Downright-Accordion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

4,398

Trades

29,863

lifetime

Volume

$11.7M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$393

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-18 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 278 days

Categories

Other

69% 97% -$29,907

Crypto

22% 94% -$1,288

Sports

7% 96% +$1,056

Politics

1% 62% -$1,400

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	634	$272.3K	138,518	138,518	+0	No	+$300	06-14 17:53
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	366	$165.2K	82,216	86,379	-4,163	No	+$72	02-19 22:03
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	230	$146.8K	63,069	85,217	-22,148	No	-$90	01-27 17:17
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	105	$135.6K	48,086	88,885	-40,799	No	-$438	02-10 03:06
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	145	$125.1K	63,454	63,454	+0	No	+$105	06-22 18:54
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	129	$87.1K	44,576	44,576	+0	No	+$347	06-15 18:38
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	15	$76.0K	38,057	38,057	+0	No	+$25	06-20 18:44
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	194	$75.2K	16,031	59,857	-43,826	No	-$372	01-16 11:15
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	173	$74.3K	37,381	37,381	+0	No	+$57	06-19 20:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	79	$72.1K	35,658	36,671	-1,013	No	+$36	01-26 09:15
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	108	$69.4K	42,670	27,929	+14,741	No	+$200	01-27 17:18
crint ind zwe 2026 02 26	43	$65.4K	47,837	17,723	+30,113	India	+$112	02-26 15:30
will bitcoin reach 100k december 29 january 4	69	$64.6K	24,557	40,226	-15,670	No	+$99	01-04 02:11
Trump out as President by April 30?	119	$63.5K	35,167	29,056	+6,112	No	+$126	04-21 15:45
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	79	$61.6K	35,380	26,446	+8,935	Yes	+$47	04-02 13:19
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	442	$59.6K	29,152	30,748	-1,597	No	+$209	04-05 05:10
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	311	$58.8K	26,321	32,608	-6,287	No	+$33	03-09 13:05
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	71	$55.1K	22,246	33,593	-11,348	No	-$72	02-08 18:47
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	79	$54.4K	27,274	27,273	+0	Yes	+$29	06-23 15:09
trump out as president by march 31	42	$54.3K	21,131	33,331	-12,200	No	-$17	03-25 17:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	131	$52.9K	33,789	19,798	+13,991	Yes	+$221	04-23 14:53
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	30	$52.7K	36,084	16,656	+19,428	Yes	+$37	04-01 11:07
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	55	$46.6K	15,837	30,815	-14,977	No	+$14	03-27 13:04
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	77	$45.2K	23,591	21,641	+1,950	No	+$27	06-21 17:11
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	34	$44.3K	22,163	22,450	-287	No	-$4	03-12 08:14
crint ind nld 2026 02 18	8	$42.9K	36,490	6,446	+30,045	India	+$45	02-18 16:51
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	27	$42.8K	21,531	21,531	+0	Spain	+$86	06-21 16:22
crint ind nam 2026 02 12	20	$42.2K	38,244	4,003	+34,240	India	+$54	02-12 16:51
sea pis com 2026 01 06 pis	55	$41.5K	41,542	0	+41,542	No	+$74	01-06 16:47
wta sabalen svitoli 2026 01 29	11	$39.0K	39,039	0	+39,039	Sabalenka	+$41	01-29 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 16:46:45	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1f1554…
10-18 14:31:26	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x687ccc…
10-18 14:23:56	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa49138…
10-18 14:13:24	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb651e0…
10-18 13:27:38	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb9e8bf…
10-18 13:12:21	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6fa67e…
10-18 13:12:17	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x446447…
10-18 12:45:57	Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb95c00…
10-17 14:26:23	Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	180	87¢	$157	0x48734d…
10-17 14:26:23	Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	435	87¢	$378	0x3fc6a8…
10-17 14:26:23	Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x0682fa…
10-17 14:26:21	Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x95896d…
10-17 13:49:27	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x635027…
10-17 13:46:50	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0xa6a259…
10-17 13:41:45	Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	495	100¢	$495	0xa8884a…
10-17 12:45:15	Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc47fc8…
10-17 12:32:57	Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x86891f…
10-17 12:24:29	Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	286	99¢	$283	0x988910…
10-17 12:24:14	Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x4f7c55…
10-17 11:12:00	1. FC Heidenheim leading at halftime?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcf0cd2…
10-17 09:08:30	Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	574	100¢	$574	0xcb6d40…
10-17 04:57:55	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	574	100¢	$573	0xc4b727…
10-17 04:33:04	Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	573	100¢	$572	0x08b7b6…
10-17 03:50:35	Spread: Purdue (-6.5)	Washington	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x499fa4…
10-16 18:20:51	Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xa27d43…
10-16 17:13:37	FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	482	100¢	$481	0xb6dcfc…
10-16 13:04:40	Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	552	100¢	$552	0x268f72…
10-16 13:01:36	Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x384c18…
10-16 13:01:28	Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0648ce…
