Stiff-Sky — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

389

Trades

7,310

lifetime

Volume

$454.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-30 06:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% +$12,493

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 300 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on september 11 2026	76	$17.8K	32,252	0	+32,252	Up	-$1,771	09-11 12:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	66	$12.9K	15,363	2,860	+12,503	Up	+$363	05-01 21:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	199	$12.6K	68,131	5,622	+62,509	Up	-$2,913	06-02 19:58
spx up or down on july 22 2026	164	$12.0K	45,975	4,478	+41,497	Down	-$2,968	07-22 19:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	113	$11.7K	32,504	1,199	+31,304	Down	+$7,109	09-18 19:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?	98	$10.8K	12,998	5,627	+7,371	Down	+$930	07-24 13:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	27	$9.4K	9,225	8,247	+978	Down	+$7,483	09-22 20:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?	70	$9.0K	17,762	3,586	+14,176	Up	+$1,813	07-24 19:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	163	$9.0K	21,181	5,456	+15,725	Down	-$209	05-21 12:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	58	$7.5K	16,829	4,207	+12,621	Up	-$1,884	05-27 13:30
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	65	$7.4K	11,909	4,948	+6,961	Up	-$372	05-01 19:30
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	33	$7.2K	4,764	4,764	+0	Yes	+$1,511	06-02 19:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	31	$7.0K	8,211	2,726	+5,485	Up	+$1,197	05-08 13:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	37	$6.8K	9,688	356	+9,332	Down	-$761	05-04 18:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	81	$6.8K	10,627	2,139	+8,488	Up	+$339	05-20 12:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	69	$6.3K	14,299	848	+13,450	Down	-$1,563	06-02 13:04
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	69	$6.3K	11,164	6,929	+4,234	Down	+$539	05-04 19:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	60	$6.3K	5,268	2,433	+2,835	Up	+$470	04-30 19:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	64	$6.2K	14,413	2,187	+12,227	Up	+$3,828	06-01 13:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	37	$6.2K	8,768	3,738	+5,029	Up	+$655	05-29 11:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	35	$5.5K	13,890	2,240	+11,650	Up	+$2,423	05-13 13:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	159	$5.5K	7,060	3,927	+3,134	Up	+$370	06-01 17:45
spy closes above 765 on september 11 2026	105	$4.8K	10,377	5	+10,372	No	+$4,298	09-11 18:13
spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	69	$4.5K	7,689	2,293	+5,396	Down	+$977	07-28 13:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	85	$4.5K	5,064	5,064	+0	Up	+$2,554	09-18 18:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	26	$4.5K	8,716	0	+8,716	Down	-$2,149	05-12 12:31
spy closes above 755 on june 3 2026	111	$4.3K	9,204	1,524	+7,680	No	+$1,532	06-03 19:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	36	$4.3K	9,823	0	+9,823	Down	-$4,305	06-03 12:14
spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	87	$4.2K	7,252	1,141	+6,110	Yes	+$1,045	09-17 18:44
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	27	$3.8K	5,348	729	+4,619	Up	+$1,452	05-11 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:41:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	Yes	BUY	110	56¢	$62	0x5b6212…
10-30 06:40:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x5b1877…
10-30 06:16:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x5c3f3b…
10-30 06:16:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xcfe0fc…
10-30 06:13:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x0baf76…
10-30 06:13:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	Yes	BUY	120	59¢	$71	0xfcc1c6…
10-30 06:12:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xfeb1b8…
10-29 14:50:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	No	BUY	69	91¢	$63	0x29ea63…
10-29 14:34:28	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	SELL	418	4¢	$17	0x8575af…
10-29 14:34:28	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x4e655a…
10-29 14:27:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5470dd…
10-29 14:27:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x18f076…
10-29 14:26:13	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in October?	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x916195…
10-29 14:24:31	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	No	BUY	160	89¢	$143	0xbdb3ee…
10-29 09:05:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x5ee426…
10-29 09:04:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	175	83¢	$145	0x3145f3…
10-29 01:57:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xf601f5…
10-29 01:02:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	46	40¢	$19	0xec7a95…
10-29 00:56:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x123bf9…
10-29 00:53:23	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x16b823…
10-29 00:48:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x68db5e…
10-28 19:54:34	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xc49614…
10-28 19:54:28	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	245	25¢	$62	0xd11147…
10-28 19:53:40	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	SELL	436	19¢	$83	0x369d0c…
10-28 19:24:43	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0xcf1f3d…
10-28 19:20:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,310	29¢	$380	0xb5e5c1…
10-28 19:09:17	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	SELL	465	25¢	$116	0xe850a8…
10-28 19:05:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	734	12¢	$88	0x1835d9…
10-28 18:42:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x12dc68…
10-28 18:40:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x15f3a7…
