Criminal-Toffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

3,512

Trades

9,946

lifetime

Volume

$190.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-30 20:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Other

50% 67% +$653

Crypto

50% 82% -$842

Sports

0% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 7?	25	$1.6K	941	941	+0	Yes	-$92	05-07 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:05 UTC	9	$1.5K	961	642	+319	Down	-$4	03-31 17:09
spy closes above 745 on june 4 2026	15	$1.0K	1,030	161	+868	Yes	+$115	06-04 14:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 22?	26	$910	584	500	+84	Down	+$20	10-22 12:36
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	23	$862	937	137	+800	Yes	+$154	05-15 20:01
spy closes above 730 on june 9 2026	14	$815	467	467	+0	Yes	-$17	06-09 17:30
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	21	$799	533	342	+192	Up	+$46	05-26 16:10
spy closes above 735 on july 31 2026	10	$735	412	389	+23	Yes	-$18	07-31 14:54
msft close above 420 on april 22 2026	23	$713	466	463	+3	Yes	-$55	04-22 20:28
spy closes above 735 on july 8 2026	8	$675	368	368	+0	Yes	-$17	07-08 15:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	20	$652	474	250	+223	No	+$31	10-20 14:13
spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	15	$606	377	377	+0	Yes	-$78	06-09 14:18
spy closes above 740 on june 17 2026	8	$593	319	319	+0	Yes	-$7	06-17 18:04
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	15	$591	321	321	+0	Down	-$12	05-12 19:53
spy closes above 705 on april 21 2026	8	$579	314	313	+1	No	+$19	04-21 21:13
spy closes above 735 on june 22 2026	7	$562	296	296	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 14:55
spy closes above 730 on july 29 2026	20	$523	322	322	+0	No	-$39	07-29 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:10 UTC	4	$484	303	302	+2	Down	-$14	03-20 13:13
spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	6	$483	260	249	+11	Yes	+$14	07-07 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:10 UTC	2	$481	403	397	+6	Up	+$78	03-21 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:45 UTC	7	$460	296	210	+86	Down	-$17	03-20 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:15 UTC	4	$453	361	358	+3	Up	-$43	03-20 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:40 UTC	5	$447	511	118	+393	Up	+$37	03-31 00:44
spy closes above 745 on july 29 2026	11	$431	250	250	+0	No	-$21	07-29 18:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	36	$430	349	349	+0	No	-$41	10-30 18:15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	20	$426	293	223	+69	No	+$9	10-18 22:27
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 22?	31	$420	335	335	+0	No	-$51	10-22 16:58
will spy reach 760 in july 2026	14	$412	252	221	+30	No	+$21	07-27 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:05 UTC	2	$411	416	0	+416	Down	-$411	03-29 15:09
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	35	$405	395	395	+0	Yes	-$31	10-23 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:11:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb536cd…
10-30 19:59:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xff1924…
10-30 19:59:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x2759e8…
10-30 19:53:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	No	SELL	93	13¢	$12	0x394b5a…
10-30 19:12:24	spy closes above 760 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6b43a2…
10-30 19:12:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x769d82…
10-30 18:53:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xb1b85b…
10-30 18:15:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x3236ab…
10-30 18:15:27	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x192d76…
10-30 18:08:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x390d7f…
10-30 18:03:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x78c403…
10-30 18:03:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x699551…
10-30 18:02:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x1bf460…
10-30 17:48:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x10cd2d…
10-30 17:37:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x1d1772…
10-30 17:36:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x6d8bf5…
10-30 17:36:07	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	31	50¢	$15	0x3be600…
10-30 17:18:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7279cb…
10-30 16:11:49	spy closes above 765 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xe24283…
10-30 16:06:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x768b53…
10-30 16:00:07	spy closes above 745 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x993989…
10-30 15:58:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xc17d4f…
10-30 15:58:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbb78da…
10-30 15:58:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x1a6477…
10-30 15:53:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xfc8a64…
10-30 15:53:07	spy closes above 765 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x2716ac…
10-30 15:12:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x246725…
10-30 15:09:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x21ef71…
10-30 15:08:27	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5f9fd4…
10-30 14:47:22	spy closes above 770 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x485d22…
10-30 14:46:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x85ddc8…
10-30 14:41:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	SELL	47	45¢	$22	0x9b577c…
10-30 14:39:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xe3241a…
10-30 14:39:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xf699c3…
10-30 14:39:19	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xe11ee4…
10-30 14:17:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xcea7bf…
10-30 14:16:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x076f44…
10-30 14:15:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xf98969…
10-30 13:49:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xceb5ae…
10-30 13:48:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x37d3fa…
10-30 13:45:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe01fd4…
10-30 13:33:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x198878…
10-30 12:17:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x53ca22…
10-30 11:47:49	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x693a1c…
10-30 11:33:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x2d3893…
10-30 11:33:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x0f8299…
10-30 11:33:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x81f1fd…
10-30 11:33:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xc69250…
10-30 11:32:58	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x3da637…
10-30 10:50:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb32720…
10-30 10:49:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf131d2…
10-30 10:17:58	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x1c621d…
10-30 09:03:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x81c278…
10-30 07:55:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x21677e…
10-30 07:55:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x78f266…
10-30 07:54:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x295cc9…
10-30 07:53:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x8f60e5…
10-30 07:42:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5603c4…
10-30 03:08:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x23f9cb…
10-30 03:05:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1be781…
10-30 00:04:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x7b822b…
10-30 00:04:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xfefd40…
10-30 00:03:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x1e6956…
10-29 23:50:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa55956…
10-29 23:49:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x3de1e0…
10-29 23:36:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb6e2ee…
10-29 23:34:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 30?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb4c69e…
10-29 23:16:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xbc95ac…
10-29 23:08:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x81c350…
10-29 23:08:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x6accb4…
10-29 23:07:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xd3b9d4…
10-29 22:49:54	spy closes above 765 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x14c403…
10-29 22:46:24	spy closes above 765 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x2835c9…
10-29 22:03:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xedb7c2…
10-29 22:01:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xe0a12c…
10-29 21:24:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x9ebe70…
10-29 21:21:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x29b462…
10-29 21:06:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x9957a2…
10-29 21:06:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x13f87b…
10-29 20:36:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 30?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x9910da…
10-29 20:29:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc28728…
10-29 20:28:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0bf963…
10-29 20:28:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x36b707…
10-29 20:28:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x90a3b1…
10-29 20:28:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9ef6fd…
10-29 20:11:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x32e585…
10-29 17:54:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x8adbab…
10-29 17:52:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x56e829…
10-29 17:51:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x14452f…
10-29 17:49:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x5c7bac…
10-29 17:47:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x49deb8…
10-29 17:45:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x123b4b…
10-29 16:43:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 29?	Down	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0x544412…
10-29 15:33:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x829df0…
10-29 14:31:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x7d8562…
10-29 13:56:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x280103…
10-29 13:38:25	spy closes above 760 on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x8c2a0f…
10-29 13:35:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xec0cd8…
10-29 13:35:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0c7af2…
10-29 13:01:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x2bca7f…