Stiff-Sky — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$314

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,612

lifetime

Volume

$274.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 08-14 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

100% 58% +$314

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 454 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	66	$12.9K	15,363	2,860	+12,503	open	—	05-01 21:24
spx up or down on july 22 2026	164	$12.0K	45,975	4,478	+41,497	open	—	07-22 19:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	186	$12.0K	67,187	5,232	+61,955	open	—	06-02 19:58
spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	97	$10.8K	12,943	5,627	+7,316	open	—	07-24 13:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	163	$9.0K	21,181	5,456	+15,725	open	—	05-21 12:46
spx up or down on july 24 2026	65	$8.9K	17,762	3,428	+14,334	open	—	07-24 19:30
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	65	$7.4K	11,909	4,948	+6,961	open	—	05-01 19:30
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	31	$7.2K	4,764	4,759	+6	open	—	06-02 19:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	51	$7.2K	15,354	4,141	+11,213	open	—	05-27 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	31	$7.0K	8,211	2,726	+5,485	Up	+$1,197	05-08 13:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	37	$6.8K	9,688	356	+9,332	Down	$-761	05-04 18:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	81	$6.8K	10,627	2,139	+8,488	open	—	05-20 12:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	69	$6.3K	11,164	6,929	+4,234	Down	+$539	05-04 19:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	60	$6.3K	5,268	2,433	+2,835	open	—	04-30 19:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	35	$5.8K	6,211	3,738	+2,473	open	—	05-29 11:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	58	$5.8K	12,489	2,187	+10,302	open	—	06-01 13:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	35	$5.5K	13,890	2,240	+11,650	Up	+$2,423	05-13 13:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	159	$5.5K	7,060	3,927	+3,134	open	—	06-01 17:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	65	$5.0K	12,843	748	+12,095	open	—	06-02 12:59
spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	69	$4.5K	7,689	2,293	+5,396	open	—	07-28 13:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	24	$4.5K	8,516	0	+8,516	Down	$-2,106	05-12 12:31
spy closes above 755 on june 3 2026	111	$4.3K	9,204	1,524	+7,680	open	—	06-03 19:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	27	$3.8K	5,348	729	+4,619	Up	+$1,452	05-11 19:33
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	161	$3.7K	6,263	2,958	+3,305	open	—	06-01 17:44
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	65	$3.6K	7,144	1,598	+5,546	open	—	06-01 19:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	34	$3.6K	8,477	0	+8,477	open	—	06-03 12:14
spx up or down on june 5 2026	30	$3.5K	11,316	2,337	+8,978	open	—	06-05 19:32
spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	22	$3.5K	5,430	200	+5,230	open	—	07-16 07:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	83	$3.3K	5,592	2,516	+3,075	open	—	05-19 11:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	23	$3.3K	12,217	267	+11,950	Up	$-771	05-11 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 08:33:39	spy closes above 775 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x2f55d5…
08-14 08:32:31	spy closes above 775 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xae1f5d…
08-14 08:30:34	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	185	61¢	$113	0x4821f1…
08-14 08:26:04	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	216	58¢	$125	0xdd20d1…
08-14 08:24:39	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	92	57¢	$52	0x9fb249…
08-14 08:23:45	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	110	56¢	$62	0x143d9e…
08-14 08:18:24	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	110	56¢	$62	0x3d5041…
08-14 08:06:33	spy closes above 775 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x37bfc8…
08-14 08:02:37	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0xb8134e…
08-14 08:02:34	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	110	59¢	$65	0x7cf4e0…
08-14 08:02:34	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	110	59¢	$65	0x673013…
08-14 08:02:33	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	110	59¢	$65	0xcf8d3b…
08-14 08:02:21	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xed75a8…
08-14 08:02:21	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	110	59¢	$65	0x88a01f…
08-14 08:02:21	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x5f6b64…
08-14 07:55:07	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x52072c…
08-14 07:48:04	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf8d601…
08-14 05:56:19	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	673	58¢	$391	0xf14c32…
08-14 05:54:40	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x801466…
08-14 05:53:33	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa9d3c3…
08-14 05:53:33	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x494394…
08-14 05:53:30	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x90db9f…
08-14 05:52:37	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xb2e5d5…
08-14 05:52:36	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x55b017…
08-14 05:52:34	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xb28ed2…
08-14 05:51:51	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	736	59¢	$434	0xadbaf5…
08-14 05:49:57	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x433d6c…
08-14 05:49:04	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x477b7a…
