Irresponsible-Pupa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$429

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

15,685

Trades

138,302

lifetime

Volume

$1.80M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-14 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 51% +$12,476

Other

17% 62% +$1,271

Politics

0% 25% -$1,518

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes		+1,000	$460	3¢	$31	-$429	05-19 12:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	960	$56.8K	114,342	0	+114,342	Alcaraz	+$111	01-30 09:14
wta sabalen rybakin 2026 01 31	404	$28.1K	55,642	0	+55,642	Rybakina	-$650	01-31 11:01
atp musetti djokovi 2026 01 28	441	$25.6K	51,969	0	+51,969	Djokovic	+$790	01-28 06:44
atp zverev tien 2026 01 27	202	$10.4K	22,084	0	+22,084	Zverev	+$111	01-27 05:56
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	261	$8.8K	17,778	0	+17,778	Alcaraz	+$196	02-01 11:47
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	81	$8.6K	17,015	0	+17,015	Djokovic	-$503	01-30 15:07
wta pegula rybakin 2026 01 29	117	$8.6K	18,188	0	+18,188	Rybakina	+$11	01-29 12:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	197	$8.4K	16,676	0	+16,676	Yes	+$125	05-13 15:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	148	$8.2K	15,122	0	+15,122	No	-$548	05-13 16:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$8.2K	8,193	0	+8,193	No	+$33	06-03 14:24
atp musetti fritz 2026 01 26	221	$6.5K	13,558	0	+13,558	Musetti	+$101	01-26 04:54
wta rybakin swiatek 2026 01 28	152	$6.1K	12,870	0	+12,870	Rybakina	+$80	01-28 02:17
atp shelton ruud 2026 01 26	141	$5.9K	12,394	0	+12,394	Shelton	+$75	01-26 12:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	156	$5.4K	11,143	0	+11,143	No	+$178	05-13 14:26
wta pegula anisimo 2026 01 27	81	$5.2K	10,659	0	+10,659	Pegula	+$169	01-28 04:12
wta svitoli andreev 2026 01 24	250	$4.8K	9,852	0	+9,852	Svitolina	+$74	01-25 11:33
wta gauff svitoli 2026 01 27	105	$4.8K	10,322	0	+10,322	Svitolina	+$3	01-27 09:04
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	162	$4.7K	8,637	0	+8,637	Up	-$605	05-11 19:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	98	$4.5K	9,072	0	+9,072	No	+$76	05-13 10:33
atp musetti machac 2026 01 24	317	$4.3K	8,578	300	+8,278	Musetti	-$65	01-24 03:23
wta gauff muchova 2026 01 25	228	$4.3K	8,727	0	+8,727	Gauff	+$10	01-25 07:04
wta wa anisimo 2026 01 26	137	$4.3K	9,006	0	+9,006	Anisimova	+$69	01-26 04:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	65	$4.0K	7,933	0	+7,933	Up	-$166	05-07 20:24
atp medvede tien 2026 01 25	169	$4.0K	8,113	0	+8,113	Tien	+$113	01-25 09:11
wta sabalen svitoli 2026 01 29	54	$3.9K	8,603	0	+8,603	Sabalenka	+$113	01-29 09:56
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 01 27	71	$3.8K	8,160	0	+8,160	Alcaraz	+$64	01-27 11:16
wta pegula keys 2026 01 25	92	$3.3K	7,516	0	+7,516	Pegula	+$85	01-26 02:02
bitcoin up or down march 6 3pm et	118	$3.3K	7,082	0	+7,082	Down	+$350	03-06 20:59
atp bublik minaur 2026 01 25	138	$3.3K	7,159	0	+7,159	Minaur	+$39	01-25 09:29
bitcoin up or down march 3 11pm et	169	$3.2K	6,556	0	+6,556	Up	+$38	03-04 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 20:22:52	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x93bae8…
10-10 10:58:36	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x4873f2…
10-08 22:57:20	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x4f722d…
07-26 18:40:09	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x2204d4…
06-03 14:24:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,335	100¢	$1,330	0x409e4e…
06-03 14:23:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,857	100¢	$6,830	0xff25b1…
05-27 13:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x46ca71…
05-27 13:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc212a1…
05-27 13:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x924350…
05-27 13:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd4f9ef…
05-27 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x247894…
05-27 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x1508dc…
05-27 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0a7c7a…
05-27 13:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x295ed5…
05-27 13:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x40724d…
05-27 13:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x5e9252…
05-27 13:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd1750c…
05-27 13:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x23790c…
05-27 13:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8019d1…
05-27 13:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa174ce…
05-27 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$1	0xc62ebd…
05-27 13:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xffb27b…
05-27 13:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x89bf1e…
05-27 13:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x31c8de…
05-27 13:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb2f1fd…
05-27 13:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xf0e81a…
05-27 13:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x01b93b…
05-27 13:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x67d740…
05-27 13:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbbc553…
05-27 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xb7a089…
05-27 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7f376d…
05-27 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x322d28…
05-27 13:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x1bd9d3…
05-27 13:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x34658d…
05-27 13:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x60aee0…
05-27 13:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x0724ba…
05-27 13:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc9c5d6…
05-27 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x14b338…
05-27 13:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0468de…
05-27 13:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x20e128…
05-27 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xba7448…
05-27 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x4c8e49…
05-27 13:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xce04a3…
05-27 13:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x669896…
05-27 13:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x25691f…
05-27 13:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xeb6b7b…
05-27 13:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0x9ad725…
05-27 13:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1e30c7…
05-27 12:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x176816…
05-27 12:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x193430…
05-27 12:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x8266ed…
05-27 12:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x6c985a…
05-27 12:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb5e951…
05-27 12:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x182605…
05-27 12:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf1e768…
05-27 12:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb7a015…
05-27 12:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb71a66…
05-27 12:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb5b64a…
05-27 12:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x8875c8…
05-27 12:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xfde7de…
05-27 12:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xc83421…
05-27 12:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc2515d…
05-27 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfe209d…
05-27 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa43fb6…
05-27 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6b9a7c…
05-27 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x62e090…
05-27 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x27e586…
05-27 12:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9ceeb5…
05-27 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xbbd632…
05-27 12:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x5e9dff…
05-27 12:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x8ab056…
05-27 12:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xfb4ea3…
05-27 12:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xebc0ce…
05-27 12:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x17efc5…
05-27 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8f683e…
05-27 12:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb9f142…
05-27 12:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf527f4…
05-27 12:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa9d64c…
05-27 12:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5ee817…
05-27 12:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x124074…
05-27 12:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x2f7c7b…
05-27 12:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x0ae3a8…
05-27 12:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xc00be4…
05-27 12:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x5883e9…
05-27 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x2c1375…
05-27 12:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xfbe988…
05-27 12:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb053b6…
05-27 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xd421e6…
05-27 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb34c06…
05-27 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x07080b…
05-27 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x6efd48…
05-27 11:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfea5b3…
05-27 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xd6ea0c…
05-27 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa5b8a8…
05-27 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x22cd1f…
05-27 11:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x70174f…
05-27 11:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x95511a…
05-27 11:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x71d0ba…
05-27 11:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3657ed…
05-27 11:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xeff7ce…