	0x79e859…
09-05 07:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	136	0¢	$0	0xdaa060…
09-05 07:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	164	0¢	$0	0xe10bae…
09-04 16:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x466a86…
09-04 15:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0xa3bf62…
08-27 22:13:09	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x8f01b0…
08-27 22:08:55	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x22a18d…
08-27 22:05:52	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xd7631b…
08-24 16:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0xebb891…
08-24 07:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x95aca5…
08-24 07:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0x4f1d23…
08-22 07:59:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0xdc79f4…
08-21 14:17:21	bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc12f1b…
08-21 07:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x1adf1f…
08-20 14:49:24	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0x8ea9d9…
08-20 14:42:24	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x936f84…
08-20 14:20:33	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0x6cc7ab…
08-20 14:07:01	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d2722…
08-20 14:07:01	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x82f489…
08-20 14:07:01	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2e74fb…
08-20 14:07:01	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0a61dd…
08-20 14:07:00	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc2f657…
08-19 15:23:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x66d432…
08-19 15:22:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5860b3…
08-19 15:21:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0xed072e…
08-19 15:21:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xd8c628…
08-19 15:21:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x53ca3e…
08-19 15:21:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0x24fe76…
08-19 15:12:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xde4c73…
08-19 15:12:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x285a01…
08-19 14:48:12	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x88d36e…