Slow-Walnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

2,154

Trades

3,621

lifetime

Volume

$99.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-01 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 41% -$2,347

Other

48% 38% -$2,807

Politics

0% 25% +$47

Sports

0% 33% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 519 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	2	$6.3K	3,825	3,825	+0	Yes	+$1,295	06-24 23:55
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	2	$4.5K	2,622	2,622	+0	Yes	+$588	06-24 23:01
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	2	$3.9K	1,980	1,980	+0	Under	+$98	06-24 20:56
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	2	$3.4K	6,016	6,016	+0	No	-$3,173	06-25 21:41
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	2	$3.4K	2,222	2,222	+0	Yes	+$1,020	06-25 03:01
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	4	$2.9K	1,900	1,900	+0	Yes	+$872	06-24 20:42
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	3	$2.4K	1,456	1,456	+0	Yes	+$537	07-11 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$37	06-24 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	7	$2.0K	1,508	1,508	+0	Yes	+$117	06-26 09:54
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	4	$1.6K	1,753	1,753	+0	Under	-$1,311	07-11 22:59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	3	$1.4K	908	908	+0	Yes	+$275	07-10 20:50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	Yes	+$61	07-10 21:01
will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 23	3	$900	3,322	0	+3,322	No	-$900	07-23 16:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	6	$895	872	872	+0	No	+$85	06-15 15:49
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	2	$887	595	595	+0	Yes	+$256	07-15 20:46
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$855	537	537	+0	Yes	+$192	07-09 21:39
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	2	$833	1,365	0	+1,365	No	-$833	07-14 18:05
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	2	$804	454	454	+0	Yes	+$103	07-18 22:12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	3	$785	449	449	+0	No	+$112	06-12 14:20
will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 26	5	$662	1,705	1,705	+0	No	-$438	06-26 16:28
bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 8am et	6	$653	647	647	+0	Down	+$95	09-25 12:43
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	2	$640	1,162	1,162	+0	No	-$638	07-19 21:13
will bitcoin dip to 84k on september 27 2026	2	$603	786	786	+0	Yes	+$151	09-27 22:34
will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 20	2	$597	341	341	+0	Yes	+$85	07-20 06:40
bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 5am et	3	$576	1,319	1,319	+0	Up	-$50	07-26 09:36
will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 18	3	$556	1,437	1,437	+0	No	+$438	06-18 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	3	$523	434	434	+0	Yes	+$37	09-28 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$499	265	265	+0	Yes	+$28	08-28 16:25
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	2	$493	1,845	1,845	+0	No	-$168	06-25 21:54
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	2	$456	608	608	+0	No	-$444	06-18 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 21:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x6cbf0f…
10-01 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x3a53a2…
10-01 21:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x486972…
10-01 21:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xac33e9…
10-01 21:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x23375d…
10-01 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xb66670…
10-01 21:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xfb0e70…
10-01 21:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x2b2747…
10-01 21:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x6646c5…
10-01 21:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe6addc…
10-01 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x6d7d30…
10-01 21:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0xb5fe06…
10-01 21:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd4ef29…
10-01 21:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x608d38…
10-01 20:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x4cdeb3…
10-01 20:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x6dccfe…
10-01 20:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	80	29¢	$23	0x34948a…
10-01 20:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xe83c05…
10-01 20:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x474e89…
10-01 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x7c8aed…
10-01 20:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	38	91¢	$34	0x944062…
10-01 20:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x31bbc1…
10-01 20:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xc5a4a5…
10-01 20:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0xb87e37…
10-01 20:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	82	43¢	$35	0xa623db…
10-01 20:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0xf05833…
10-01 20:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xce956e…
10-01 20:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x6c6ed8…
10-01 20:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x6201cc…
10-01 20:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x5bedd5…
10-01 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd82649…
10-01 19:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xa59cf6…
10-01 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x70678f…
10-01 19:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb7691e…
10-01 19:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xc28637…
10-01 19:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	101	36¢	$37	0x11e2f9…
10-01 19:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xf9e0a3…
10-01 19:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x072aaf…
10-01 19:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x925975…
10-01 19:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x8747c9…
10-01 19:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x430f72…
10-01 19:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0882b8…
10-01 19:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0xee8bc8…
10-01 19:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xd1f0c6…
10-01 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	133	22¢	$29	0x54ba88…
10-01 19:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xfa8826…
10-01 19:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xe05007…
10-01 19:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xa79aee…
10-01 19:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc4ed83…
10-01 19:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa9e404…
10-01 19:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xf6668d…
10-01 19:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xfdb29c…
10-01 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x859eef…
10-01 18:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xeaa81b…
10-01 18:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x80e09c…
10-01 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9d02dc…
10-01 18:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xb883f1…
10-01 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5eb0a4…
10-01 18:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x65efc6…
10-01 17:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbfd6c0…
10-01 17:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	80	41¢	$33	0x4bc346…
10-01 17:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xabcb32…
10-01 17:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	42	88¢	$37	0x714f47…
10-01 17:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x75faf7…
10-01 17:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	43	62¢	$26	0x5e2aa8…
10-01 17:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x907046…
10-01 17:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	46	96¢	$45	0x67663c…
10-01 17:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x9db4e6…
10-01 17:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe52957…
10-01 17:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x3425d5…
10-01 17:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xcf4b51…
10-01 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x738d5f…
10-01 17:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x0b000c…
10-01 17:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xdf7b59…
10-01 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1b3828…
10-01 17:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf39fdc…
10-01 17:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb2d36f…
10-01 17:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x0dcbc8…
10-01 17:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf1a5b2…
10-01 17:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2fb66b…
10-01 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x48e527…
10-01 16:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xf73ee1…
10-01 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa08b64…
10-01 16:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb6181d…
10-01 16:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x5b814c…
10-01 16:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3e4833…
10-01 16:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x45acfe…
10-01 16:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcc4777…
10-01 16:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0xb963fb…
10-01 16:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xd32bfb…
10-01 16:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x277af7…
10-01 16:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xc34e4e…
10-01 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x3491a5…
10-01 16:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xaac5e9…
10-01 16:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7f3f6d…
10-01 16:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0cee11…
10-01 16:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe247be…
10-01 16:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe1f360…
10-01 15:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0xc25858…
10-01 15:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0x0b220e…