S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?
open
Total volume
$1,337
$6,820 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$3,286
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 19:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+74.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $103
vs crowd: 26% YES on $991)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $205 | $205 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $253 | $532 | $279 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $103 | — | +$103 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $16 | $328 | $311 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Median | 5 | $4 | $32 | $28 |
| Below median | 6 | $10 | $7 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $51 | $46 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $105 | $20 | +$85 |
| unranked | 3 | $10 | $250 | $240 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incomparable-Porpoise 0x34f4…16bd | Up | +601 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Up | +257 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-12 02:22 |
| Buzzing-Eyeglasses 0x1233…f7ab | Down | +255 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 05-12 12:57 |
| Pretty-Skywalk 0x3b34…cca8 | Down | +215 | $205 | $205 | 3 | 05-12 09:32 |
| Altruistic-Gambling 0x264c…baca | Up | +202 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 05-11 21:53 |
| Fake-Ecclesia 0x540d…c599 | Up | +200 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 10:52 |
| Clueless-Detail 0xe76a…5cb4 | Up | +155 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-12 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e10…81ae | Down | +130 | $123 | $123 | 2 | 05-12 10:57 |
| Bountiful-Sensitivity 0xe64f…6cc3 | Down | +83 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Stunning-Miscommunication 0x59d5…e993 | Up | +79 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Simple-Reserve 0x2a3c…eed1 | Down | +50 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-12 05:04 |
| Nimble-Dibble-Backbone 0xd762…9ebf | Down | +32 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 05:05 |
| Interesting-Accent 0x26e6…cc89 | Down | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-12 13:23 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Up | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 09:52 |
| Misty-Plumber 0x8c40…0277 | Down | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 02:32 |
| Constant-Volcano 0x1a00…f311 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 21:02 |
| Adorable-South 0x1e52…5c5f | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 21:20 |
| Constant-Volcano 0x1a00…f311 | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 07:16 |
| Qualified-Anarchy 0x3169…76eb | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 10:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 19:26:11 | Hopeful-Extinction 0x3fc5…f2a5 | Down | SELL | 136 | 100¢ | $136 | 0xa0a529… |
| 05-12 13:23:00 | Interesting-Accent 0x26e6…cc89 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x68d56c… |
| 05-12 13:22:55 | Hopeful-Extinction 0x3fc5…f2a5 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x086acf… |
| 05-12 13:22:53 | Interesting-Accent 0x26e6…cc89 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x84c0dc… |
| 05-12 13:14:33 | Hopeful-Extinction 0x3fc5…f2a5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6ca4f9… |
| 05-12 13:07:48 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc0ef53… |
| 05-12 13:07:48 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc21ae7… |
| 05-12 13:07:48 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6482ce… |
| 05-12 12:57:46 | Buzzing-Eyeglasses 0x1233…f7ab | Down | BUY | 255 | 98¢ | $250 | 0x72d619… |
| 05-12 12:52:38 | Clueless-Detail 0xe76a…5cb4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4e7f1a… |
| 05-12 12:37:46 | Incomparable-Porpoise 0x34f4…16bd | Up | BUY | 601 | 2¢ | $15 | 0x279648… |
| 05-12 12:07:36 | Lively-Claim 0x86b2…2fb8 | Up | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0bfd53… |
| 05-12 11:27:39 | Clueless-Detail 0xe76a…5cb4 | Up | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf211da… |
| 05-12 11:27:34 | Clueless-Detail 0xe76a…5cb4 | Up | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xee99af… |
| 05-12 11:17:42 | Stunning-Miscommunication 0x59d5…e993 | Up | BUY | 79 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xbf984a… |
| 05-12 10:57:31 | (anonymous) 0x0e10…81ae | Down | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0xbb8db8… |
| 05-12 10:52:46 | Fake-Ecclesia 0x540d…c599 | Up | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x8e77b0… |
| 05-12 10:36:45 | Qualified-Anarchy 0x3169…76eb | Down | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x48f436… |
| 05-12 10:22:26 | Charming-Diffuse 0xf259…7592 | Up | SELL | 71 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x9a1b57… |
| 05-12 09:52:22 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Up | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x198887… |
| 05-12 09:32:23 | Pretty-Skywalk 0x3b34…cca8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd0dc41… |
| 05-12 09:27:39 | Clueless-Detail 0xe76a…5cb4 | Up | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x89e6b1… |
| 05-12 09:22:28 | Angry-Amendment 0x171f…6190 | Up | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7b9ad7… |
| 05-12 09:07:37 | Pretty-Skywalk 0x3b34…cca8 | Down | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x0828b1… |
| 05-12 09:07:28 | Pretty-Skywalk 0x3b34…cca8 | Down | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x05be16… |
| 05-12 08:32:37 | (anonymous) 0x0e10…81ae | Down | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x10ceec… |
| 05-12 07:16:10 | Constant-Volcano 0x1a00…f311 | Down | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x1a2de3… |
| 05-12 06:11:10 | Ideal-Methane 0x414f…21af | Down | SELL | 21 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x7fa299… |
| 05-12 05:49:54 | Slushy-Crumb 0x24cc…3947 | Down | SELL | 60 | 66¢ | $40 | 0xd22d7f… |
| 05-12 05:49:49 | Slushy-Crumb 0x24cc…3947 | Down | SELL | 56 | 68¢ | $39 | 0xc134f4… |
| 05-12 05:30:55 | Sticky-Colonisation 0x18d4…1d3a | Up | SELL | 201 | 34¢ | $68 | 0x77410d… |
| 05-12 05:06:00 | Nimble-Dibble-Backbone 0xd762…9ebf | Up | SELL | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xbf369d… |
| 05-12 05:05:50 | Nimble-Dibble-Backbone 0xd762…9ebf | Down | BUY | 32 | 62¢ | $20 | 0x8f4470… |
| 05-12 05:04:43 | Simple-Reserve 0x2a3c…eed1 | Down | BUY | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0xcc5d36… |
| 05-12 02:47:54 | Adventurous-Cape 0x5522…7695 | Up | SELL | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x56f20d… |
| 05-12 02:32:54 | Misty-Plumber 0x8c40…0277 | Down | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xa977ba… |
| 05-12 02:22:52 | Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Up | BUY | 257 | 40¢ | $103 | 0x8a3079… |
| 05-12 02:08:09 | Slushy-Crumb 0x24cc…3947 | Down | SELL | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0x7cc26c… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Bountiful-Sensitivity 0xe64f…6cc3 | Down | BUY | 83 | 60¢ | $50 | 0xdaf973… |
| 05-11 21:53:42 | Altruistic-Gambling 0x264c…baca | Up | BUY | 202 | 52¢ | $105 | 0x24ccfd… |
| 05-11 21:20:02 | Adorable-South 0x1e52…5c5f | Up | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xb8683a… |
| 05-11 21:02:48 | Constant-Volcano 0x1a00…f311 | Up | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xb1d5f1… |
| 05-11 20:36:50 | Nimble-Dibble-Backbone 0xd762…9ebf | Up | BUY | 11 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x5524a0… |