Wicked-Degradation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-01 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$2

Other

22% 100% +$11

Sports

22% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$283	142	142	+0	open	—	03-02 10:45
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$264	132	132	+0	open	—	03-12 09:04
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	03-24 03:27
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$244	123	123	+0	open	—	03-24 04:08
will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	03-20 05:56
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	01-18 11:19
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	01-13 11:49
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	01-30 06:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	05-24 09:28
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$220	111	111	+0	open	—	01-31 07:12
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$213	107	107	+0	open	—	01-15 08:34
Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$212	107	107	+0	open	—	04-11 12:43
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	01-18 12:22
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	01-31 07:42
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	02-02 09:57
will switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$204	103	103	+0	open	—	02-07 08:05
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 11:52
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$189	95	95	+0	open	—	04-24 11:24
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$189	95	95	+0	open	—	04-24 11:42
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$181	90	90	+0	open	—	01-15 08:55
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$181	90	90	+0	open	—	01-15 09:40
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	02-13 05:09
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$173	87	87	+0	open	—	02-23 06:57
will france win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	02-10 08:29
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 2	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-02 10:48
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 115 139	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	02-28 07:37
open above 3 on february 27 2026	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	02-27 07:05
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 25	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	02-25 12:16
bitcoin above 58k on february 23	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	02-23 07:00
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	03-07 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 07:21:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd3e238…
06-01 07:16:05	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x7b033f…
05-30 08:43:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x2b5f21…
05-30 08:37:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x2e6d60…
05-30 08:13:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xaefeb5…
05-30 08:09:39	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xebdf4d…
05-29 05:50:41	will ng dip to 2 50 by may 25 2026	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xf6dd3b…
05-28 13:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xc8a99a…
05-27 13:12:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x9cdbc3…
05-26 10:44:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$110	0x49f236…
05-26 10:43:42	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x4a6c4e…
05-25 12:09:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xa68937…
05-24 09:30:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x377168…
05-24 09:28:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xe00e3f…
05-24 09:10:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x625633…
05-23 08:15:55	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x65fa37…
05-22 06:38:17	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xdfdeec…
05-21 12:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x4f0704…
05-20 12:31:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0xf073cf…
05-19 03:46:12	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	All Gamers	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xe8192b…
05-18 06:46:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0626b5…
05-18 06:05:47	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson	Magdalena Frech	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xf6062c…
05-17 12:19:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xe884fa…
05-16 04:38:55	Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Sofia Kenin	Sofia Kenin	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x881e9a…
05-15 05:30:24	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x99609d…
05-14 10:46:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xfce29b…
05-14 10:40:36	Bilbao Basket vs. Real Madrid	Bilbao Basket	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x57eb05…
05-13 13:01:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x03672e…
05-12 05:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0xf2723a…
05-11 07:02:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0xed6217…
05-10 06:01:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x5bd2f7…
05-09 08:08:43	Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	OpTic Texas	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x5b1833…
05-08 03:37:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x233542…
05-06 05:10:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0x15a7e2…
05-06 05:04:32	Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	TNC	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x09fae8…
05-05 02:58:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$94	0x8bd705…
05-03 07:02:44	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x3132d1…
05-01 11:51:56	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6b1010…
04-30 07:51:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xc0c5a8…
04-28 10:56:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xed214c…
04-27 10:31:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x39fbe8…
04-26 05:12:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6bb39b…
04-25 11:57:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x8e0319…
04-24 11:45:54	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6e7083…
04-24 11:42:02	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0xf11446…
04-24 11:24:52	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x05aecd…
04-24 11:24:02	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0x5e8668…
04-24 10:29:50	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xe221ff…
04-24 10:27:36	Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x0cca97…
04-23 09:24:02	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 30c	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xaeced0…
04-23 07:59:36	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x7c9aed…
04-21 07:09:26	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x4831d0…
04-20 04:32:24	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x66fc0e…
04-20 03:32:30	Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x3dd136…
04-19 11:39:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe29569…
04-17 06:29:04	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3bfdb4…
04-16 09:37:12	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x03c419…
04-15 09:09:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x6331d2…
04-14 08:12:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 14	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xad92b6…
04-14 07:20:51	nhl car nyi 2026 04 14	Islanders	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa50567…
04-13 09:07:05	ethereum above 2400 on april 13	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x26c5d0…
04-12 05:13:43	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	Yes	BUY	795	0¢	$2	0x587e0b…
04-12 05:12:15	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	633	0¢	$2	0xac2072…
04-12 03:40:01	mlb min tor 2026 04 12	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x315625…
04-11 12:48:41	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x5e8d14…
04-11 12:43:49	Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0x827ebe…
04-11 12:09:47	Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x2d7294…
04-10 12:49:19	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc8a4ee…
04-09 06:18:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x11a5e8…
04-08 06:55:49	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xb1c730…
04-08 05:41:59	lol g2nord use1 2026 04 08	G2 NORD	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x6b2425…
04-07 08:20:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	805	0¢	$2	0x0513e0…
04-07 08:18:59	ethereum above 2300 on april 7	Yes	BUY	654	0¢	$2	0x796677…
04-06 10:43:07	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xefbb91…
04-05 04:24:11	ethereum above 1800 on april 5	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x488a07…
04-04 10:57:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 4	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfb92ef…
04-04 10:13:31	ufc eth1 raf4 2026 04 04	Ethyn Ewing	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xb2be70…
04-02 11:47:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 2	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xd846fd…
04-01 10:41:05	will solana dip to 65 on april 1	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x67d89b…
03-31 09:31:23	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x3fec1d…
03-30 04:56:32	ethereum above 1700 on march 30	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xe4c114…
03-29 04:47:08	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 29	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x56acb3…
03-29 03:24:36	lol mkoi fnc 2026 03 29	Fnatic	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xcde3b5…
03-28 08:48:41	ethereum above 1800 on march 28	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xa77753…
03-28 08:05:07	nhl nj car 2026 03 28	Devils	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xb794aa…
03-27 12:08:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 27	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x006a05…
03-27 11:04:33	cs2 uno bsta 2026 03 27	BESTIA Academy	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xd6b83e…
03-27 02:19:59	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 26	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xeae069…
03-25 06:53:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x3579dd…
03-24 04:12:25	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x5aa2ae…
03-24 04:08:43	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0xc9683a…
03-24 03:33:45	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x9ab68e…
03-24 03:27:39	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0x87c002…
03-24 03:10:11	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xa03f41…
03-22 12:37:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xed02ca…
03-21 10:07:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xa7e8c6…
03-20 06:00:37	ethereum above 1900 on march 20	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x98c07b…
03-20 05:56:53	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x1f1250…
03-20 05:19:45	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x3b85ca…
03-18 12:01:21	ethereum above 2500 on march 18	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x69ab40…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	74	$7.13K	4,267	04-22 10:51
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	70	$202.5K	3,104	05-31 10:07
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	62	$2.68K	62	05-30 10:29
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	61	$76.7K	1,427	05-26 14:33
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	58	$919	2,647	06-04 03:08
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	57	$3.54K	1,186	05-28 14:07
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	56	$319.3K	2,592	05-30 07:14
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	47	$211.4K	2,887	04-27 06:04