S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?
open
Total volume
$20,320
$9,963 in 24h
Trades
87
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$5,719
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 16:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2.7K
vs crowd: 95% YES on $18.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $2.6K | — | +$2.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $6.9K | — | +$6.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 56 | $8.4K | $862 | +$7.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2.7K | — | +$2.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $2.6K | $197 | +$2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $270 | $37 | +$233 |
| Median | 21 | $5.2K | $57 | +$5.1K |
| Below median | 10 | $214 | $27 | +$187 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $25 | $111 | $86 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $6.8K | $13 | +$6.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $114 | — | +$114 |
| unranked | 6 | $57 | $419 | $362 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Webbed-Peacock 0x0681…f713 | Down | +10,494 | $157 | $157 | 5 | 05-14 12:52 |
| Profitable-Copywriter 0x05dd…e2af | Up | +6,852 | $6,784 | $6,784 | 1 | 05-14 13:24 |
| Pristine-Delivery 0xf69f…807c | Up | +4,000 | $3,992 | $3,992 | 1 | 05-14 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd46…6956 | Down | +4,000 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:44 |
| Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | Up | +2,668 | $2,627 | $2,627 | 2 | 05-14 12:55 |
| Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Up | +1,484 | $1,034 | $1,034 | 2 | 05-14 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e10…81ae | Up | +989 | $988 | $1,008 | 2 | 05-14 13:29 |
| Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Up | +542 | $384 | $384 | 2 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Minty-Bikini 0x2c09…2ad4 | Up | +506 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-14 12:34 |
| Upbeat-Specialist 0xe594…1e7e | Up | +500 | $492 | $492 | 1 | 05-14 12:40 |
| Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Down | +409 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 05-14 08:39 |
| Flimsy-Futon 0xebe2…ab0a | Down | +286 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 05:55 |
| Harmonious-Revascularization 0xab40…b57d | Up | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-14 13:24 |
| Rewarding-Hut 0xa608…248b | Up | +200 | $132 | $132 | 2 | 05-14 05:55 |
| Detailed-Bead 0x3bd8…14dc | Down | +200 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 05-14 02:50 |
| Untimely-Grade 0x9da0…523c | Up | +150 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | Up | +130 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Up | +100 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-14 05:46 |
| Serious-Compass 0x9d40…ddcf | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:24 |
| Slushy-Crumb 0x24cc…3947 | Down | +100 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-14 01:01 |
| Powerless-Icy 0x9c1e…0143 | Down | +100 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-13 22:33 |
| Fast-Mint 0x4f9d…9854 | Down | +80 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-14 02:46 |
| Juvenile-Vanity 0xe4ad…795c | Up | +78 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 22:14 |
| Glistening-Perception-Bandolier 0xf36f…c722 | Down | +63 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:40 |
| Bountiful-Sensitivity 0xe64f…6cc3 | Up | +59 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| Simple-Reserve 0x2a3c…eed1 | Up | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-14 10:40 |
| Satisfied-Tutu 0x1030…3e3a | Up | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-13 22:23 |
| Broken-Clinic 0x63bc…1e1c | Up | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-14 11:27 |
| Limping-Option 0x6885…973e | Down | +45 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 07:34 |
| Hopeful-Extinction 0x3fc5…f2a5 | Up | +40 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Fond-Thaw 0x8c31…ac64 | Up | +38 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-14 10:18 |
| Proud-Network 0x2e57…3e02 | Up | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 12:10 |
| Colorless-Spatula 0x43c0…c00b | Up | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 12:47 |
| Vigilant-Tactile 0xd2b0…3d47 | Up | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 03:30 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Down | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 02:46 |
| Some-Nonconformist 0x6aa6…de7a | Down | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 21:42 |
| Unwelcome-Dwell 0x2c32…d55f | Up | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 13:04 |
| Annual-Standoff 0x53f2…086f | Up | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 11:14 |
| Graceful-Street 0x7b2c…8062 | Up | +8 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-14 12:02 |
| Misty-Plumber 0x8c40…0277 | Down | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:10 |
