Informal-Stall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

246

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 08-08 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$0

Other

36% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	5	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	07-20 21:02
farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	3	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	07-31 02:37
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 29	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	07-30 01:57
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	2	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	07-31 00:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	3	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	05-26 08:57
bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	8	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	07-22 06:46
bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	07-23 05:39
will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-19 20:49
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	07-25 01:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on May 28?	4	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	05-28 20:44
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-19 18:57
will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	07-19 06:40
solana above 90 on july 28 2026	3	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-28 00:10
highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 64 65f	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 22:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 13:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 15:15
Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 04:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 21	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 21:21
highest temperature in madrid on april 18 2026 22corbelow	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 12:21
bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	06-09 01:32
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 8c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 11:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-06 22:23
ethereum above 2000 on july 17 2026	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	07-17 09:55
will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	3	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	07-26 07:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 13?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-13 20:07
will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 yzbu	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 12:10
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-25 10:46
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	07-26 13:25
bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	06-08 17:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 20?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 19:23:24	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfcb61f…
08-07 16:59:51	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x642217…
08-07 11:56:34	will wti reach 95 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x466ef1…
08-06 07:26:50	bitcoin above 62k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcdc153…
08-05 21:04:12	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x739d94…
07-31 02:37:35	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1c8a69…
07-31 01:52:41	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc3bcfd…
07-31 00:47:20	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x95d21c…
07-31 00:44:08	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xecd972…
07-30 19:33:23	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x11d9ca…
07-30 18:00:15	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x36929f…
07-30 13:59:38	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xaae893…
07-30 02:00:57	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x42e931…
07-30 01:59:23	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc024c2…
07-30 01:57:54	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 29	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x201c0b…
07-30 00:07:44	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x33ad6e…
07-29 21:27:24	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbb3c51…
07-29 20:52:06	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 29	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1cd370…
07-29 18:48:20	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa76455…
07-29 18:24:21	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x747b88…
07-29 14:47:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd01b81…
07-28 16:19:19	will boeing say airplane 10 times during earnings call 20260724221853546	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xefcb73…
07-28 15:17:10	will boeing say airplane 10 times during earnings call 20260724221853546	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xffb722…
07-28 03:38:49	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 27	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf8a34a…
07-28 03:35:13	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 27	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa6ba3d…
07-28 03:17:28	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 27	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x91042c…
07-28 00:10:57	solana above 90 on july 28 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x26e5a6…
07-28 00:07:27	solana above 90 on july 28 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4f0f01…
07-27 22:49:57	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 27	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4210f9…
07-27 18:26:40	solana above 90 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc9be6b…
07-26 13:25:01	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaedcf7…
07-26 07:57:28	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x8b98d7…
07-26 07:21:58	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb173ee…
07-26 07:09:00	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7d0765…
07-26 05:34:48	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x829e68…
07-26 04:43:06	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6ee082…
07-25 23:10:42	will michelle yeoh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553824	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe18f5b…
07-25 20:35:18	will michelle yeoh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553824	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf3c4e0…
07-25 14:32:18	ethereum above 1900 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf3b5cf…
07-25 11:47:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x216287…
07-25 10:46:37	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd372da…
07-25 10:44:00	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5f9155…
07-25 07:08:45	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1f8f67…
07-25 01:17:28	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4198f5…
07-25 00:50:21	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe3a1f0…
07-23 05:39:45	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x7037d2…
07-23 01:42:31	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x17686b…
07-22 06:46:19	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xec7bfa…
07-22 06:45:36	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9601ab…
07-22 06:45:33	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2d9e74…
07-22 06:44:57	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xab599a…
07-22 06:44:39	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xceed40…
07-22 06:44:39	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x09a807…
07-22 06:44:37	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7812e2…
07-21 17:03:00	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe1ebc2…
07-21 11:19:07	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x33f1a7…
07-21 00:00:55	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x37c73c…
07-20 21:02:33	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2eb435…
07-20 20:57:07	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x40eada…
07-20 20:49:51	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe6aa5b…
07-20 18:41:16	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x774944…
07-20 14:51:49	ethereum above 1800 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1f28a4…
07-20 12:03:19	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x884f22…
07-20 08:42:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x74081a…
07-20 04:14:54	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x587e78…
07-19 21:35:31	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9078f0…
07-19 20:49:06	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x1f0fe8…
07-19 18:57:00	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x86a3b3…
07-19 18:12:15	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x13d809…
07-19 06:40:04	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1a2b7d…
07-19 05:35:25	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x97718d…
07-19 00:45:48	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe35fa0…
07-17 23:24:27	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdd6481…
07-17 09:55:57	ethereum above 2000 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfa2a82…
07-17 05:28:07	ethereum above 2000 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6f141a…
07-11 02:15:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6b1f9e…
07-10 23:04:16	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xaa9585…
07-10 22:28:26	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x36747d…
07-10 19:00:14	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x849b4d…
07-10 13:16:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4a1977…
07-08 21:04:25	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 8	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x68d416…
07-07 22:37:41	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 7	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5f425d…
06-09 01:32:00	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa06f96…
06-08 17:38:49	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x792056…
06-08 14:54:52	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2f12f2…
06-07 21:25:12	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x44bd5f…
06-03 09:55:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe6462f…
06-02 14:17:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x339fe8…
06-02 09:28:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78311b…
06-01 15:15:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcbbb1b…
06-01 13:51:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x503480…
06-01 11:24:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfa06a3…
06-01 08:10:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb5c316…
06-01 06:12:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe9260e…
05-31 22:23:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xadb263…
05-31 17:09:10	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb30cb7…
05-31 07:45:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8bf19c…
05-29 22:23:52	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3f58ff…
05-29 17:02:15	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4e9e29…
05-29 16:29:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd6a461…