Live-Ambition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.71K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

10,338

lifetime

Volume

$483.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-20 21:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

69% 66% +$2,704

Crypto

29% 100% +$7

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	29	$14.1K	8,903	8,903	+0	open	—	05-15 20:17
will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	7	$10.0K	5,212	5,212	+0	open	—	07-08 17:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	6	$9.8K	4,975	4,975	+0	open	—	05-15 16:14
wti closes above 69 on july 8 2026	9	$9.6K	5,072	5,072	+0	open	—	07-08 08:41
cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 200plus	10	$8.7K	4,533	4,200	+333	open	—	04-21 09:15
spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	37	$7.6K	4,232	4,232	+0	open	—	07-07 13:10
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	33	$7.1K	7,182	5,807	+1,375	open	—	05-04 16:20
ethereum above 1900 on march 16	14	$7.0K	3,481	3,481	+0	open	—	03-16 04:38
will ng dip to 2 40 in july 2026	10	$6.8K	3,577	3,577	+0	open	—	07-10 10:30
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	15	$5.8K	3,452	3,452	+0	No	$-52	05-08 15:06
spy closes above 735 on july 9 2026	10	$5.7K	2,990	2,992	-2	open	—	07-09 14:17
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	30	$5.7K	6,248	4,862	+1,386	Down	+$1,991	05-04 16:20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	16	$5.5K	5,114	5,114	+0	open	—	05-20 13:37
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 15?	13	$5.0K	6,025	6,825	-800	open	—	05-15 19:13
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	25	$4.9K	4,114	3,251	+864	open	—	05-19 18:54
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	13	$4.6K	4,038	4,038	+0	open	—	05-20 09:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	8	$4.5K	2,293	2,293	+0	Down	+$35	05-12 22:22
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 27?	23	$4.4K	3,854	2,572	+1,282	open	—	05-27 20:22
wti closes above 78 on july 13 2026	26	$4.4K	2,483	2,274	+208	open	—	07-13 18:13
spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	29	$4.2K	5,884	2,329	+3,555	open	—	06-10 11:27
wti closes above 84 on july 15 2026	11	$3.6K	1,915	1,915	+0	open	—	07-15 22:20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?	29	$3.5K	2,791	2,791	+0	open	—	05-18 20:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 8?	11	$3.5K	2,783	2,180	+603	Yes	+$529	05-08 13:47
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 3?	54	$3.3K	3,362	3,131	+232	open	—	06-03 13:35
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	9	$3.3K	3,329	0	+3,329	Up	+$65	05-11 19:59
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	3	$3.2K	3,734	0	+3,734	open	—	05-15 17:48
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	59	$3.1K	2,436	1,474	+963	open	—	05-26 02:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 4	26	$3.1K	1,530	1,529	+0	open	—	03-04 15:16
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	18	$3.0K	3,537	3,537	+0	Yes	+$78	05-13 12:21
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	12	$3.0K	1,739	1,939	-200	open	—	04-30 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:46:27	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x7b11c8…
07-21 03:21:33	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x0c3116…
07-21 03:19:01	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xf75e6e…
07-21 02:40:48	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x8ca8f5…
07-21 02:37:19	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xb6be9b…
07-20 21:51:10	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	120	50¢	$60	0x5f07e4…
07-20 21:46:06	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x0ef9f0…
07-20 21:40:36	spy closes above 770 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x31c392…
07-20 21:38:12	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xe0d5ae…
07-20 21:37:19	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x1aa749…
07-20 21:30:18	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x1bb81f…
07-20 21:28:45	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xf5db9e…
07-20 21:18:42	spy closes above 770 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x427a0a…
07-20 21:13:07	spy closes above 760 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x65e879…
07-20 21:12:01	spy closes above 760 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1177c1…
07-20 21:11:31	spy closes above 760 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xb83328…
07-20 14:58:31	wti closes above 85 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	79	96¢	$75	0x8c2113…
07-20 14:55:52	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	125	78¢	$97	0x8454aa…
07-20 12:09:15	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	192	74¢	$143	0xaa9860…
07-20 12:03:51	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x856ff5…
07-20 11:22:24	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 10b 20260717034907916	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9ffc72…
07-20 11:21:57	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 10b 20260717034907916	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa95f16…
07-20 09:26:37	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x021273…
07-20 08:19:28	wti closes above 85 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	79	77¢	$60	0xb182c7…
07-20 06:37:19	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	71	85¢	$61	0x7c18a5…
07-20 06:36:48	will spy reach 765 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	144	3¢	$5	0x6eee78…
07-20 06:34:21	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0xd8b3d4…
07-20 06:25:24	spy closes above 755 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	298	1¢	$4	0xe9c4b0…
07-20 05:39:42	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	86	77¢	$66	0xd68fd5…
07-20 05:38:46	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb44116…
07-20 05:37:04	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0xb885b2…
07-20 05:36:46	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x79d225…
07-20 05:13:21	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x5b156e…
07-20 05:13:06	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xab8648…
07-20 04:46:06	spy closes above 755 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	312	2¢	$6	0xb44ba2…
07-20 04:14:00	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x8f47b1…
