Hopeful-Extinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,318

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-29 19:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$2

Other

48% 100% +$18

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	6	$320	162	162	+0	open	—	05-19 15:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	5	$312	157	157	+0	open	—	05-15 13:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	9	$305	153	153	+0	open	—	05-14 14:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	3	$298	150	150	+0	open	—	05-18 13:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	8	$286	144	144	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 16:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	6	$279	140	140	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 14:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	8	$276	139	139	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 14:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	5	$267	105	163	-58	open	—	05-21 19:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	8	$261	131	131	+0	open	—	05-27 19:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	5	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	04-30 15:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	7	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	05-01 18:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	6	$217	110	110	+0	open	—	04-27 17:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	6	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	04-24 16:01
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	5	$204	103	103	+0	open	—	04-21 14:56
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	4	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 15:45
btc updown 4h 1776571200	4	$195	146	51	+95	open	—	04-19 07:58
spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	5	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	04-23 19:44
spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	2	$177	89	89	+0	open	—	04-17 14:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	3	$167	167	0	+167	open	—	05-26 13:27
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	3	$166	84	84	+0	open	—	04-14 15:20
btc updown 5m 1775622000	3	$166	87	81	+5	open	—	04-08 04:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	5	$163	164	0	+164	open	—	05-22 13:25
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 7am et	2	$157	79	79	+0	open	—	04-17 13:06
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 15?	6	$156	157	0	+157	open	—	05-15 19:54
will bitcoin dip to 60k on april 5	2	$156	79	79	+0	open	—	04-05 07:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	3	$151	15	136	-121	Down	+$0	05-12 19:26
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	05-18 19:57
will bitcoin dip to 59k on april 4	2	$145	73	73	+0	open	—	04-04 07:17
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	2	$142	72	72	+0	open	—	04-02 21:08
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$139	140	0	+140	Down	+$1	05-07 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 19:34:42	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x6630a1…
05-29 19:34:04	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9c6eb0…
05-29 19:31:54	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa50f53…
05-29 19:29:38	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb10480…
05-29 19:27:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6b7cdb…
05-29 17:16:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xc03943…
05-29 11:58:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x0ccb8d…
05-29 11:58:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1bc8fc…
05-29 11:57:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x10fe1b…
05-28 19:58:40	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x96814d…
05-28 19:50:40	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x7d71ef…
05-28 19:47:38	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6324f9…
05-28 19:30:40	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xec7239…
05-28 19:14:43	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3a3eb…
05-28 19:14:30	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46c00d…
05-28 18:56:38	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xab0628…
05-27 19:36:55	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3cd520…
05-27 19:30:28	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x668752…
05-27 19:18:22	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3a1a54…
05-27 19:13:19	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x989750…
05-27 19:12:50	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd94433…
05-27 19:11:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x553e5b…
05-27 19:11:13	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0b7fb…
05-27 19:08:34	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9777c4…
05-27 13:29:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x62c511…
05-27 13:28:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9299ea…
05-27 13:27:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x212fb1…
05-27 13:27:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2adb60…
05-27 13:25:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3de09f…
05-27 13:23:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b0cf0…
05-27 13:12:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e3036…
05-26 13:27:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7a8645…
05-26 13:27:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xba5acd…
05-26 11:04:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd64c4e…
05-22 19:57:49	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xa1f724…
05-22 19:56:29	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf33bc8…
05-22 13:25:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x08d478…
05-22 13:02:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x53fee0…
05-22 13:02:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc36663…
05-22 12:57:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd83c61…
05-22 12:44:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x18cd6a…
05-21 20:00:01	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3d92cc…
05-21 19:59:54	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x425699…
05-21 19:57:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x373b49…
05-21 19:52:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x12eba8…
05-21 13:10:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc071c7…
05-21 13:07:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3ada28…
05-21 13:03:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xedc134…
05-21 13:02:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf17515…
05-20 19:51:17	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x5883d3…
05-20 19:41:15	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a3266…
05-20 19:39:56	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x944161…
05-20 12:38:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x485d1c…
05-20 12:37:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe2d3a2…
05-19 19:57:55	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x3e8097…
05-19 19:56:29	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x05641d…
05-19 19:40:39	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2e2aec…
05-19 15:22:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x46d73d…
05-19 13:17:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa3c018…
05-19 13:07:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xea1d3e…
05-19 13:05:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa6e0e8…
05-19 12:44:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0f7d3b…
05-19 12:43:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe8618c…
05-18 19:57:28	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x55890f…
05-18 19:52:46	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4f9dd6…
05-18 13:35:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x7d002d…
05-18 13:28:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0xfa2b2b…
05-18 13:28:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb354c3…
05-16 11:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xea54ed…
05-16 11:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xed387b…
05-15 19:54:37	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x01d7c3…
05-15 19:44:38	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6895ce…
05-15 19:29:28	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x47b3a4…
05-15 19:20:22	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x142942…
05-15 19:10:24	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x25b14a…
05-15 18:52:56	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf826c9…
05-15 13:32:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0xeb2869…
05-15 12:31:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x523d7c…
05-15 12:05:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcc2a22…
05-15 08:42:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4c5e5…
05-15 08:42:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf38a4…
05-14 19:44:57	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x86110e…
05-14 19:38:28	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x54053b…
05-14 19:37:48	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc92cea…
05-14 19:31:42	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xeda100…
05-14 19:28:03	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1a0e4a…
05-14 19:27:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8587ad…
05-14 19:13:07	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6dad00…
05-14 14:12:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x902476…
05-14 13:24:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xcbad78…
05-14 13:19:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd9d965…
05-14 13:08:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e9dec…
05-14 13:06:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xddf3ba…
05-14 13:05:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45ffbd…
05-14 13:05:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11f756…
05-14 12:50:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x795bc4…
05-14 12:42:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f969b…
05-13 19:49:02	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa56cf6…
05-13 19:48:59	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7aac81…
05-13 19:48:55	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x33abf2…