Realized P&L
+$3.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
1,042
Trades
2,649
lifetime
Volume
$183.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$4.19K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 19:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Other
58% 77% +$1,334
Crypto
31% 88% +$271
Sports
7% 72% +$1,324
Politics
5% 74% +$694
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,699 $1,589 93¢ $1.6K -$5 10-27 20:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? No +1,000 $920 98¢ $982 +$62 10-01 17:07
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +742 $563 76¢ $561 -$2 10-12 19:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +201 $72 96¢ $192 +$120 09-26 01:23
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +310 $256 42¢ $132 -$124 10-27 12:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $0 09-23 13:53
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +101 $79 88¢ $89 +$10 10-13 23:32
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $79 80¢ $80 +$0 10-13 16:46
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +100 $87 72¢ $72 -$16 10-08 22:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +100 $69 70¢ $70 +$1 10-23 15:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $69 70¢ $70 +$0 10-13 18:05
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +50 $39 98¢ $49 +$10 10-12 20:15
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +118 $30 38¢ $44 +$14 10-25 20:34
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $38 38¢ $38 +$0 10-12 06:11
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +39 $35 98¢ $38 +$3 10-24 19:46
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $3,000 +33 $21 68¢ $22 +$1 08-20 13:20
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? No -51 -$41 27¢ $-14 +$28 05-13 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-21 06:32
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-19 06:47
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 06-30 19:02
will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060 No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 07-30 12:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $10 92¢ $9 -$1 10-02 21:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 90¢ $9 +$4 05-01 20:29
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +205 $80 2¢ $4 -$76 10-25 20:22