Hollow-Cheese — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$820

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

448

Trades

3,292

lifetime

Volume

$5.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-28 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Other

58% 15% -$497

Politics

23% 27% +$58

Crypto

19% 10% -$381

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	13	$659	900	600	+300	Yes	+$208	10-10 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	37	$620	1,375	1,000	+375	Yes	+$13	10-09 14:51
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$242	200	200	+0	Yes	+$142	03-12 16:46
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	31	$233	3,000	2,951	+49	No	-$1	02-27 08:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	42	$229	3,280	0	+3,280	No	-$229	10-02 06:13
us forces enter iran by march 7	9	$189	500	500	+0	No	+$6	03-05 08:00
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	4	$181	100	100	+0	No	+$17	04-10 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	6	$138	100	100	+0	Yes	-$7	10-08 23:06
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	7	$133	80	80	-0	No	$0	02-21 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	4	$120	100	100	+0	No	+$14	10-06 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	3	$106	90	90	-0	Yes	-$32	07-25 14:33
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	47	$103	4,000	2,449	+1,550	No	-$21	02-26 07:07
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	15	$100	14,200	12,200	+2,000	No	-$10	02-13 03:59
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-25 06:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-14 07:06
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	42	$74	2,210	2,200	+10	No	+$2	02-28 02:42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	5	$71	100	100	+0	No	-$40	10-07 05:27
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$70	115	58	+58	No	-$46	05-14 19:19
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	24	$66	8,300	8,300	+0	No	$0	02-14 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	28	$65	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$19	07-25 04:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	13	$63	1,942	707	+1,234	No	-$27	03-04 05:54
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	17	$58	5,200	5,200	+0	No	$0	02-13 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	33	$56	3,749	1,050	+2,699	No	-$22	09-21 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	15	$48	1,368	1,368	+0	No	-$4	07-22 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	139	$41	4,450	0	+4,450	No	-$41	09-28 12:07
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	3	$39	40	0	+40	Yes	+$1	03-11 15:58
bitcoin above 74k on march 12	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	03-12 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20?	5	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$1	09-19 15:02
ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	2	$33	326	0	+326	No	-$33	07-14 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 21?	2	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$1	09-20 22:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:33:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	207	0¢	$0	0x0e6108…
10-28 08:33:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	331	0¢	$0	0xe8103d…
10-28 08:32:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x09cc0c…
10-28 08:31:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x836b81…
10-28 08:15:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x785df9…
10-28 08:08:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xdc469d…
10-28 08:05:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xe635c8…
10-28 08:02:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xa18e4e…
10-28 08:01:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x718c64…
10-28 07:51:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x6ff7c9…
10-28 07:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xd75938…
10-28 07:40:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xf9c540…
10-28 07:33:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x4d52b6…
10-28 07:29:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x20cc28…
10-28 07:28:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xf30daa…
10-28 07:28:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x74cf04…
10-28 07:24:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcf1311…
10-28 07:22:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x2269af…
10-28 07:21:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x77b8d2…
10-28 06:58:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcc827c…
10-26 13:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	0¢	$2	0xbbae6e…
10-26 07:17:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xea0ec8…
10-26 06:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb8caef…
10-26 06:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9891a2…
10-26 06:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x42b2ba…
10-26 06:54:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2dd05a…
10-25 06:22:05	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x590370…
10-25 06:21:53	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xde64a9…
10-22 12:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0x505f11…
10-21 09:40:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xae51af…
10-21 09:40:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x8c1aa7…
10-21 08:19:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xf7edb0…
10-21 04:42:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	1¢	$2	0xde6541…
10-21 04:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6753ac…
10-21 04:40:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcded1b…
10-19 11:55:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0x02cca5…
10-19 07:28:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xd6702b…
10-16 10:32:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	1,700	0¢	$2	0xadc401…
10-14 13:38:26	bitcoin above 78k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x3bc8cd…
10-14 08:23:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1,013	0¢	$1	0xdc9e3e…
10-14 08:18:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	487	0¢	$0	0xfe351e…
10-12 10:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x2d3738…
10-12 08:38:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x66b0bc…
10-12 08:25:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1,191	0¢	$1	0xfca9ce…
10-12 05:47:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	920	0¢	$1	0xf8aa78…
10-12 05:47:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x3db1c4…
10-12 05:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	899	0¢	$1	0x05210d…
10-12 05:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0xdc11b9…
10-12 05:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3fecc9…
10-12 05:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x36822b…
10-12 04:55:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xa5f71d…
10-10 15:13:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	93¢	$83	0x996713…
10-10 15:13:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x6d825c…
10-10 15:11:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x159970…
10-10 00:12:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$103	0x84ba4e…
10-09 17:19:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb3f355…
10-09 16:56:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xc3425a…
10-09 14:51:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf5f9cd…
10-09 14:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	91¢	$68	0x1a02ac…
10-09 14:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x975e05…
10-09 14:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xa98ea7…
10-09 03:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$38	0xb3d23a…
10-09 03:21:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$37	0xadf673…
10-09 03:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x4b5015…
10-09 02:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0x26076e…
10-08 23:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	No	SELL	57	50¢	$28	0x667c0a…
10-08 23:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x2a96e7…
10-08 23:04:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x1a9291…
10-08 23:02:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x86deac…
10-08 23:02:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	184	13¢	$24	0x69d33f…
10-08 23:02:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	13¢	$14	0x71d8c7…
10-08 23:01:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xcbf018…
10-08 23:01:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	13¢	$38	0xd5bf8e…
10-08 23:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	13¢	$19	0x1b6262…
10-08 23:01:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xa1c3af…
10-08 23:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xc2be3e…
10-08 23:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x3f8e64…
10-08 22:59:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0x585179…
10-08 21:34:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	2¢	$5	0x7ba3c1…
10-08 18:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xb78181…
10-08 18:19:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x22c5d2…
10-08 18:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x5a43ee…
10-08 14:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x610895…
10-08 14:22:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x71d8be…
10-08 14:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x15050c…
10-08 14:21:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x0330ce…
10-08 14:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x61e393…
10-08 14:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x0990f5…
10-08 14:20:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc28502…
10-08 14:20:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xb68b6f…
10-08 14:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x55fd64…
10-08 14:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xc7a6b5…
10-08 14:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0x355bce…
10-08 14:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x1f6608…
10-08 14:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb0e29f…
10-08 14:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xadd48b…
10-08 13:51:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x171528…
10-08 13:51:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa7c61d…
10-08 13:48:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x812e6e…
10-08 13:46:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x9e0994…