Normal-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

734

lifetime

Volume

$135.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$184

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-22 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

92% 88% +$79

Crypto

4% 100% +$30

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	4	$3.3K	1,727	1,727	+0	open	—	03-16 07:39
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	5	$3.2K	1,709	1,709	+0	open	—	03-13 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	4	$2.4K	1,232	1,232	+0	open	—	03-28 16:13
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	4	$2.2K	1,138	1,136	+2	open	—	04-08 15:54
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	4	$2.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	open	—	03-14 06:46
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	4	$2.0K	1,049	1,047	+2	open	—	04-13 14:51
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	3	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	+0	open	—	03-17 14:24
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 140 164	2	$1.8K	947	947	+0	open	—	03-15 05:06
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	4	$1.8K	980	977	+3	open	—	04-27 07:17
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	2	$1.7K	866	866	+0	open	—	03-11 15:46
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	2	$1.6K	834	833	+2	open	—	04-15 15:25
nyc mayor of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 20 39	5	$1.6K	850	850	+0	open	—	03-31 16:07
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	4	$1.4K	752	749	+3	open	—	04-06 15:32
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	7	$1.4K	739	737	+2	open	—	04-21 15:40
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	4	$1.4K	739	739	+0	open	—	03-30 15:51
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 120 139	4	$1.4K	746	746	+0	open	—	03-20 16:06
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	4	$1.4K	746	746	+0	open	—	03-23 15:18
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	3	$1.4K	1,458	141	+1,317	open	—	04-01 15:45
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	2	$1.4K	697	696	+1	open	—	04-17 14:19
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	2	$1.4K	730	730	+0	open	—	03-18 06:58
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	4	$1.2K	649	649	+0	open	—	03-16 15:23
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	4	$1.2K	640	638	+2	open	—	04-04 15:44
zelenskyy of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 60 79	5	$1.2K	638	636	+2	open	—	04-07 16:33
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	5	$1.2K	632	630	+2	open	—	04-20 16:36
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	4	$1.2K	629	628	+1	open	—	04-06 15:33
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	2	$1.2K	613	612	+1	open	—	04-11 15:28
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	3	$1.2K	608	607	+1	open	—	04-17 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	3	$1.2K	614	612	+1	open	—	04-25 16:05
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	4	$1.2K	743	743	+0	open	—	03-18 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	3	$1.2K	624	621	+4	open	—	04-27 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 23:22:54	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xd4a11e…
05-22 20:03:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 22?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x897a7c…
05-22 20:03:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 22?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0c6660…
05-22 20:02:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xcfce84…
05-22 20:02:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xac0d1c…
05-22 18:13:03	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc0cdbc…
05-22 18:12:25	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x13869c…
05-22 17:39:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 22?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbf9041…
05-22 16:45:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf96ea5…
05-22 16:24:09	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xcc5f2d…
05-22 16:11:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9ce70e…
05-22 16:11:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc6e3f5…
05-22 12:04:55	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xcc0c6f…
05-22 10:36:08	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6e64f9…
05-21 18:21:51	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3adf01…
05-21 17:41:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	118	20¢	$24	0xce5842…
05-21 16:51:17	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x53bc61…
05-21 16:38:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb25c91…
05-21 16:10:24	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3a8469…
05-21 16:05:49	nflx up or down on may 21 2026	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x499260…
05-21 15:55:28	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x727c8a…
05-20 21:01:45	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xd29228…
05-20 21:01:40	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x34154b…
05-20 21:01:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0xb2d38d…
05-20 21:01:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0x719ce0…
05-20 20:23:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xf12152…
05-20 20:01:21	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x92375f…
05-20 20:01:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x7a4fca…
05-20 20:01:05	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xd8db68…
05-20 20:00:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9772a8…
05-20 16:54:36	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd0770a…
05-20 16:47:01	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x54efab…
05-20 16:46:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9cbd2f…
05-20 15:58:34	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x39c7d6…
05-20 15:51:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4fa3a1…
05-20 15:51:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x03f861…
05-19 20:27:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1ffdf2…
05-19 20:27:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x560b6c…
05-19 20:00:27	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xaa2c07…
05-19 20:00:20	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xfe4052…
05-19 19:58:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xf41c05…
05-19 16:59:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x75d98b…
05-19 16:47:56	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd6d41f…
05-19 16:25:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa8aeff…
05-19 16:24:29	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9fa804…
05-19 16:22:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7605fa…
05-18 21:25:07	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x184d07…
05-18 21:25:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x1d5548…
05-18 21:24:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x6a38f3…
05-18 21:24:39	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xf52678…
05-18 21:24:19	rut up or down on may 18 2026	Down	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xbd6a6c…
05-18 21:24:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xb2ffb7…
05-18 21:23:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0xb2ea09…
05-18 19:40:10	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x18d364…
05-18 17:38:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa069f5…
05-18 17:24:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$100	0xffabc4…
05-18 17:20:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xa07907…
05-18 17:14:52	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xccd475…
05-18 17:05:40	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4c433f…
05-18 17:03:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x3f5b34…
05-18 17:01:14	rut up or down on may 18 2026	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x91f290…
05-15 21:09:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x741bba…
05-15 17:44:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x35a1dc…
05-14 21:00:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xc5d0be…
05-14 21:00:06	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x07d1b0…
05-14 20:59:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 14?	No	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0xcedf15…
05-14 20:02:39	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdb2b9e…
05-14 20:02:00	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x70b646…
05-14 20:01:13	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x91f9e4…
05-14 20:00:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xa69bbe…
05-14 18:31:30	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x40af00…
05-14 18:30:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 14?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfbfe56…
05-14 18:29:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 14?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa8525e…
05-14 18:26:48	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd86d76…
05-14 17:39:25	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	120	90¢	$109	0xc8ff6c…
05-14 17:28:49	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xdff763…
05-14 17:00:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 14?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x779093…
05-14 16:45:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x70a309…
05-14 15:49:36	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x34eea1…
05-13 21:02:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xb90662…
05-13 20:56:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?	No	SELL	407	100¢	$407	0xbd3086…
05-13 20:56:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 13?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x826e48…
05-13 20:17:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf9ffdc…
05-13 20:17:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8022dd…
05-13 20:17:04	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xef3da2…
05-13 20:16:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x22b1af…
05-13 19:30:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdf0a48…
05-13 18:28:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe89a38…
05-13 17:19:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xed785a…
05-13 17:18:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6b2056…
05-13 17:18:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 13?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3d4c4b…
05-13 16:36:20	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4d123c…
05-12 20:15:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x37eebc…
05-12 20:15:43	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x0542a9…
05-12 20:15:37	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0xaadb7f…
05-12 20:15:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x5afd54…
05-12 19:12:57	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0f0dbe…
05-12 18:54:36	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x418a5e…
05-12 18:53:12	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	80	51¢	$41	0xf9b555…
05-12 18:53:03	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	27	61¢	$16	0x0a87c8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	166	$254.8K	3,875	05-22 22:20
Sturdy-Accessory 0x5904…940f	145	$3.31K	337	05-22 20:04
Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851	120	$37.3K	2,186	05-22 19:33
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92	118	$66.7K	2,545	04-27 05:27
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	116	$12.6K	602	05-22 20:33
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	115	$37.6K	8,423	04-28 07:33
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	114	$242.0K	19,066	05-22 11:35
Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43	112	$124.5K	2,289	05-22 20:20