Neglected-Twilight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,401

lifetime

Volume

$592.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$247

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-06 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 100% +$94

Other

15% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	12	$23.0K	13,000	10,000	+3,000	open	—	01-12 14:51
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	209	$22.1K	11,618	11,263	+356	open	—	03-26 02:55
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	105	$19.9K	10,373	10,049	+324	open	—	03-23 17:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	34	$10.2K	5,200	5,400	-200	open	—	05-19 01:41
bitcoin above 84k on january 20	6	$9.9K	4,936	4,936	+0	open	—	01-20 09:53
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	97	$9.7K	5,100	5,100	+0	open	—	01-19 03:01
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	77	$9.6K	5,285	5,150	+135	open	—	04-26 08:37
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	66	$8.7K	4,044	4,885	-842	open	—	03-17 09:07
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	159	$8.7K	4,573	4,305	+268	open	—	01-29 06:24
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	34	$7.8K	5,623	4,564	+1,060	open	—	01-09 11:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	32	$6.9K	5,360	11,253	-5,893	open	—	06-01 12:44
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	83	$5.9K	2,636	3,647	-1,011	open	—	04-24 09:16
will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	23	$5.9K	3,000	2,971	+29	open	—	01-21 22:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	29	$5.7K	3,800	2,200	+1,600	open	—	04-14 06:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$5.5K	3,800	1,800	+2,000	open	—	03-29 20:04
infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	35	$5.2K	3,031	2,614	+417	open	—	01-22 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	10	$5.1K	2,550	2,550	+0	open	—	05-28 13:22
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	15	$4.8K	4,814	0	+4,814	open	—	03-23 12:48
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	5	$4.5K	4,467	0	+4,467	open	—	01-13 09:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	14	$4.4K	2,107	2,334	-227	open	—	05-23 15:15
Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?	40	$4.4K	2,096	2,426	-329	open	—	01-31 06:48
bitcoin above 62k on march 25	9	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	03-25 05:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	4	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$8	05-08 04:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	7	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$9	05-07 10:49
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	12	$3.9K	3,984	0	+3,984	open	—	01-10 06:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	11	$3.8K	800	3,560	-2,760	open	—	06-06 02:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	4	$3.7K	3,687	0	+3,687	open	—	05-24 10:36
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	24	$3.7K	1,667	2,369	-702	open	—	04-25 03:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	9	$3.1K	3,062	0	+3,062	open	—	05-27 12:25
over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	7	$3.0K	2,679	600	+2,079	open	—	01-10 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 02:21:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xae48c9…
06-06 02:02:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	516	88¢	$454	0x1220af…
06-06 02:00:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	222	88¢	$195	0x84cf2d…
06-06 01:57:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,253	88¢	$1,103	0x200b6d…
06-06 01:52:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	59	88¢	$52	0x3a2e2c…
06-05 08:21:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,514	98¢	$1,487	0x20eea2…
06-05 02:03:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	102	85¢	$86	0xa0ab4b…
06-05 02:03:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xec2a71…
06-05 02:03:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x5dca90…
06-05 02:03:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x21ab77…
06-05 02:03:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x3baa33…
06-05 02:03:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2c267e…
06-05 02:03:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xaf41f4…
06-05 02:03:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa02d05…
06-05 02:03:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x9bf8b7…
06-05 02:03:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7f9d24…
06-05 02:03:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x431759…
06-05 02:02:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xad0f1b…
06-05 02:02:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x972b06…
06-05 02:02:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x4dd2d5…
06-05 02:02:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x3e4a40…
06-05 02:02:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x001d95…
06-05 01:42:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x4e358b…
06-05 01:39:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x115f6f…
06-05 01:38:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x1b39eb…
06-05 01:38:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf23400…
06-05 01:35:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xade68f…
06-05 01:35:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xab2a8c…
06-05 01:35:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x6ea6d2…
06-05 01:34:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0xca8f0c…
06-05 01:34:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x987f06…
06-05 01:34:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc5dafd…
06-05 01:34:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbdc644…
06-05 01:34:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa5c143…
06-05 01:34:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x0ae0e6…
06-05 01:34:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x6ffa6e…
06-05 01:34:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	733	85¢	$623	0xeb58cb…
06-03 14:42:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	690	87¢	$600	0x93a85e…
06-03 08:28:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,025	84¢	$861	0x488f25…
06-02 07:31:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	500	88¢	$440	0x0fc3ff…
06-02 02:35:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,006	97¢	$979	0x8b8114…
06-02 02:11:17	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	479	98¢	$469	0xa138e4…
06-02 02:11:17	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	121	98¢	$119	0x04e30c…
06-01 19:49:34	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	198	81¢	$160	0xf94227…
06-01 12:44:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11,253	21¢	$2,390	0x58cdd5…
06-01 06:04:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x3515eb…
06-01 06:04:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x37cb29…
06-01 06:04:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xa285f4…
06-01 06:01:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0xa55c37…
06-01 06:01:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$26	0xf96da0…
06-01 05:59:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x3465f2…
06-01 05:58:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xb307a6…
06-01 05:55:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x4c868a…
06-01 05:21:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	82¢	$326	0xf198ba…
06-01 04:56:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xf6a7ad…
05-31 23:44:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	157	86¢	$134	0x4e6ed0…
05-31 23:32:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0xcfc103…
05-31 18:11:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x7c0c69…
05-31 17:39:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	90¢	$540	0x0180cb…
05-31 15:03:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	400	84¢	$336	0x7cf9c3…
05-31 14:19:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2e9e59…
05-31 13:45:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$181	0xc8a74e…
05-31 13:21:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	90¢	$152	0x3710fa…
05-31 13:09:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	938	92¢	$863	0x9d14ce…
05-31 13:09:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	179	92¢	$165	0x6b804d…
05-31 13:09:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x406bce…
05-31 06:02:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	300	87¢	$261	0x1d758d…
05-31 04:51:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	989	100¢	$987	0x215d9c…
05-31 04:34:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb20fee…
05-31 01:36:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	413	100¢	$412	0xc964f4…
05-31 01:35:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	587	100¢	$586	0xcb5faf…
05-30 09:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a5b01…
05-30 09:14:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7ab691…
05-30 09:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x845017…
05-30 08:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb2c4a7…
05-30 07:59:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba99ce…
05-29 05:02:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x54746b…
05-29 04:25:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	165	68¢	$112	0x14ca80…
05-29 04:03:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$141	0x21170e…
05-29 04:01:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	71¢	$285	0x9e03e2…
05-29 03:49:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x626249…
05-29 03:46:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	197	78¢	$154	0x695289…
05-29 03:23:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2ad7fc…
05-29 03:00:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xb3083e…
05-29 00:28:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	550	100¢	$548	0xfb595a…
05-29 00:25:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x47a1de…
05-29 00:08:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0xa7d189…
05-28 23:49:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x11b64d…
05-28 23:49:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	286	99¢	$284	0xde719f…
05-28 20:45:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	105	83¢	$87	0xd524f4…
05-28 20:40:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	295	83¢	$245	0x4413cd…
05-28 20:13:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0x9442b3…
05-28 13:22:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	2,246	100¢	$2,241	0xba2e55…
05-28 10:12:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xc03604…
05-28 10:12:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0xedbbe0…
05-28 09:09:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xcfc146…
05-28 09:02:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x911e50…
05-28 09:01:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1bb263…
05-28 08:59:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xac3189…
05-28 08:57:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x8c6a39…