Normal-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

431

Trades

1,000

lifetime

Volume

$173.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-25 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

92% 90% -$309

Politics

4% 81% -$11

Crypto

4% 100% +$94

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	4	$3.3K	1,727	1,727	+0	No	-$63	03-16 07:39
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	5	$3.2K	1,709	1,709	+0	No	+$49	03-13 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	4	$2.4K	1,232	1,232	+0	No	+$31	03-28 16:13
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	4	$2.2K	1,138	1,136	+2	Yes	+$37	04-08 15:54
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	4	$2.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	No	+$13	03-14 06:46
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	4	$2.0K	1,049	1,047	+2	No	+$47	04-13 14:51
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	3	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	+0	No	+$48	03-17 14:24
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 140 164	2	$1.8K	947	947	+0	No	+$33	03-15 05:06
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	4	$1.8K	980	977	+3	No	-$28	04-27 07:17
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	2	$1.7K	866	866	+0	No	+$51	03-11 15:46
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	2	$1.6K	834	833	+2	No	+$34	04-15 15:25
nyc mayor of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 20 39	5	$1.6K	850	850	+0	Yes	+$71	03-31 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	4	$1.6K	843	843	+0	No	-$22	05-18 16:06
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	4	$1.4K	752	749	+3	Yes	+$51	04-06 15:32
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	7	$1.4K	739	737	+2	No	+$38	04-21 15:40
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	4	$1.4K	739	739	+0	No	+$34	03-30 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	7	$1.4K	728	728	+0	No	+$27	05-06 13:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 120 139	4	$1.4K	746	746	+0	No	+$15	03-20 16:06
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	4	$1.4K	746	746	+0	No	+$16	03-23 15:18
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	3	$1.4K	1,458	141	+1,317	Yes	-$85	04-01 15:45
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	2	$1.4K	697	696	+1	No	+$21	04-17 14:19
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	2	$1.4K	730	730	+0	No	-$32	03-18 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	9	$1.3K	789	789	+0	No	-$53	05-04 15:48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	6	$1.3K	659	659	+0	Yes	+$57	05-11 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?	7	$1.2K	644	644	+0	No	+$44	05-25 11:17
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	4	$1.2K	649	649	+0	Yes	+$18	03-16 15:23
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	4	$1.2K	640	638	+2	Yes	+$40	04-04 15:44
zelenskyy of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 60 79	5	$1.2K	638	636	+2	Yes	+$37	04-07 16:33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	2	$1.2K	632	632	+0	No	+$31	05-25 15:59
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	5	$1.2K	632	630	+2	No	+$31	04-20 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 15:59:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	632	100¢	$631	0xbb8fa2…
05-25 15:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x7f213c…
05-25 13:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	632	95¢	$600	0x1d48b2…
05-25 11:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?	No	SELL	644	100¢	$644	0xfe7c32…
05-25 09:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0x4a33fe…
05-25 07:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 25?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5e6699…
05-25 07:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 25?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x15c293…
05-25 07:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x587913…
05-25 06:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x25b996…
05-25 06:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x03edb4…
05-24 16:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc18848…
05-24 09:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 24?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$310	0xdaf3dd…
05-24 09:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 24?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x1e87b6…
05-24 09:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x3b85d5…
05-24 07:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 24?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8c2028…
05-24 07:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x682cd8…
05-24 07:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x372a0c…
05-24 06:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x008301…
05-24 06:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 24?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x64ede9…
05-24 06:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x22448c…
05-24 06:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xa8ade5…
05-23 17:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 24?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd4fe9c…
05-23 15:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 24?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x743a32…
05-23 15:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 24?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x9c7aa3…
05-23 15:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x0990f0…
05-23 06:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?	No	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x760d4a…
05-23 06:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x6c1033…
05-23 06:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xae94f3…
05-23 06:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4bd929…
05-23 06:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x984d47…
05-23 05:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 23?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x5244f1…
05-22 23:22:54	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xd4a11e…
05-22 20:03:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 22?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x897a7c…
05-22 20:03:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 22?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0c6660…
05-22 20:02:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xcfce84…
05-22 20:02:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xac0d1c…
05-22 18:13:03	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc0cdbc…
05-22 18:12:25	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x13869c…
05-22 17:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x1944b6…
05-22 17:39:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 22?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbf9041…
05-22 16:45:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf96ea5…
05-22 16:24:09	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xcc5f2d…
05-22 16:11:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9ce70e…
05-22 16:11:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc6e3f5…
05-22 16:05:03	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x4e8079…
05-22 16:04:56	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x8c4215…
05-22 16:04:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	408	100¢	$408	0x83b322…
05-22 15:04:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x368782…
05-22 15:03:53	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$102	0xfca19c…
05-22 13:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbaa5b3…
05-22 12:04:55	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xcc0c6f…
05-22 10:40:09	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc75303…
05-22 10:36:08	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6e64f9…
05-22 10:28:01	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5c584f…
05-22 10:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x5e3da0…
05-22 10:26:57	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x487e2b…
05-22 10:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	68¢	$95	0x3ccaa2…
05-22 09:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0xd289d6…
05-22 08:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 22?	No	SELL	224	99¢	$223	0x5076b5…
05-22 08:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 22?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x0feb81…
05-22 06:49:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x686892…
05-22 06:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 22?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x778924…
05-22 06:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xcc51ad…
05-22 06:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 22?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xa27784…
05-21 23:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 22?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x452685…
05-21 21:09:37	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x2b624c…
05-21 21:09:02	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x2ee8f2…
05-21 20:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 22?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x5f6827…
05-21 20:02:00	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xb627ef…
05-21 20:01:46	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x95540d…
05-21 20:01:34	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xae2427…
05-21 20:01:22	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xc46022…
05-21 20:01:10	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x79750c…
05-21 18:21:51	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3adf01…
05-21 17:41:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	118	20¢	$24	0xce5842…
05-21 16:51:17	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x53bc61…
05-21 16:38:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb25c91…
05-21 16:10:24	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3a8469…
05-21 16:05:49	nflx up or down on may 21 2026	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x499260…
05-21 15:55:28	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x727c8a…
05-21 06:05:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	107	89¢	$95	0x6b8e68…
05-21 06:03:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x73e630…
05-20 21:01:45	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xd29228…
05-20 21:01:40	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x34154b…
05-20 21:01:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0xb2d38d…
05-20 21:01:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0x719ce0…
05-20 20:23:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xf12152…
05-20 20:01:21	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x92375f…
05-20 20:01:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x7a4fca…
05-20 20:01:05	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xd8db68…
05-20 20:00:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9772a8…
05-20 16:55:47	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x821fa6…
05-20 16:55:39	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x1d3c86…
05-20 16:55:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd9ab9b…
05-20 16:54:36	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd0770a…
05-20 16:47:01	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x54efab…
05-20 16:46:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9cbd2f…
05-20 15:58:34	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x39c7d6…
05-20 15:51:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4fa3a1…
05-20 15:51:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x03f861…