10-16 12:58:13	Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe00dcd…
10-16 04:20:49	Flames vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0x945199…
10-16 03:20:46	Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 60.5	Under	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6e5607…
10-16 03:11:13	Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x70abb3…
10-15 18:10:53	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0c6565…
10-15 18:10:52	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	566	99¢	$563	0x5cdec2…
10-15 18:09:05	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x4be7ac…
10-15 18:06:35	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x4590ca…
10-15 18:05:13	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc04bd3…
10-15 18:05:07	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7f7537…
10-15 18:05:01	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb442ca…
10-15 18:04:55	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa74020…
10-15 18:04:47	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1a0489…
10-15 18:04:41	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd6dc0e…
10-15 18:04:35	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd7adc4…
10-15 18:04:29	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6f2139…
10-15 18:04:23	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x631cf7…
10-15 18:04:19	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6ee8c9…
10-15 18:04:14	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0x1211c8…
10-15 18:04:08	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1fd77e…
10-15 18:04:02	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6d3858…
10-15 18:03:58	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9a3ce3…
10-15 18:03:52	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf9053a…
10-15 18:03:46	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5f927d…
10-15 18:03:41	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd264b7…
10-15 18:03:35	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb4a948…
10-15 18:03:29	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x56a0b5…
10-15 18:03:25	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb79ff6…
10-15 18:03:19	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfc81f2…
10-15 18:03:13	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xddfd4a…
10-15 18:03:05	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5f2cc0…
10-15 18:02:59	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x21012f…
10-15 18:02:55	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4c1520…
10-15 18:02:49	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe4a95d…
10-15 18:02:43	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6060aa…
10-15 18:02:38	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0xc038e7…
10-15 18:02:32	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe49eb4…
10-15 18:02:26	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x29f6f9…
10-15 17:57:40	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6360e8…
10-15 17:57:17	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xac0687…
10-15 17:57:05	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	230	99¢	$229	0xd6c7f0…
10-15 17:56:56	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	315	99¢	$313	0x580fcd…
10-15 17:56:50	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc5bd24…
10-15 17:30:56	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	565	100¢	$565	0xd0efcc…
10-15 16:42:35	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x69fc6a…
10-15 16:42:01	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	510	100¢	$509	0x039ff9…
10-15 14:04:07	Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	564	100¢	$562	0xdd15f2…
10-15 11:51:59	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	357	100¢	$356	0x5849f2…
10-15 11:51:23	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xccfdf6…
10-15 11:50:17	Brisbane Bullets vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix	Brisbane Bullets	SELL	555	100¢	$555	0x18348d…
10-15 10:28:31	Brisbane Bullets vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	555	100¢	$555	0x287dee…
10-15 10:27:43	Spread: South East Melbourne Phoenix (-6.5)	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd49a76…
10-15 04:18:14	Will Austin FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x980e42…
10-14 19:17:34	elc qpr der 2026 10 14 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd39b80…
10-14 19:10:25	elc qpr der 2026 10 14 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf33753…
10-14 19:07:39	elc qpr der 2026 10 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x04444e…
10-14 18:39:49	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0x346e9a…
10-14 18:38:01	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x35f8bc…
10-14 18:36:51	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xe0cb23…
10-14 18:36:51	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x48ee6c…
10-14 18:33:01	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	SELL	556	100¢	$556	0x45f84f…
10-14 18:17:10	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcc68d2…
10-14 18:13:51	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe66858…
10-14 18:12:21	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf2db93…
10-14 18:10:10	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54d5ff…
10-14 18:09:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xc33d48…
10-14 18:08:46	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x844312…
10-14 18:08:46	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	418	100¢	$416	0x6698e8…
10-14 18:06:54	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$75	0xcf4bb8…
10-14 18:03:45	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf50136…
10-14 18:03:36	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf6318d…