Silver-Accordion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.69K

Unrealized P&L

+$12.3K

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

467

Trades

5,277

lifetime

Volume

$3.30M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$625

Open exposure

$116.1K

16 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-28 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 83% +$170

Politics

2% 100% +$2,647

Other

1% 100% +$800

Sports

0% 100% +$74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No		+30,000	$28,298	99¢	$29.6K	+$1,327	10-24 14:26
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-15,000	-$13,350	98¢	$-14760	-$1,410	10-06 03:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No		+10,000	$9,000	100¢	$10.0K	+$965	10-04 22:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No		+10,000	$9,292	99¢	$9.9K	+$653	10-15 13:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No		+10,000	$8,700	98¢	$9.8K	+$1,065	10-03 21:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+10,000	$7,500	97¢	$9.7K	+$2,215	05-01 09:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+10,000	$3,500	92¢	$9.2K	+$5,750	06-26 02:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+5,000	$2,900	96¢	$4.8K	+$1,888	06-19 23:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes		+4,000	$3,744	99¢	$4.0K	+$210	10-27 17:25
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		+4,267	$2,560	88¢	$3.8K	+$1,216	05-23 06:48
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes		-5,000	-$2,000	71¢	$-3550	-$1,550	07-01 01:12
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+3,000	$2,940	97¢	$2.9K	-$17	10-27 06:40
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes		+1,539	$1,401	94¢	$1.5K	+$50	10-24 03:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	—	+1,003	$976	97¢	$978	+$1	10-28 02:18
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+1,000	$880	94¢	$940	+$60	10-26 12:14
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes		+1,000	$870	72¢	$725	-$145	10-24 23:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	83	$63.5K	32,548	32,548	+0	Yes	+$1,541	03-27 16:01
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	42	$59.2K	29,677	34,663	-4,987	Yes	+$4,985	04-01 07:20
bitcoin above 70k on march 23	40	$46.1K	23,500	23,497	+2	Yes	+$686	03-23 15:05
bitcoin above 66k on march 25	85	$39.2K	19,976	19,976	+0	Yes	+$714	03-25 13:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$38.2K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$1,760	04-23 23:59
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	40	$37.2K	19,600	19,600	+0	Yes	+$1,959	03-23 14:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	27	$37.1K	19,161	19,161	+0	No	+$1,092	05-29 08:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 26	74	$34.9K	37,111	0	+37,111	Yes	+$2,221	03-26 09:34
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	31	$33.8K	35,264	0	+35,264	Yes	+$1,512	04-03 05:19
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	12	$32.8K	16,678	16,678	+0	Yes	+$447	03-20 05:24
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	47	$29.8K	33,786	33,786	+0	No	-$6,168	03-24 12:21
bitcoin above 62k on april 3	28	$29.4K	30,522	0	+30,522	Yes	+$1,109	04-02 12:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	49	$29.4K	16,619	13,688	+2,931	Yes	+$106	05-30 04:27
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	50	$29.3K	22,902	7,108	+15,794	Yes	+$719	04-02 06:31
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	23	$29.2K	30,397	0	+30,397	Yes	+$1,164	04-02 01:40
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	14	$29.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	Yes	+$960	04-12 14:27
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	8	$28.5K	14,400	14,400	+0	Yes	+$271	03-21 04:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	10	$28.3K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	10-24 14:26
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	17	$26.2K	26,897	0	+26,897	Yes	+$712	03-27 10:38
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	35	$24.6K	43,000	0	+43,000	Yes	-$1,642	03-24 02:08
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	20	$24.5K	18,810	18,810	+0	No	+$547	03-24 19:56
bitcoin above 66k on march 28	81	$24.1K	19,341	7,043	+12,298	Yes	+$630	03-28 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	44	$23.7K	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	+$1,250	04-27 16:08
bitcoin above 66k on march 24	14	$23.6K	12,308	12,304	+5	Yes	+$960	03-24 12:19
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	8	$22.8K	23,351	0	+23,351	Yes	+$525	03-31 09:26
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	45	$22.7K	18,427	9,989	+8,438	No	-$2,687	04-17 15:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	8	$22.7K	19,258	19,258	+0	Yes	-$11,569	06-04 00:57
bitcoin above 66k on march 19	18	$21.5K	10,862	10,862	+0	Yes	+$174	03-19 15:13
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	12	$21.4K	12,000	11,959	+41	Down	-$278	04-05 16:01
bitcoin above 62k on march 29	8	$21.1K	21,328	0	+21,328	Yes	+$205	03-29 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:18:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x13ee19…
10-28 01:42:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	174	97¢	$169	0x41cecd…
10-28 01:13:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	791	97¢	$769	0xaece58…
10-28 01:12:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x446356…
10-28 01:10:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3,000	93¢	$2,790	0x59a818…
10-27 23:51:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	700	99¢	$693	0x172d79…
10-27 23:51:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x78692a…
10-27 23:51:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1,900	99¢	$1,881	0xa6b79f…
10-27 17:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$971	0x300161…
10-27 17:24:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2,000	75¢	$1,492	0x582c4a…
10-27 14:29:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	196	99¢	$194	0x6dd181…
10-27 13:52:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0xcc7b23…
10-27 13:52:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,047	92¢	$969	0x3850d4…
10-27 13:52:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x36a5c9…
10-27 13:52:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0x008a63…
10-27 13:52:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	63	92¢	$58	0x7ef5c7…
10-27 13:51:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xf5f635…
10-27 13:51:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	457	95¢	$434	0xfc97c0…
10-27 13:51:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xdbbd53…