07-20 04:06:27	wti closes above 79 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xae0ab3…
07-20 03:40:10	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	130	2¢	$2	0x7a983a…
07-20 03:39:48	wti closes above 79 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x834817…
07-20 03:04:37	spy closes above 750 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xa35f6f…
07-20 03:01:07	spy closes above 750 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0xdb7c0c…
07-20 01:22:49	wti closes above 85 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xfc9a81…
07-20 01:22:25	wti closes above 85 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x7f8f03…
07-20 01:22:07	wti closes above 85 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x43fbd2…
07-20 01:01:09	spy closes above 750 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9a8a38…
07-20 01:00:22	spy closes above 750 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0x7504b2…
07-20 00:55:13	spy closes above 750 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	60	81¢	$48	0x76778f…
07-20 00:55:00	spy closes above 735 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0xefd494…
07-20 00:51:37	spy closes above 755 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	610	3¢	$18	0x687e0a…
07-20 00:49:07	spy closes above 735 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x66c08f…
07-20 00:48:21	spy closes above 735 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0x2d6811…
07-20 00:47:25	spy closes above 735 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xf517da…
07-20 00:47:16	spy closes above 735 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	220	86¢	$189	0x5bfb66…
07-20 00:45:10	spy closes above 760 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$2	0xf1a0c4…
07-20 00:32:42	will spy reach 765 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	150	95¢	$143	0xff65d4…
07-20 00:32:22	will spy reach 765 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0bbf69…
07-20 00:32:21	will spy reach 765 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	334	4¢	$13	0xb3ad5c…
07-20 00:29:25	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0xf7b9e6…
07-20 00:29:22	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc17495…
07-20 00:29:21	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xd28610…
07-19 23:54:43	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x326996…
07-19 23:54:01	pg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt41	No	SELL	172	13¢	$23	0xf24710…
07-19 23:44:15	spy closes above 760 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4003e4…
07-19 23:39:49	spy closes above 760 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9f6a13…
07-19 22:16:25	spy closes above 760 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x826936…
07-19 22:12:24	spy closes above 760 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x648f80…
07-19 22:11:39	wti closes above 80 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x3e5f98…
07-19 22:02:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0x125cec…
07-19 22:00:58	wti closes above 80 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x158916…
07-19 21:59:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7950c5…
07-19 21:58:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x4ff77d…
07-19 21:47:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x16a83e…
07-19 21:47:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x0ac5f8…
07-19 14:40:45	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	No	SELL	218	85¢	$185	0x101b91…
07-19 12:44:12	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	No	SELL	170	90¢	$153	0xfa0ea0…
07-19 11:11:09	will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 3pt9m 20260718020317330	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xad9499…
07-19 11:05:45	will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 3pt9m 20260718020317330	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2a8b27…
07-19 07:29:22	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	Yes	SELL	56	86¢	$48	0x8dfe9b…
07-19 07:21:01	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x1c0760…
07-19 06:58:12	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	Yes	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0xa60683…
07-19 06:50:55	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	Yes	BUY	136	85¢	$115	0xe13c20…
07-19 05:59:10	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3f3355…
07-19 05:53:48	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	SELL	899	6¢	$54	0x796092…
07-19 05:33:36	will kla corp klac q4 total revenues be above 3pt8b 20260718023640061	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x88af4a…
07-19 05:33:16	will kla corp klac q4 total revenues be above 3pt8b 20260718023640061	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xecd353…
07-19 05:14:10	will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 14m 20260718021248119	No	SELL	418	9¢	$37	0x7ed49b…
07-19 05:11:18	will kla corp klac q4 total revenues be above 3pt8b 20260718023640061	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xcc2d8f…
07-19 04:31:21	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb039f7…
07-19 04:28:57	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xc6472c…
07-19 04:20:21	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1e2579…
07-19 04:18:46	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x1675e9…
07-19 04:10:58	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x353ac3…
07-19 04:10:58	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x043f81…
07-19 03:44:01	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt6b 20260718015334045	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xd41d20…
07-19 03:43:54	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt6b 20260718015334045	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x5f80e2…
07-19 03:43:31	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt75b 20260718015334048	Yes	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0xf84643…
07-19 03:38:45	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt75b 20260718015334048	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x1e7331…
07-19 03:34:48	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	Yes	BUY	251	90¢	$226	0x888848…
07-19 03:32:00	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt6b 20260718015334045	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0xa5442d…
07-19 03:27:45	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x8d6a44…