| Sociable-Bore 0xc327…a208 | Down | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:49 |
| Calm-Flavor 0x4ac7…d6bc | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:55 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 10:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ea…7b04 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:29 |
| Creamy-Wife 0x6959…8197 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd787…7c12 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 16:44:01 | (anonymous) 0xbd46…6956 | Down | BUY | 4,000 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x244e90… |
| 05-14 14:49:15 | Strong-Computer 0xc15a…373c | Up | SELL | 397 | 100¢ | $397 | 0x2982cf… |
| 05-14 13:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x0e10…81ae | Up | BUY | 999 | 100¢ | $998 | 0x953fb1… |
| 05-14 13:29:11 | Pristine-Delivery 0xf69f…807c | Up | BUY | 4,000 | 100¢ | $3,992 | 0xbe550e… |
| 05-14 13:24:26 | Serious-Compass 0x9d40…ddcf | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe553f8… |
| 05-14 13:24:09 | Harmonious-Revascularization 0xab40…b57d | Up | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xc21c25… |
| 05-14 13:24:07 | Profitable-Copywriter 0x05dd…e2af | Up | BUY | 6,852 | 99¢ | $6,784 | 0x1503a5… |
| 05-14 13:19:29 | Hopeful-Extinction 0x3fc5…f2a5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd9d965… |
| 05-14 13:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x0e10…81ae | Up | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xac2974… |
| 05-14 13:06:02 | Hopeful-Extinction 0x3fc5…f2a5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xddf3ba… |
| 05-14 13:04:24 | Unwelcome-Dwell 0x2c32…d55f | Up | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x81c93a… |
| 05-14 12:55:13 | Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | Up | BUY | 2,500 | 98¢ | $2,462 | 0x2c588e… |
| 05-14 12:52:58 | Webbed-Peacock 0x0681…f713 | Down | BUY | 2,000 | 2¢ | $30 | 0x235d96… |
| 05-14 12:50:48 | Hopeful-Extinction 0x3fc5…f2a5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x795bc4… |
| 05-14 12:49:21 | Webbed-Peacock 0x0681…f713 | Down | BUY | 1,995 | 2¢ | $30 | 0x3dfcdb… |
| 05-14 12:47:32 | Colorless-Spatula 0x43c0…c00b | Up | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x2355cc… |
| 05-14 12:45:42 | Webbed-Peacock 0x0681…f713 | Down | BUY | 1,750 | 2¢ | $26 | 0xd19ff8… |
| 05-14 12:44:18 | Dependent-Maybe 0xea4b…1141 | Up | SELL | 202 | 98¢ | $199 | 0x11199a… |
| 05-14 12:40:32 | Upbeat-Specialist 0xe594…1e7e | Up | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $492 | 0x112a6c… |
| 05-14 12:40:18 | Glistening-Perception-Bandolier 0xf36f…c722 | Down | BUY | 63 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0d9dc3… |
| 05-14 12:34:28 | Minty-Bikini 0x2c09…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 506 | 99¢ | $500 | 0xd6f15a… |
| 05-14 12:32:49 | Webbed-Peacock 0x0681…f713 | Down | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x50c243… |
| 05-14 12:30:23 | Webbed-Peacock 0x0681…f713 | Down | BUY | 4,649 | 1¢ | $70 | 0x287931… |
| 05-14 12:29:22 | Masculine-Parchment 0xf434…201e | Up | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xdf96f3… |
| 05-14 12:29:08 | Masculine-Parchment 0xf434…201e | Up | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xeb06fe… |
| 05-14 12:25:40 | Outrageous-Circadian 0x5108…b666 | Up | SELL | 322 | 98¢ | $316 | 0xd28c6c… |
| 05-14 12:20:35 | Frayed-Teepee 0xa068…1dfb | Down | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd12621… |
| 05-14 12:14:12 | Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | Up | BUY | 168 | 98¢ | $164 | 0x97e17c… |
| 05-14 12:10:19 | Proud-Network 0x2e57…3e02 | Up | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x5b73f4… |
| 05-14 12:02:32 | Graceful-Street 0x7b2c…8062 | Up | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1f5489… |
| 05-14 11:55:32 | Calm-Flavor 0x4ac7…d6bc | Up | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9c0fa4… |
| 05-14 11:49:21 | Rewarding-Hut 0xa608…248b | Down | SELL | 90 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x15aa1c… |
| 05-14 11:30:11 | Breakable-Eavesdropper 0x1e83…ecab | Up | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x22369f… |
| 05-14 11:29:19 | Occasional-Event 0x5652…2aa5 | Up | SELL | 34 | 91¢ | $31 | 0xe2dede… |
| 05-14 11:27:16 | Broken-Clinic 0x63bc…1e1c | Up | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x87b22d… |
| 05-14 11:14:26 | Annual-Standoff 0x53f2…086f | Up | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x295cfd… |
| 05-14 11:04:19 | Creamy-Wife 0x6959…8197 | Up | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x09a0d7… |
| 05-14 10:54:07 | Humongous-Protection 0x395e…34c0 | Down | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2caead… |
| 05-14 10:40:17 | Simple-Reserve 0x2a3c…eed1 | Up | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x441454… |
| 05-14 10:18:49 | Fond-Thaw 0x8c31…ac64 | Up | BUY | 38 | 88¢ | $33 | 0x7328c2… |
| 05-14 10:17:16 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Up | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xd56e07… |