10-27 13:51:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	63	92¢	$58	0x64ed02…
10-27 13:51:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xdd18fb…
10-27 13:49:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	160	95¢	$152	0x298ae3…
10-27 13:46:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	440	99¢	$436	0x9ec2ad…
10-27 13:45:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,599	92¢	$1,477	0x0dce40…
10-27 13:44:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	383	95¢	$364	0x80d3f7…
10-27 10:12:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x04a934…
10-27 10:09:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x03db90…
10-27 10:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xfa819b…
10-27 09:55:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0xb3ac26…
10-27 09:52:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	763	98¢	$744	0xd9357d…
10-27 06:40:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,750	98¢	$2,695	0x0a1291…
10-27 06:35:44	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xaafb43…
10-27 03:54:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xc1126d…
10-27 03:08:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,666	98¢	$1,624	0x29c7a5…
10-26 15:57:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	760	98¢	$741	0x9a1a9a…
10-26 15:11:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	1,805	99¢	$1,789	0xc0b48b…
10-26 15:09:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xe2792e…
10-26 15:09:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	949	99¢	$941	0xf380c5…
10-26 15:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb94181…
10-26 15:07:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x63354e…
10-26 15:02:17	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x3058a6…
10-26 13:35:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9d00d5…
10-26 13:35:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3,750	98¢	$3,694	0xf1cab5…
10-26 13:30:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	333	99¢	$328	0xffd814…
10-26 13:18:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	187	99¢	$184	0x4c25af…
10-26 13:02:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,572	92¢	$1,446	0x127ec1…
10-26 13:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5788dc…
10-26 12:52:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x3c037a…
10-26 12:27:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x230d14…
10-26 12:27:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x01c10d…
10-26 12:27:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x4632ca…
10-26 12:27:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x94b9af…
10-26 12:26:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0xbae0fd…
10-26 12:24:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xb3b00a…
10-26 12:24:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	380	94¢	$359	0x047c75…
10-26 12:24:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	376	94¢	$355	0x8786b4…
10-26 12:24:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	195	94¢	$185	0x47702c…
10-26 12:24:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	95	94¢	$90	0xd9f6d2…
10-26 12:24:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x7b67e7…
10-26 12:24:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	969	94¢	$916	0xbdd9d3…
10-26 12:24:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	977	94¢	$923	0x5eed1d…
10-26 12:24:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,955	94¢	$1,848	0x27838d…
10-26 12:24:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,314	98¢	$1,294	0xa8de2b…
10-26 12:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	219	98¢	$216	0xb430e9…
10-26 12:23:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x08bae4…
10-26 12:23:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,049	98¢	$1,034	0x7a3f5a…
10-26 12:22:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x5fc2b2…
10-26 12:21:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	956	96¢	$916	0xe98fc2…
10-26 12:21:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c1d1c…
10-26 12:20:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,346	98¢	$2,310	0xae8944…
10-26 12:20:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	860	98¢	$845	0x3e0608…
10-26 12:19:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	650	98¢	$640	0xbeb3a3…
10-26 12:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	428	92¢	$394	0xb8b90c…
10-26 12:14:15	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xc916ce…
10-25 12:05:00	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xc8b793…
10-25 12:03:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	291	89¢	$259	0x8b3492…
10-25 12:01:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x0d413e…
10-25 11:53:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	595	89¢	$530	0xa4d7b3…
10-25 02:20:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,311	86¢	$1,134	0x1b49ec…
10-25 02:15:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	143	87¢	$125	0x02a101…
10-25 02:10:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x5d2fe2…
10-25 02:10:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x95f355…
10-25 02:09:21	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x943180…
10-25 02:09:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x632a9c…
10-25 02:08:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x054406…
10-25 02:07:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0xd372f1…
10-25 02:07:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	303	87¢	$263	0xb7a55c…
10-25 02:07:24	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$18	0xd4093e…
10-25 02:01:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb80033…
10-25 02:00:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	679	87¢	$587	0x0f11fb…
10-24 23:17:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	309	87¢	$269	0x86d033…
10-24 22:45:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x0e26e1…
10-24 22:15:41	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xe2868e…
10-24 21:45:42	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	87¢	$22	0x8af2e7…
10-24 21:30:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x9b950c…
10-24 21:15:42	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	87¢	$45	0x4d8cde…
10-24 20:39:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xc32a48…
10-24 20:39:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf3288b…
10-24 20:27:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	159	87¢	$138	0x6c95d4…
10-24 20:27:56	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0xc442a9…