Gregarious-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.99K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

971

Trades

16,848

lifetime

Volume

$96.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 271 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 20% -$4,953

Politics

0% 0% -$49

Other

0% 71% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No		+300	$3	0¢	$1	-$3	10-27 09:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	Yes		+101	$2	1¢	$1	-$2	10-27 01:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	72	$5.2K	10,585	10,594	-9	No	-$232	02-09 16:49
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	66	$3.6K	7,275	7,275	+0	No	-$57	07-28 02:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	210	$2.5K	11,456	10,178	+1,278	Yes	+$627	05-18 15:54
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	52	$2.0K	11,662	11,662	+0	Yes	+$1,860	01-29 16:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	47	$1.9K	10,373	9,798	+575	No	+$389	05-31 02:22
bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	86	$1.7K	8,647	8,647	+0	No	+$723	07-02 10:23
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	35	$1.7K	1,654	1,654	+0	Yes	+$377	07-28 02:40
bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	106	$1.7K	7,633	7,633	+0	Yes	+$411	07-01 14:07
bitcoin above 70k on february 14	61	$1.7K	3,565	4,065	-500	No	+$1,117	02-14 11:22
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	18	$1.6K	2,328	2,328	+0	No	+$122	03-12 15:52
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	82	$1.5K	4,568	4,217	+351	No	+$900	01-30 16:06
bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	112	$1.3K	24,880	11,874	+13,006	No	+$78	07-09 15:37
bitcoin above 84k on february 3	33	$1.2K	20,572	2,629	+17,942	No	+$98	02-03 15:03
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	94	$1.1K	6,973	4,884	+2,089	No	-$61	02-02 16:42
bitcoin above 82k on february 3	48	$1.1K	30,254	4,214	+26,040	No	+$95	02-03 15:04
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	39	$1.1K	1,987	1,813	+174	No	+$209	02-01 16:27
bitcoin above 62k on july 28 2026	151	$1.1K	23,074	11,501	+11,574	Yes	+$412	07-28 15:19
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	19	$1.1K	2,231	2,231	+0	No	+$30	02-02 12:33
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	55	$1.0K	6,641	1,917	+4,724	Yes	+$43	02-09 16:35
bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	95	$869	9,618	8,617	+1,000	Yes	+$640	07-31 15:31
bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	93	$849	16,115	5,477	+10,638	Yes	+$424	07-17 15:37
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	68	$823	5,189	2,126	+3,063	No	+$443	01-31 14:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	108	$809	13,488	8,701	+4,787	Yes	+$356	05-28 15:49
bitcoin above 84k on february 1	18	$773	6,630	2,692	+3,938	No	-$43	02-01 02:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	57	$766	3,735	2,597	+1,138	No	+$295	05-20 15:43
bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	43	$763	16,924	4,838	+12,086	No	-$154	06-29 14:07
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	49	$744	3,187	2,553	+634	No	+$82	01-31 16:46
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	33	$683	2,650	2,228	+422	No	+$135	06-25 14:35
bitcoin above 64k on july 8 2026	80	$636	14,478	2,636	+11,842	No	-$249	07-08 13:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	39	$631	14,483	3,871	+10,611	Yes	+$366	05-23 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:51:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x522964…
10-27 16:00:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4dd939…
10-27 15:42:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x27b0cb…
10-27 15:39:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x871bad…
10-27 15:39:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x786287…
10-27 15:18:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	833	0¢	$2	0xffea19…
10-27 15:16:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xede0a0…
10-27 15:10:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd04d29…
10-27 15:10:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0xd3f5e8…
10-27 14:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	299	0¢	$1	0xc45098…
10-27 14:54:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xee3995…
10-27 14:54:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa442a8…
10-27 14:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x6dde80…
10-27 14:17:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xf581e4…
10-27 14:17:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$1	0x0bb414…
10-27 14:17:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0xbf3de2…
10-27 14:14:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x7bd558…
10-27 14:14:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	209	1¢	$2	0xafb2dc…
10-27 13:18:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x52a55a…
10-27 12:51:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xc98f7b…
10-27 12:50:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$1	0xa21e68…
10-27 12:50:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8ed501…
10-27 11:26:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0xbc34dc…
10-27 11:25:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x2b54e5…
10-27 11:24:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xf4abb1…
10-27 11:24:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x0605ee…
10-27 10:35:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x3c64fc…
10-27 10:26:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1bbac6…
10-27 10:12:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x04a934…
10-27 10:10:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x6254af…
10-27 09:31:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x876b69…
10-27 09:30:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x27da25…
10-27 06:25:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x5ea626…
10-27 06:24:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x37ed37…
10-27 06:24:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xcaf50d…
10-27 02:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x6cf6db…
10-27 02:16:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xf6a8de…
10-27 02:16:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbd5807…
10-27 02:15:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8c305c…
10-27 02:05:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xceca03…
10-27 02:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x92d39f…
10-27 01:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5821c3…
10-27 01:59:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0ebbbe…
10-27 01:35:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xf12257…
10-27 01:23:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x66f192…
10-26 16:38:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x8a7c8c…
10-26 16:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcecd5e…
10-26 16:37:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf56a49…
10-26 15:39:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	372	0¢	$1	0x9ae403…
10-26 15:38:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xeb731f…
10-26 15:38:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	123	0¢	$0	0xe7c31f…
10-26 15:38:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	177	0¢	$1	0x8c1f23…
10-26 15:36:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x441aac…
10-26 13:57:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x301a3d…
10-26 13:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0xdedfb0…
10-26 13:35:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x92b9f9…
10-26 13:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x29a85a…
10-26 12:51:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x2df000…
10-26 11:39:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x7cb20e…
10-26 11:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xdcc519…
10-26 11:27:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd4e6ba…
10-26 11:21:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x645956…
10-26 11:21:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xf37bd9…
10-26 11:21:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x264ae7…
10-26 08:11:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	416	1¢	$2	0x8316e9…
10-26 06:43:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	64	5¢	$3	0x0d7f1e…
10-26 05:28:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x22d389…
10-26 05:27:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xb54043…
10-26 05:26:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	599	0¢	$3	0x917a58…
10-26 04:20:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x444ab5…
10-26 04:20:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x76a9a8…
10-26 02:32:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x3f0f96…
10-26 02:30:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x81ee1e…
10-26 02:27:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x55a5f0…
10-26 01:51:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0xe78830…
10-26 01:50:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0xd33383…
10-26 01:43:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x09be95…
10-26 01:42:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x7782d4…
10-26 01:31:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	141	2¢	$2	0x31a5cb…
10-26 01:25:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xb38e49…
10-26 01:21:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x7c15bf…
10-26 01:20:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	599	1¢	$4	0x80c84d…
10-26 01:08:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	259	0¢	$1	0x6e4fe1…
10-26 01:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x4bdb32…
10-26 01:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	124	6¢	$7	0x95ddd1…
10-26 01:03:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x0fbf35…
10-26 01:03:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	496	1¢	$7	0xd180cc…
10-25 16:55:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	49	1¢	$1	0x197985…
10-25 16:55:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xfbc7f8…
10-25 16:55:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x64b15a…
10-25 16:28:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x7960c8…
10-25 15:36:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	286	1¢	$2	0xceaef8…
10-25 15:21:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x7d5e47…
10-25 15:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x197fd5…
10-25 15:18:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	255	1¢	$2	0xc63307…
10-25 15:00:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc193dc…
10-25 15:00:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	104	2¢	$2	0x2420f5…
10-25 14:42:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xb84115…
10-25 14:42:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$1	0xf502be…
10-25 14:42:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	180	1¢	$2	0x585873…