SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?
open
Total volume
$1,462
$16 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$741
Latest YES mid
45¢
Latest NO mid
55¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-11 03:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $524
vs crowd: 95% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $524 | — | +$524 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $593 | $64 | +$529 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $524 | — | +$524 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $379 | — | +$379 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $65 | — | +$65 |
| Below median | 4 | $95 | $6 | +$89 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $53 | $58 | $5 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | +1,200 | $524 | $524 | 6 | 05-11 03:42 |
| Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Up | +956 | $379 | $379 | 2 | 05-10 23:11 |
| Cultured-Legislature 0x5ef4…930e | Up | +210 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-11 03:18 |
| Sturdy-Locust 0xa0a8…e606 | Up | +111 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-11 00:34 |
| Plain-Nonconformist 0x9b49…2db9 | Down | +100 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-11 03:23 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Up | +30 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-10 23:22 |
| Nervous-Compensation 0x2412…1d56 | Up | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Down | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 00:02 |
| Frail-Item 0x06ce…0b8b | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 22:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 03:48:08 | Cold-Monitoring 0x21ce…7678 | Down | SELL | 100 | 54¢ | $54 | 0x605914… |
| 05-11 03:42:22 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 45¢ | $90 | 0xbd0040… |
| 05-11 03:42:17 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 45¢ | $90 | 0x68d661… |
| 05-11 03:42:04 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 45¢ | $90 | 0x04fbfa… |
| 05-11 03:29:21 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 43¢ | $86 | 0x6d80e6… |
| 05-11 03:28:34 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 43¢ | $86 | 0x5be36d… |
| 05-11 03:23:38 | Plain-Nonconformist 0x9b49…2db9 | Down | BUY | 100 | 58¢ | $58 | 0x399f23… |
| 05-11 03:18:43 | Cultured-Legislature 0x5ef4…930e | Up | BUY | 210 | 43¢ | $90 | 0x8fb1c3… |
| 05-11 02:30:56 | Uncommon-Comment 0x6c85…b20c | Up | SELL | 224 | 44¢ | $98 | 0x73689d… |
| 05-11 02:30:54 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 8 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x6d9e4f… |
| 05-11 02:30:54 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x42b42b… |
| 05-11 02:30:53 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x420f5b… |
| 05-11 02:30:42 | Nervous-Compensation 0x2412…1d56 | Up | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x242753… |
| 05-11 02:30:19 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x7eeaba… |
| 05-11 01:20:04 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 41¢ | $82 | 0xfbfc87… |
| 05-11 00:54:04 | Speedy-Truth 0x41f3…844e | Up | SELL | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0x1f48db… |
| 05-11 00:50:05 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | SELL | 12 | 44¢ | $5 | 0x0cdee3… |
| 05-11 00:50:05 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x9c7f9d… |
| 05-11 00:34:02 | Sturdy-Locust 0xa0a8…e606 | Up | BUY | 111 | 45¢ | $50 | 0x3cf69f… |
| 05-11 00:14:31 | Half-Orchid 0x693c…a7ed | Up | SELL | 100 | 40¢ | $40 | 0x0e96b0… |
| 05-11 00:02:32 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Down | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xf4f2c7… |
| 05-10 23:37:06 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | SELL | 98 | 39¢ | $38 | 0xf3c6ba… |
| 05-10 23:22:56 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Up | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xee8b9b… |
| 05-10 23:11:09 | Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Up | BUY | 601 | 40¢ | $240 | 0x8a8065… |
| 05-10 23:10:44 | Stiff-Sky 0xd01f…ce7a | Up | BUY | 355 | 39¢ | $138 | 0xec82e3… |
| 05-10 23:07:04 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xb90e97… |
| 05-10 23:06:29 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0xf5523f… |
| 05-10 23:05:52 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xf51b1b… |
| 05-10 23:02:11 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 17 | 39¢ | $7 | 0xc8d0dd… |
| 05-10 23:02:11 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xa6b7f6… |
| 05-10 23:02:11 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x2e0e03… |
| 05-10 22:56:06 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x867085… |
| 05-10 22:56:06 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x78a86c… |
| 05-10 22:56:06 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xa41930… |
| 05-10 22:37:22 | Frail-Item 0x06ce…0b8b | Up | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x9fa896… |
| 05-08 22:41:34 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xe00cbf… |