Flimsy-Futon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$305

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-09 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

81% 56% +$195

Politics

17% 0% $-500

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	2	$504	363	354	+9	open	—	04-27 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$500	549	0	+549	Yes	$-500	05-01 22:25
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$488	324	324	+0	open	—	04-01 22:14
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	2	$477	278	278	+0	open	—	04-07 14:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	2	$448	248	248	+0	Up	+$48	05-13 14:13
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	2	$444	345	345	+0	Yes	+$244	05-07 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$440	241	241	+0	open	—	04-27 12:18
spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	2	$437	237	237	+0	open	—	04-13 14:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$424	225	225	+0	open	—	03-31 19:09
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	2	$296	196	196	+0	open	—	04-06 19:46
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	2	$292	300	0	+300	open	—	06-09 11:56
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	2	$272	172	172	+0	open	—	04-02 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$218	128	128	+0	open	—	05-13 19:45
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$216	117	117	+0	open	—	03-31 19:09
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$210	113	113	+0	open	—	03-31 19:08
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$200	263	0	+263	Up	+$63	05-05 10:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	1	$200	256	0	+256	Down	+$56	05-12 06:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	1	$170	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 08:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	1	$150	1,729	0	+1,729	open	—	05-26 07:56
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	1	$150	274	0	+274	open	—	04-10 07:21
spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	1	$150	366	0	+366	open	—	04-15 08:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	1	$150	556	0	+556	open	—	05-22 07:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	2	$150	440	0	+440	open	—	04-30 07:04
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	2	$140	200	0	+200	open	—	06-08 08:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	1	$120	207	0	+207	open	—	05-29 07:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	2	$105	500	500	+0	Up	$-95	05-06 12:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	1	$100	150	0	+150	open	—	06-01 13:12
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	1	$100	451	0	+451	open	—	06-04 07:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	1	$100	625	0	+625	Up	$-100	05-08 08:10
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	1	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	04-08 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:56:57	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	292	98¢	$285	0x0ea067…
06-09 11:56:55	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x60b1fc…
06-08 08:46:49	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	74	70¢	$52	0x4f96ae…
06-08 08:46:43	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	126	70¢	$88	0xe5cd83…
06-04 07:50:57	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	451	22¢	$100	0x157445…
06-02 09:55:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x61b226…
06-01 13:12:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xe913d8…
05-29 07:42:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	207	58¢	$120	0xe2221f…
05-26 07:56:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	1,729	9¢	$150	0xb38c57…
05-22 07:37:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	556	27¢	$150	0x545ea3…
05-21 12:32:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	967	10¢	$100	0x5f7974…
05-20 08:58:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xbf356a…
05-19 07:50:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xd20a87…
05-18 11:43:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xe05bc7…
05-14 05:55:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x272fbe…
05-13 19:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	128	92¢	$118	0xd4dc38…
05-13 14:13:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0x3ef831…
05-13 07:01:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	248	81¢	$200	0xda7b40…
05-12 06:42:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xa29445…
05-11 08:11:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x4a9528…
05-08 08:10:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x526d5d…
05-07 20:46:53	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	274	37¢	$100	0x8070ef…
05-07 20:46:21	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x9f1b3a…
05-07 20:08:05	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xc4aca4…
05-06 12:29:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x5b8ef8…
05-06 05:35:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xd80bc8…
05-05 10:47:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x432bd1…
05-04 08:20:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x0fcfb7…
05-01 22:25:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xe5342f…
04-30 12:21:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x7c4905…
04-30 07:04:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0xc02b03…
04-30 07:04:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x3f29d8…
04-28 23:15:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x8441fa…
04-28 07:41:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x7b555a…
04-27 13:34:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	354	100¢	$354	0x4087e2…
04-27 12:19:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	363	41¢	$150	0x0e00a7…
04-27 12:18:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0x181424…
04-15 08:39:22	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	366	41¢	$150	0xc29b48…
04-14 03:54:33	spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xa65f73…
04-13 14:04:21	spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0xcfab2e…
04-12 08:44:11	spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0xabdb96…
04-10 07:21:31	spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	274	55¢	$150	0x9ae7dd…
04-08 21:07:17	spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x2c8af2…
04-07 14:20:31	spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	Down	SELL	278	100¢	$277	0x043cab…
04-07 06:59:37	spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	Down	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x486a9e…
04-06 19:49:15	chatgpt outage by april 10 942	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x22a90d…
04-06 19:46:53	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Up	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x0acbf0…
04-06 07:28:39	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xafe287…
04-02 14:37:37	spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	Down	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x6ccd59…
04-01 22:14:57	spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x6ddff8…
04-01 22:14:45	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	324	89¢	$289	0x45a821…
04-01 22:12:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x8ddb97…
04-01 22:11:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x06178a…
03-31 19:10:39	will bitcoin reach 69k on march 31	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x097d01…
03-31 19:09:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0xd9c3e8…
03-31 19:09:01	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x31a9dc…
03-31 19:08:31	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	113	100¢	$112	0xbf565e…
03-31 18:57:13	btc updown 5m 1774983300	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$9	0xa75497…
03-29 11:22:34	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	SELL	385	2¢	$9	0x14e724…
03-21 23:18:59	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x954b95…
03-21 23:13:17	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xbedf3b…
03-21 23:09:55	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	1,067	5¢	$50	0xaa4d40…
03-20 23:10:35	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	113	87¢	$98	0x300334…
03-20 23:00:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x2bacf5…
03-13 18:30:19	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	324	62¢	$200	0xd435be…
02-28 19:09:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	258	38¢	$99	0x9b83b2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	40	$10.6M	11,576	06-09 01:48
Juvenile-Vanity 0xe4ad…795c	32	$12.3K	149	06-08 22:09
Slushy-Crumb 0x24cc…3947	31	$39.2K	794	06-09 13:16
Quaint-Shopper 0x3bbd…508d	30	$30.2K	1,026	06-09 13:16
Altruistic-Gambling 0x264c…baca	29	$121.0K	521	06-09 09:24
Close-Breastplate 0x2651…3471	29	$88.3K	714	06-09 07:47
Outrageous-Circadian 0x5108…b666	29	$25.6K	119	06-09 12:32
Charming-Diffuse 0xf259…7592	29	$21.0K	511	06-09 12:50