08-14 05:49:04	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x3a6281…
08-14 05:49:04	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x194754…
08-14 05:47:39	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x26434b…
08-14 05:47:37	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xbacacc…
08-14 05:12:42	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdf0439…
08-14 05:07:58	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x689c62…
08-14 05:05:49	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc36db2…
08-14 05:02:45	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x089361…
08-14 04:53:18	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x287b9c…
08-14 03:16:34	spy closes above 775 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0x734ac5…
08-14 03:15:13	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb6e2c5…
08-14 02:24:04	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x3b4a94…
08-14 02:12:43	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf85b8f…
08-14 02:02:25	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfa7388…
08-14 01:49:55	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa76dd6…
08-14 01:49:30	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0xa1c942…
08-14 01:49:27	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xe852fd…
08-14 01:45:22	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x73a4fb…
08-14 01:38:37	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x8938c5…
08-14 01:36:22	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0xb9555f…
08-14 01:31:30	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x82f55a…
08-14 01:29:22	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc6072a…
08-14 01:29:21	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x424e3b…
08-14 01:15:25	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x6b92d9…
08-14 01:14:25	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x861522…
08-14 01:13:36	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	190	68¢	$129	0x1db58e…
08-14 01:13:27	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	67	46¢	$31	0x69ef75…
08-14 01:12:06	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x7c1140…
08-14 01:11:45	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x84a88f…
08-14 01:11:25	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x49642c…
08-14 01:11:07	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xcd4b79…
08-14 01:10:48	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	225	45¢	$101	0xab4c77…
08-14 00:55:07	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x9d0c02…
08-14 00:55:07	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x59fb4c…
08-14 00:54:49	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa40b8d…
08-14 00:54:49	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa2f26c…
08-14 00:54:36	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x27ea88…
08-14 00:54:33	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x5805ce…
08-14 00:50:18	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x94f506…
08-14 00:50:18	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x0c0084…
08-14 00:50:16	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x79914a…
08-14 00:49:49	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x63a25f…
08-14 00:49:48	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xf7a405…
08-14 00:49:25	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe4ceaf…
08-14 00:32:00	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xec1bbd…
08-14 00:30:33	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x42e664…
08-14 00:30:31	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x82970e…
08-14 00:30:31	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1303d4…
08-14 00:29:43	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbbe908…
08-14 00:29:42	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x905fc9…
08-14 00:29:01	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc5f414…
08-14 00:28:01	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4d909e…
08-14 00:28:01	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x30e730…
08-14 00:28:01	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x14148f…
08-14 00:27:33	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x425182…
08-14 00:27:30	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x645f0e…
08-14 00:26:12	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb36c85…
08-14 00:26:10	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5adf64…
08-14 00:26:07	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2d8a24…
08-14 00:15:09	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x3bc374…
08-14 00:15:09	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1a746b…
08-14 00:15:07	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x2f0e1f…
08-14 00:15:06	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x0d8168…
08-14 00:12:51	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x9da5fa…
08-14 00:12:49	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x94ca2d…
08-14 00:00:06	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xa61535…
08-13 23:45:39	spy closes above 775 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	300	74¢	$224	0xb6abf3…
08-13 13:36:43	spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x3e0560…
08-13 13:36:25	spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x415f89…
08-13 12:31:57	spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	135	64¢	$86	0x41e16a…
08-13 12:08:07	spx opens up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	420	8¢	$34	0xb48a84…
08-13 12:07:54	spx opens up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	420	9¢	$38	0x98ba4a…