Reasonable-Paradise 0x4d1bcb…081419
whale cold 9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
358
Trades
7,397
lifetime
Volume
$1.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$39.7K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 13:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Other
41% 75% -$3,644
Politics
36% 77% +$756
Tech
19% 77% +$203
Sports
3% 93% +$1,032
Crypto
0% 100% +$418
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6,600 $5,645 90¢ $5.9K +$278 07-20 06:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9,337 $5,563 62¢ $5.8K +$221 07-28 01:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,000 $5,184 84¢ $5.0K -$141 08-01 06:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $3,614 94¢ $3.8K +$166 10-16 06:51
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +9,337 $3,763 38¢ $3.6K -$210 07-25 03:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,996 $2,334 84¢ $2.5K +$193 07-14 13:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,164 $1,726 82¢ $1.8K +$43 07-06 00:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,827 $1,381 80¢ $1.5K +$73 09-10 02:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,965 $1,664 68¢ $1.3K -$337 10-29 11:03
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -1,187 -$426 98¢ $-1161 -$735 05-20 19:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,000 $823 88¢ $878 +$55 04-28 14:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,353 $729 16¢ $854 +$124 07-28 01:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,094 $841 76¢ $837 -$4 10-31 08:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $825 82¢ $825 +$0 10-30 07:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +896 $707 82¢ $740 +$32 10-29 22:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,600 $945 10¢ $676 -$269 07-20 10:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,112 $954 16¢ $644 -$310 07-14 13:53
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +750 $592 64¢ $476 -$116 09-29 09:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,164 $436 18¢ $395 -$41 08-01 17:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,827 $444 20¢ $373 -$71 10-30 22:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $254 70¢ $282 +$28 10-09 01:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +600 $162 24¢ $141 -$21 10-21 08:08
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $261 26¢ $132 -$128 09-22 07:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $175 12¢ $122 -$53 04-30 11:59
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $17 2¢ $17 $0 08-15 06:07
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $7 2¢ $16 +$9 08-14 23:16
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 08-14 23:16