| 05-14 10:04:42 | Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Up | BUY | 101 | 83¢ | $84 | 0x8a4be6… |
| 05-14 08:54:11 | Occasional-Event 0x5652…2aa5 | Up | SELL | 40 | 84¢ | $34 | 0x7f47f8… |
| 05-14 08:49:15 | Sociable-Bore 0xc327…a208 | Down | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd3e2c6… |
| 05-14 08:39:09 | Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Down | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0xc91594… |
| 05-14 08:09:10 | Occasional-Event 0x5652…2aa5 | Up | BUY | 40 | 77¢ | $31 | 0x38ea5d… |
| 05-14 07:59:05 | Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Down | BUY | 259 | 23¢ | $60 | 0xf9b0c5… |
| 05-14 07:39:10 | Graceful-Street 0x7b2c…8062 | Up | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x92a1f0… |
| 05-14 07:34:02 | Limping-Option 0x6885…973e | Down | BUY | 45 | 22¢ | $10 | 0xa15a24… |
| 05-14 07:34:00 | Fat-Washbasin 0xf301…4ce1 | Down | SELL | 355 | 20¢ | $71 | 0x863000… |
| 05-14 06:29:01 | Untimely-Grade 0x9da0…523c | Up | BUY | 150 | 76¢ | $114 | 0x76e4b7… |
| 05-14 06:11:26 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | Up | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x53b110… |
| 05-14 06:11:12 | Rewarding-Hut 0xa608…248b | Down | BUY | 42 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x18b49f… |
| 05-14 06:10:59 | Misty-Plumber 0x8c40…0277 | Down | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x68106f… |
| 05-14 06:05:46 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Up | BUY | 1,365 | 70¢ | $956 | 0x1ac201… |
| 05-14 06:05:01 | Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Up | BUY | 441 | 68¢ | $300 | 0x4eea8f… |
| 05-14 06:02:16 | Bountiful-Sensitivity 0xe64f…6cc3 | Up | BUY | 59 | 68¢ | $40 | 0xdadb46… |
| 05-14 06:01:20 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Up | BUY | 118 | 66¢ | $78 | 0x6b69c9… |
| 05-14 06:01:06 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | Up | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x98da91… |
| 05-14 05:55:55 | Rewarding-Hut 0xa608…248b | Up | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0x47f782… |
| 05-14 05:55:04 | Flimsy-Futon 0xebe2…ab0a | Down | BUY | 286 | 35¢ | $100 | 0x272fbe… |
| 05-14 05:54:27 | Rewarding-Hut 0xa608…248b | Up | BUY | 150 | 66¢ | $99 | 0xaa5b40… |
| 05-14 05:46:22 | Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Up | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0xaa2697… |
| 05-14 05:45:56 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | Up | BUY | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0x43bd27… |
| 05-14 05:16:20 | Fat-Washbasin 0xf301…4ce1 | Down | BUY | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0xcacbf8… |
| 05-14 04:36:28 | Thunderous-Vegetation 0x898f…23f0 | Down | SELL | 1,091 | 34¢ | $376 | 0xd506d0… |
| 05-14 03:55:55 | Thunderous-Vegetation 0x898f…23f0 | Down | BUY | 150 | 38¢ | $58 | 0xc867fe… |
| 05-14 03:40:17 | Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Down | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0x833a79… |
| 05-14 03:40:15 | Thunderous-Vegetation 0x898f…23f0 | Down | BUY | 580 | 35¢ | $203 | 0x015044… |
| 05-14 03:30:47 | Vigilant-Tactile 0xd2b0…3d47 | Up | BUY | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0xadf57a… |
| 05-14 02:50:51 | Detailed-Bead 0x3bd8…14dc | Down | BUY | 200 | 34¢ | $68 | 0x8663b1… |
| 05-14 02:47:09 | Straight-Tick 0x1646…eb12 | Up | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xd2b330… |
| 05-14 02:46:56 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Down | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x91c42a… |
| 05-14 02:46:55 | Fast-Mint 0x4f9d…9854 | Down | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x124632… |
| 05-14 02:45:53 | Fast-Mint 0x4f9d…9854 | Down | BUY | 50 | 33¢ | $16 | 0xabb724… |
| 05-14 02:36:12 | Only-Deck 0x9df1…7776 | Down | SELL | 83 | 31¢ | $26 | 0x741494… |
| 05-14 01:01:27 | Slushy-Crumb 0x24cc…3947 | Down | BUY | 100 | 28¢ | $28 | 0xebb8fe… |
| 05-14 00:34:12 | Uncommon-Phase 0xb0b5…e373 | Down | SELL | 150 | 29¢ | $44 | 0x19ead1… |
| 05-14 00:12:13 | Only-Deck 0x9df1…7776 | Down | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x59a236… |
| 05-13 22:33:31 | Powerless-Icy 0x9c1e…0143 | Down | BUY | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0x38f004… |
| 05-13 22:23:08 | Satisfied-Tutu 0x1030…3e3a | Up | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x1eb62c… |
| 05-13 22:23:08 | Our-Sinuosity 0x2c0e…524c | Down | SELL | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0x3b3acc… |
| 05-13 22:20:23 | Uncommon-Phase 0xb0b5…e373 | Down | SELL | 28 | 34¢ | $10 | 0xee86f3… |
| 05-13 22:14:02 | Juvenile-Vanity 0xe4ad…795c | Up | BUY | 78 | 64¢ | $50 | 0x8bf3ed… |
| 05-13 21:42:02 | Some-Nonconformist 0x6aa6…de7a | Down | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0x50d493… |
| 05-13 21:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xd787…7c12 | Down | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xa90f7f… |
| 05-13 20:29:14 | (anonymous) 0xf9ea…7b04 | Up | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x85916e… |