Realized P&L
-$8.75K
Unrealized P&L
+$276
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved
312
Trades
2,617
lifetime
Volume
$649.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$248
Open exposure
$6.93K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-06 02:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Crypto
76%
99%
-$5,553
Other
18%
77%
-$1,503
Politics
4%
67%
-$1,889
Tech
2%
100%
+$191
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | -4,100 | -$3,591 | 97¢ | $-3983 | -$393 | 06-06 02:21 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | -1,000 | -$921 | 98¢ | $-978 | -$57 | 05-19 00:23 | |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -422 | -$397 | 97¢ | $-409 | -$12 | 04-30 10:07 | |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | No | -421 | -$351 | 82¢ | $-347 | +$4 | 06-01 19:49 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | -419 | -$390 | 74¢ | $-309 | +$81 | 05-24 12:19 | |
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | -308 | -$302 | 99¢ | $-304 | -$2 | 05-01 06:05 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +299 | -$122 | 92¢ | $273 | +$396 | 06-05 02:03 | |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | -123 | -$122 | 99¢ | $-122 | $0 | 04-30 12:40 | |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | +132 | $96 | 83¢ | $109 | +$13 | 05-12 22:14 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | -80 | -$63 | 78¢ | $-62 | +$1 | 05-21 13:13 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -45 | -$40 | 44¢ | $-20 | +$20 | 05-02 09:12 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | -303 | -$236 | 4¢ | $-11 | +$225 | 05-06 11:43 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bitcoin above 84k on january 12 | 12 | $23.0K | 13,000 | 10,000 | +3,000 | Yes | +$16 | 01-12 14:51 |
| microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026 | 209 | $22.1K | 11,618 | 11,263 | +356 | No | +$104 | 03-26 02:55 |
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 105 | $19.9K | 10,373 | 10,049 | +324 | No | +$68 | 03-23 17:23 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 107 | $19.0K | 12,900 | 12,601 | +299 | open | — | 06-05 02:03 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 48 | $15.6K | 7,301 | 11,401 | -4,100 | open | — | 06-06 02:21 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 26 | $12.2K | 5,600 | 7,200 | -1,600 | No | +$23 | 06-05 08:21 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 47 | $10.3K | 9,295 | 11,253 | -1,958 | No | -$7,505 | 06-01 12:44 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 34 | $10.2K | 5,200 | 5,400 | -200 | No | +$135 | 05-19 01:41 |
| bitcoin above 84k on january 20 | 6 | $9.9K | 4,936 | 4,936 | +0 | Yes | +$2 | 01-20 09:53 |
| will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985 | 97 | $9.7K | 5,100 | 5,100 | +0 | Yes | +$46 | 01-19 03:01 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | 77 | $9.6K | 5,285 | 5,150 | +135 | No | +$127 | 04-26 08:37 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | 66 | $8.7K | 4,044 | 4,885 | -842 | No | +$27 | 03-17 09:07 |
| will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026 | 159 | $8.7K | 4,573 | 4,305 | +268 | No | +$38 | 01-29 06:24 |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale? | 34 | $7.8K | 5,623 | 4,564 | +1,060 | No | +$370 | 01-09 11:04 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182 | 83 | $5.9K | 2,636 | 3,647 | -1,011 | No | -$2 | 04-24 09:16 |
| will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647 | 23 | $5.9K | 3,000 | 2,971 | +29 | No | +$18 | 01-21 22:34 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 29 | $5.7K | 3,800 | 2,200 | +1,600 | No | +$118 | 04-14 06:42 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 10 | $5.5K | 3,800 | 1,800 | +2,000 | No | +$28 | 03-29 20:04 |
| infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497 | 35 | $5.2K | 3,031 | 2,614 | +417 | No | +$76 | 01-22 15:51 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 7 | $5.2K | 2,470 | 2,770 | -300 | No | +$71 | 05-31 13:15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28? | 10 | $5.1K | 2,550 | 2,550 | +0 | Yes | +$4 | 05-28 13:22 |
| bitcoin above 74k on march 23 | 15 | $4.8K | 4,814 | 0 | +4,814 | No | +$19 | 03-23 12:48 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24? | 5 | $4.7K | 4,687 | 0 | +4,687 | Yes | +$10 | 05-24 10:36 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | 17 | $4.6K | 2,334 | 2,334 | +0 | Yes | +$56 | 05-23 15:15 |
| bitcoin above 86k on january 13 | 5 | $4.5K | 4,467 | 0 | +4,467 | Yes | +$11 | 01-13 09:26 |
| Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 40 | $4.4K | 2,096 | 2,426 | -329 | No | +$57 | 01-31 06:48 |
| bitcoin above 62k on march 25 | 9 | $4.0K | 4,000 | 0 | +4,000 | Yes | +$6 | 03-25 05:36 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8? | 4 | $4.0K | 4,000 | 0 | +4,000 | No | +$8 | 05-08 04:09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7? | 7 | $4.0K | 4,000 | 0 | +4,000 | Yes | +$9 | 05-07 10:49 |
| Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale? | 12 | $3.9K | 3,984 | 0 | +3,984 | No | +$126 | 01-10 06:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||