Informal-Stall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

443

Trades

826

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-19 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

69% 79% $0

Crypto

24% 89% +$2

Politics

5% 75% +$0

Tech

2% 60% $0

Sports

0% 67% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	5	$106	53	53	+0	No	$0	07-20 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 22?	4	$96	48	48	+0	No	$0	07-21 19:33
farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-31 02:37
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?	5	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-10 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on July 31?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-31 08:08
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 29	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 01:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-26 20:39
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 22?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-21 17:24
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-31 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on July 30?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 13:05
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	10-11 23:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-26 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 19?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 04:42
bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	8	$61	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 23?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-21 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 13?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	10-13 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 26?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 21?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:24
bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 05:39
will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 20:49
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-26 15:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on May 28?	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-28 20:44
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	10-12 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 30?	6	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-29 23:13
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 27?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-27 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 28?	6	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-28 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on July 28?	3	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-27 12:02
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-19 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:47:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x96abc2…
10-18 22:28:20	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xddd06a…
10-16 11:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2fa1d4…
10-13 10:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 13?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7459a0…
10-13 09:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7e61fa…
10-12 11:17:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdb79b3…
10-12 11:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x655394…
10-12 07:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x892cfb…
10-12 05:52:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe549f4…
10-11 23:40:15	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x68bb39…
10-11 16:56:28	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x50735b…
10-10 07:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xce709f…
10-05 10:12:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x3b727a…
10-02 03:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xaa7477…
10-01 23:42:45	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48be31…
10-01 04:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 1?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x546184…
09-28 02:47:53	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xba2490…
09-27 18:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0dc81f…
09-23 16:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9fcd85…
09-23 02:10:07	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4898c7…
09-23 00:15:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd704e8…
09-22 23:30:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7eb2bb…
09-22 21:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x61b0e9…
09-22 18:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x66ec2b…
09-22 16:35:49	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1c9e12…
09-19 10:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6e46ea…
09-18 01:24:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbce1d3…
09-17 16:34:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xde7757…
09-13 05:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1e1dce…
09-11 20:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7b4548…
09-11 20:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x93631a…
09-11 02:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa329b2…
09-10 20:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x599fd0…
09-07 16:33:09	Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xfd6756…
09-06 16:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 7?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe7b4a8…
09-06 15:30:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5d4c93…
09-06 08:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdb5518…
09-05 22:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8bd39a…
09-05 05:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xed26cf…
09-05 02:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba3ca3…
09-04 19:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7603c2…
09-04 17:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4d7e73…
09-04 07:22:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6d3a83…
09-04 00:48:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c6fa3…
09-03 13:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xae3a50…
09-03 12:54:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x587627…
09-03 03:06:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x1da1f0…
09-02 16:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x37071b…
09-02 11:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x4be5ff…
09-02 08:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x879fbf…
09-01 10:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0298ad…
09-01 02:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x090999…
08-31 02:43:46	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xaf3e1c…
08-31 01:48:39	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x591d44…
08-30 20:02:34	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4796c0…
08-30 15:36:27	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcf6090…
08-30 03:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc9993a…
08-29 23:22:55	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xed0b53…
08-29 14:45:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x23fe2e…
08-28 17:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 29?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x7f45fe…
08-28 12:57:31	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x79be05…
08-27 14:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xc0144c…
08-27 05:34:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4de59f…
08-26 23:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x68099e…
08-26 20:17:48	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3d1185…
08-26 10:53:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x501767…
08-25 15:09:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7e59a4…
08-25 12:01:22	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa10ed0…
08-25 07:32:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x821dfc…
08-24 22:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8287eb…
08-24 19:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb18ba9…
08-24 11:49:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x60241a…
08-23 22:28:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6fe53f…
08-23 18:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd691a5…
08-14 15:53:45	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfe7ce4…
08-14 09:23:15	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3309d5…
08-13 18:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1f0242…
08-13 14:44:06	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa35d86…
08-13 10:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x50f95d…
08-12 23:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x39a212…
08-12 22:09:52	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb02a75…
08-12 07:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d1ee9…
08-12 05:05:10	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x517462…
08-12 00:11:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb446a1…
08-11 21:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x28266c…
08-11 13:24:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc89de6…
08-11 03:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6d538c…
08-10 20:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x836db2…
08-10 13:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7a97eb…
08-10 12:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x86850c…
08-09 13:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x20d8cf…
08-09 07:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73dcfa…
08-09 04:14:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x359826…
08-09 02:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x86005e…
08-08 19:23:24	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfcb61f…
08-08 07:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe34c61…
08-08 06:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc36987…
08-07 20:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x78eb56…
08-07 16:59:51	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x642217…
08-07 11:56:34	will wti reach 95 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x466ef1…