10-28 16:12:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 28?	No	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x1eee46…
10-28 16:08:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 28?	No	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x68a2dc…
10-28 16:07:56	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 28?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xfc810b…
10-28 16:07:07	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 28?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xd1d6fa…
10-28 16:06:56	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xeba44f…
10-28 16:06:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x7df922…
10-28 16:03:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x1f55ea…
10-28 16:03:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x78fbf5…
10-28 16:01:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 28?	No	BUY	136	36¢	$49	0xa77e49…
10-28 14:39:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x5a2218…
10-28 14:36:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xd1ad2d…
10-28 14:36:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x6d1e56…
10-28 14:29:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0xeadae8…
10-28 14:29:29	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x56c49e…
10-28 14:23:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x20f1ba…
10-28 14:20:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	198	22¢	$44	0x5f4afe…
10-28 14:20:29	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe65132…
10-28 14:20:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x71dee1…
10-28 14:19:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x695c38…
10-28 13:06:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x05f49a…
10-28 13:06:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x3f2556…
10-28 13:06:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xbcaae3…
10-28 13:06:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	306	2¢	$6	0x5f9d61…
10-28 13:05:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x0d3b20…
10-28 13:05:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x678061…
10-28 12:19:49	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	310	23¢	$71	0x809daf…
10-28 03:34:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	57	55¢	$32	0x7a8a73…
10-27 01:57:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0xf1e1bf…
10-27 00:16:15	spx opens up or down on october 27 2026	Down	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0xca10d3…
10-26 23:42:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	211	58¢	$122	0x0ab342…
10-26 17:42:44	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9a6de1…
10-26 13:41:14	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	600	66¢	$396	0x14173d…
10-26 13:30:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	412	100¢	$411	0x8af3cf…
10-26 04:58:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	130	65¢	$84	0xd4467a…
10-26 04:57:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x75a9d7…
10-26 04:38:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	306	66¢	$202	0xcaf447…
10-26 04:37:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0x0c692b…
10-26 04:37:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x27e5a2…
10-26 04:26:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	53	63¢	$33	0x92e496…
10-26 04:17:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	140	64¢	$90	0xaed131…
10-26 04:16:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xd9e24e…
10-26 03:59:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xda9762…
10-26 03:59:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x5b5250…
10-26 03:58:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	72	59¢	$42	0xe3011f…
10-26 03:57:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?	No	BUY	305	18¢	$54	0x8d67dc…
10-26 03:55:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	263	91¢	$239	0x468231…
10-26 03:55:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	283	81¢	$230	0x390ec9…
10-26 03:52:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	113	55¢	$63	0x7926b6…
10-26 01:35:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	BUY	66	51¢	$34	0x4242bc…
10-25 23:26:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	235	34¢	$80	0xc961f7…
10-23 07:36:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb9e49d…
10-23 07:35:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	180	69¢	$125	0x9805d4…
10-23 07:19:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	350	46¢	$162	0xc983e4…
10-23 03:39:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xadb067…
10-23 03:32:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	140	40¢	$56	0x9b8e01…
10-23 03:31:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	155	36¢	$56	0x98c4d2…
10-23 02:00:53	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 23?	No	BUY	286	13¢	$36	0x2c2d35…
10-23 02:00:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 23?	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xd53398…
10-23 02:00:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 23?	No	BUY	66	31¢	$20	0x7fe4e7…
10-23 02:00:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 23?	No	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0x0e4a05…
10-21 16:38:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x7a3f9e…
10-21 16:38:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xeb3876…
10-21 16:38:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x7bd16f…
10-21 16:37:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe0b962…
10-21 16:27:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x6a9381…
10-21 16:27:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0x4d2b23…
10-21 16:27:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x4b95c9…
10-21 16:27:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0xf430b6…
10-21 16:27:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xf1b0d5…
10-21 16:27:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x89eb08…