Vast-Command — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

111

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$7.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$86

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 23:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

45% 67% +$381

Other

40% 26% -$187

Crypto

9% 15% -$305

Sports

6% 50% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+97	$30	52¢	$50	+$20	10-27 22:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+16	$14	98¢	$16	+$2	10-24 16:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	10-24 21:49
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	+159	$14	6¢	$9	-$5	10-24 21:37
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-3	-$1	14¢	$-0	+$0	05-18 22:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	11	$767	475	475	+0	No	+$166	10-23 10:33
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	2	$432	269	265	+4	Yaroslav Amosov	+$86	05-10 00:20
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	4	$432	330	330	+0	Yes	+$22	10-23 05:14
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	14	$428	597	444	+154	No	+$43	10-23 12:50
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	4	$415	217	217	+0	Yes	+$6	10-21 21:59
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	16	$315	314	314	+0	Yes	-$41	10-18 20:40
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	3	$304	158	158	+0	open	—	10-26 10:07
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	4	$262	215	215	+0	Yes	+$22	10-26 20:01
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	4	$262	140	140	+0	Yes	+$16	10-22 00:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	3	$248	126	126	+0	Yes	+$4	10-24 21:03
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	7	$224	1,123	123	+1,000	Yes	-$12	10-20 07:48
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	12	$211	256	256	+0	No	+$105	10-23 07:37
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	5	$205	145	145	+0	No	+$59	10-24 22:54
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	3	$201	106	106	+0	Yes	+$2	10-16 15:37
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	2	$189	214	0	+214	Yes	+$25	10-24 01:15
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	3	$184	148	60	+88	Yes	+$12	10-26 21:01
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	9	$173	184	101	+83	Yes	-$49	10-23 11:06
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	3	$162	104	104	+0	Yes	+$42	10-27 13:38
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$141	94	94	+0	open	—	10-23 20:15
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	3	$127	183	0	+183	open	—	10-25 10:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	4	$124	280	25	+255	Yes	-$106	05-16 15:37
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$109	66	66	+0	open	—	10-27 21:48
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?	1	$101	107	0	+107	Yes	+$6	10-16 19:53
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	10-27 15:15
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?	2	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	+$20	10-18 18:55
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?	2	$95	99	0	+99	Yes	+$4	10-13 11:09
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	3	$93	108	0	+108	Yes	+$16	10-17 19:44
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	1	$75	79	0	+79	open	—	10-27 15:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$72	300	300	+0	No	+$0	05-18 13:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	2	$72	100	100	+0	No	+$12	05-15 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:41:11	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x76c2c5…
10-28 07:25:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	166	12¢	$20	0xdcdcf1…
10-27 23:16:50	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0xccacb1…
10-27 22:37:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x88381b…
10-27 21:48:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	66	81¢	$53	0xdfd461…
10-27 20:22:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xcf3b76…
10-27 20:15:44	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x27b5ba…
10-27 20:10:45	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x452528…
10-27 20:07:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xaf3036…
10-27 15:15:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x575388…
10-27 15:05:53	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	Yes	BUY	79	94¢	$75	0xc301a7…
10-27 13:38:35	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5d19e1…
10-27 13:37:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x2bc934…
10-27 13:22:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	58¢	$60	0x5ff037…
10-27 02:35:38	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	3¢	$3	0x55e5fb…
10-26 21:01:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x235825…
10-26 21:00:15	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x54f9fb…
10-26 20:56:45	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x2fa9b5…
10-26 20:42:27	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0xebd993…
10-26 20:42:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x8a9597…
10-26 20:01:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xb3a9ad…
10-26 19:45:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x82b651…
10-26 19:43:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	95	25¢	$23	0x625588…
10-26 14:26:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2f4ab7…
10-26 12:13:12	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4ec4ce…
10-26 11:55:53	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$54	0xbcabb7…
10-26 11:54:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xb0807d…
10-26 10:07:39	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	158	97¢	$153	0xc194ac…
10-25 10:49:30	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x13ddfb…
10-25 10:45:17	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xde3fcf…
10-25 10:28:54	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	157	96¢	$150	0xab8b8e…
10-25 09:56:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x16131a…
10-24 22:54:03	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x860748…
10-24 21:49:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x03bd36…
10-24 21:48:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x53bb5b…
10-24 21:45:15	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6a9fd8…
10-24 21:37:38	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x40efe2…
10-24 21:05:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	36	93¢	$34	0x2aeef2…
10-24 21:03:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x49c1aa…
10-24 19:31:45	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	71¢	$67	0x41e44c…
10-24 16:08:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x1b5529…
10-24 11:30:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x18eea0…
10-24 11:28:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	145	50¢	$73	0x7e803f…
10-24 10:56:00	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfe0cc1…
10-24 01:18:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x65d4d8…
10-24 01:15:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x28cb66…
10-24 01:11:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x85a847…
10-23 20:15:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	96¢	$91	0xde0c23…
10-23 19:59:02	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c4624…
10-23 19:42:18	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x717d22…
10-23 19:26:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x79244a…
10-23 12:50:14	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$150	0xdbcf96…
10-23 11:06:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb49c8d…
10-23 11:06:33	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa200d8…
10-23 10:56:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd744f1…
10-23 10:56:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x07d7cd…
10-23 10:56:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x64b04b…
10-23 10:33:48	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0xd2ee11…
10-23 10:19:53	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0x73ad8e…
10-23 09:42:47	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6fb46d…
10-23 09:42:29	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x98d0a1…
10-23 07:37:17	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x1bfd6a…
10-23 07:33:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0xd5053a…
10-23 07:32:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	62¢	$62	0x3e8354…
10-23 07:30:53	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x409279…
10-23 05:14:30	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	70¢	$173	0x602fb0…
10-23 01:42:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	65¢	$53	0xefc4e8…
10-22 20:53:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	65¢	$105	0xb4c80b…
10-22 18:01:44	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0xc7d607…
10-22 17:10:53	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xd22b1c…
10-22 17:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xf96f6d…
10-22 17:10:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$3	0x1861d9…
10-22 17:06:02	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf0339c…
10-22 16:30:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x5e9978…
10-22 15:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8098a0…
10-22 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbbada5…
10-22 14:45:30	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	15¢	$8	0x728259…
10-22 14:18:24	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x939802…
10-22 13:27:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7cd478…
10-22 12:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x1f3d87…
10-22 11:07:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2b051c…
10-22 11:06:57	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd86f0b…
10-22 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x4269d1…
10-22 10:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xca7b43…
10-22 10:17:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0xff507b…
10-22 00:16:24	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0xa85271…
10-21 21:59:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	97¢	$210	0xa2b4e8…
10-21 21:36:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x5144fc…
10-21 21:29:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x4b009d…
10-21 21:29:11	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xc1c4b6…
10-21 21:23:12	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xf00dc6…
10-21 21:07:53	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x650ac8…
10-21 21:05:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x09138e…
10-21 21:01:00	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xdef92e…
10-21 20:43:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$42	0xa10653…
10-21 18:27:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xb22f48…
10-21 10:38:36	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	96¢	$90	0x0da87a…
10-21 09:04:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x67a63a…
10-21 06:11:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xa59660…
10-21 05:51:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0x09492a…