Made-Up-Councilman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,342

lifetime

Volume

$5.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-01 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% 50% +$18

Other

30% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	+20	$9	100¢	$20	+$11	05-31 06:36
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	+20	$19	100¢	$20	+$1	05-31 06:36
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	+40	$8	0¢	$0	$-8	05-31 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	43	$502	409	309	+101	open	—	04-28 12:37
military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	33	$262	219	213	+6	open	—	04-11 00:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	28	$243	260	260	+0	open	—	04-20 02:18
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	25	$234	180	217	-37	open	—	04-07 03:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	19	$234	180	160	+20	open	—	04-20 02:12
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	25	$165	140	183	-43	open	—	04-11 05:37
will al green attend the 2026 state of the union address	56	$158	155	150	+5	open	—	02-25 00:58
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	14	$145	179	112	+67	open	—	04-28 12:53
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	8	$143	80	80	+0	open	—	04-09 19:13
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	10	$129	85	84	+1	open	—	04-09 17:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	9	$99	100	80	+20	No	+$18	04-29 09:30
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	16	$97	153	113	+40	open	—	04-28 12:37
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	24	$83	75	75	+0	open	—	02-23 17:22
earnings mentions paypal 2026 02 03 regulation regulator regulatory 1 times	11	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	02-03 09:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$69	120	120	+0	open	—	04-20 02:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$68	40	40	+0	open	—	04-07 03:34
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	10	$61	97	57	+41	open	—	04-28 12:37
Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?	5	$60	67	20	+47	open	—	04-10 00:41
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	6	$59	80	40	+40	Yes	$-0	04-25 15:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	5	$57	60	40	+20	open	—	05-11 15:22
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	7	$56	92	25	+67	open	—	04-11 11:15
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	11	$56	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 01:20
will ketanji brown jackson attend the 2026 state of the union address	19	$52	48	58	-10	open	—	02-25 00:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	5	$51	60	40	+20	open	—	04-25 14:42
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	6	$51	64	5	+59	open	—	04-10 05:24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$50	40	20	+20	open	—	04-19 23:13
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	7	$49	60	50	+10	open	—	05-31 06:38
will anthony kennedy attend the 2026 state of the union address	19	$45	48	43	+5	open	—	02-25 01:40
will starmer say mandelson during the next prime ministers questions	20	$43	60	50	+10	open	—	02-25 12:11
will elon musk attend the 2026 state of the union address	14	$43	39	30	+9	open	—	02-24 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 14:39:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa0c819…
06-01 14:39:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x7b18ae…
06-01 14:39:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x48829c…
06-01 14:26:05	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc16966…
06-01 14:26:05	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x32dff6…
06-01 14:26:00	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x60a6a4…
06-01 14:21:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x390853…
06-01 14:21:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf58d42…
06-01 14:21:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x959031…
06-01 14:20:10	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x4fb2d6…
06-01 14:20:08	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x5f28b0…
06-01 14:20:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x41ace3…
06-01 14:19:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x3ad740…
06-01 14:19:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf2bb2d…
06-01 14:18:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9c8b95…
06-01 07:04:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xdb38fa…
06-01 07:04:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xd3fc3f…
06-01 07:04:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x26be46…
06-01 06:32:58	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbb008c…
06-01 06:32:57	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6a1e3d…
06-01 06:32:55	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xed069e…
06-01 06:32:37	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xed0857…
06-01 06:32:37	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdc96e0…
06-01 06:32:25	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xa7d1e9…
06-01 05:56:24	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xe079f6…
06-01 05:56:10	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xd32972…
06-01 05:55:47	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x288027…
06-01 05:26:49	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe1fb30…
05-31 06:38:49	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x711fa6…
05-31 06:36:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2e86df…
05-31 06:36:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe65a11…
05-31 06:36:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9d19b8…
05-31 06:36:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0c2cb1…
05-31 06:36:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xf356ec…
05-31 06:36:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb87f37…
05-31 06:36:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb5c063…
05-31 06:36:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xafd987…
05-31 06:36:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x9ac600…
05-31 06:36:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x18792f…
05-31 06:36:27	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd46dc5…
05-31 06:36:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb746a6…
05-31 06:36:27	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9d8ec3…
05-31 06:36:27	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3d149e…
05-31 06:36:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0a48cb…
05-31 06:36:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xecb647…
05-31 06:36:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xdd99a6…
05-31 06:36:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaa5dee…
05-31 06:36:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x85a53c…
05-31 06:36:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x44cb5a…
05-31 06:36:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x375b8c…
05-31 06:36:24	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf57ea9…
05-31 06:36:24	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd548e9…
05-31 06:36:24	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa55480…
05-31 06:36:24	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa020c0…
05-31 06:36:24	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x54e0f5…
05-31 06:36:22	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xc2b2e7…
05-31 06:36:22	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xba4f42…
05-31 06:36:22	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa9a8c6…
05-31 06:36:22	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xa69e6d…
05-31 06:36:22	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x701902…
05-31 06:36:22	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x6379b2…
05-29 16:21:55	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xa0e55e…
05-29 16:10:03	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xe40800…
05-29 16:10:03	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xa9d0da…
05-29 05:47:06	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf74564…
05-29 05:47:06	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa75cc1…
05-29 05:47:06	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x840603…
05-29 05:47:06	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4a57de…
05-29 05:47:04	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x68aea6…
05-29 05:47:04	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4f5ae2…
05-29 05:47:04	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x12e71d…
05-29 05:47:04	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0c42d8…
05-29 05:46:59	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa3a3b8…
05-29 05:46:59	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x652320…
05-29 05:46:57	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x911c3d…
05-29 05:46:56	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xfa8294…
05-28 16:55:02	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xa386fe…
05-28 16:46:20	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x9b745e…
05-28 16:46:20	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x2f3444…
05-19 17:10:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x88a090…
05-19 16:44:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x655d80…
05-19 16:27:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x6a5f27…
05-19 16:22:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x7605fa…
05-19 16:01:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe68a3f…
05-19 16:01:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9ab5c6…
05-17 08:55:32	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe812e1…
05-17 08:55:32	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcc2716…
05-17 08:55:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x333104…
05-17 08:08:44	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb33a86…
05-17 08:08:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2ecfc3…
05-12 11:55:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1476cc…
05-11 15:22:10	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf5095f…
05-11 15:22:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x329b53…
05-07 13:05:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xccd46b…
05-07 13:05:10	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x640277…
04-29 09:30:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xd6697c…
04-28 12:53:54	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x739fe2…
04-28 12:53:52	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0xe769de…
04-28 12:37:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb0c46b…
04-28 12:37:28	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9e4520…