S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 2? | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$5,398

Trades

119

Unique wallets

29

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-11-02

First seen

2026-10-30

last 11-02 21:03

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Snarling-Pantology +4,685 (anon) +324 (anon) +60 Nonstop-Knitting +50 Scientific-Impala +45 shadukered +25 Writhing-Retention +20 (anon) +20

NO holders

Essential-Establishment +3,006 Tinted-Kind +1,500 Unpleasant-Distinction +392 Stiff-Sky +122 (anon) +50 (anon) +42 (anon) +40 (anon) +34

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +0.3¢ (top1%: 5% YES on $4.8K vs crowd: 5% YES on $5.3K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	8	$226	$4.4K	$4.2K
🐬 Dolphin	7	$5	$507	$502
🐟 Fish	10	$3	$120	$116
🦐 Shrimp	4	$6	$24	$18

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	11	$231	$4.5K	$4.3K
🏆 Top 5%	4	$0	$346	$346
Median	1	—	$30	$30
Below median	4	$1	$73	$72
⚠️ Bottom 10%	5	$8	$55	$47
🔻 Bottom 5%	1	—	$5	$5
💀 Bottom 1%	3	$1	$53	$53

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (26) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851	Yes	+4,685	$145	$145	25	11-02 18:11
Essential-Establishment 0xcbd0…dec4	No	+3,006	$2,936	$2,936	7	11-02 18:29
Tinted-Kind 0x4025…88b6	No	+1,500	$1,448	$1,448	3	11-02 17:25
Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb	No	+392	$331	$331	9	11-02 15:41
(anonymous) 0x403f…94f1	Yes	+324	$76	$79	15	11-02 20:21
Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a	No	+122	$99	$99	3	11-02 14:28
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Yes	+60	$1	$1	2	11-02 19:19
Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9	Yes	+50	$0	$0	1	11-02 19:25
(anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd	No	+50	$42	$75	11	11-02 15:53
Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa	Yes	+45	$2	$2	3	11-02 20:20
(anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8	No	+42	$41	$41	6	11-02 18:05
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	No	+40	$35	$35	2	11-02 16:01
(anonymous) 0x2955…06ab	No	+34	$30	$30	1	11-02 15:58
shadukered 0x81a4…b648	Yes	+25	$6	$6	1	11-02 15:18
Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389	Yes	+20	$0	$0	1	11-02 19:25
(anonymous) 0xf9ed…7ee9	Yes	+20	$5	$5	1	11-02 15:41
(anonymous) 0xc323…a9ca	No	+20	$16	$16	4	11-02 14:28
Made-Up-Councilman 0x568b…f9f3	No	+17	$15	$15	2	11-02 13:00
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Yes	+10	$0	$0	1	11-02 19:25
Snappy-Daylight 0xdbbf…fb9f	No	+6	$5	$5	1	11-01 23:26
(anonymous) 0x02df…222f	No	+5	$5	$5	1	11-02 18:11
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	11-02 17:26
(anonymous) 0x828c…86da	No	+5	$5	$5	1	11-02 17:26
(anonymous) 0x2396…2eb2	No	+5	$4	$4	1	11-02 16:01
Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f	No	+1	$1	$1	1	11-02 21:03
(anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd	Yes	+1	$1	$2	2	11-02 14:34