Reasonable-Paradise 0x4d1bcb…081419
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$45
Unrealized P&L
+$1.67K
Hit rate
98.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,811
lifetime
Volume
$695.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$183
Open exposure
$10.9K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 13:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
39% 75% +$13
Politics
36% 100% +$32
Tech
21% — —
Sports
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +5,622 $5,881 100¢ $5.6K $-284 06-26 09:18
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -2,688 $-2,782 100¢ $-2681 +$101 06-26 13:27
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -1,170 $-1,199 100¢ $-1169 +$30 06-20 17:18
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +512 $496 99¢ $508 +$12 06-28 13:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -500 $-563 100¢ $-498 +$65 06-20 22:21
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -430 $-850 90¢ $-390 +$460 06-10 17:33
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -2,945 $-1,439 1¢ $-22 +$1,417 06-26 00:51
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +365 $151 0¢ $1 $-150 06-24 21:00
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +118 $-14 0¢ $1 +$14 06-14 21:58