Flamboyant-Spud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-21 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

91% 60% $-230

Crypto

9% 70% $-57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	15	$2.3K	1,217	1,217	+0	Up	$-5	05-11 20:03
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	3	$2.1K	1,073	1,073	+0	Up	+$41	05-05 20:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$2.1K	1,056	1,056	+0	Up	+$54	05-06 20:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	2	$2.0K	1,288	1,288	+0	open	—	05-21 19:54
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	6	$1.8K	1,267	1,122	+145	Down	$-351	05-07 16:19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$1.8K	912	912	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 21:05
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$1.8K	898	898	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 20:04
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	5	$1.3K	830	747	+83	Up	+$22	05-12 22:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	3	$1.2K	639	639	+0	Down	+$37	05-13 21:23
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	2	$1.2K	671	671	+0	open	—	05-14 20:59
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	1	$1000	1,041	0	+1,041	open	—	05-14 22:02
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	1	$909	0	910	-910	Up	$-1	05-08 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	05-07 21:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	6	$492	288	376	-88	Up	$-36	05-04 22:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	8	$491	270	270	+0	open	—	05-01 17:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	7	$354	268	268	+0	open	—	05-18 22:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	6	$235	136	131	+5	Up	+$19	05-11 23:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	2	$199	101	101	+0	open	—	05-20 15:24
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$186	97	97	+0	open	—	05-19 19:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	2	$181	94	94	+0	open	—	05-19 14:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$163	90	90	+0	open	—	05-18 18:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	2	$148	75	75	+0	open	—	05-18 16:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	05-17 15:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$140	151	0	+151	open	—	04-30 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-09 20:29
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	05-19 19:35
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$85	51	51	+0	open	—	05-01 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$75	178	0	+178	Down	$-75	05-13 21:49
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 15?	1	$73	74	0	+74	open	—	05-14 22:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$66	80	0	+80	open	—	04-28 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 19:54:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	1,288	61¢	$788	0x351aa6…
05-21 19:52:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	1,288	98¢	$1,258	0x41119b…
05-20 15:24:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x87cc46…
05-20 11:06:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0xd5633b…
05-19 19:35:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xb9bdc1…
05-19 19:25:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x7a7b54…
05-19 18:40:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x2d0c3c…
05-19 14:15:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0xeace56…
05-19 11:21:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	94	94¢	$89	0xa6ee34…
05-18 22:45:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0x572110…
05-18 21:40:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x21442f…
05-18 21:37:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x9d85c5…
05-18 20:37:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	89	2¢	$2	0xabf29d…
05-18 20:35:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x3621fe…
05-18 20:30:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xe0c96f…
05-18 19:52:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x758eff…
05-18 18:52:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xa5a1d3…
05-18 17:36:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	90	82¢	$74	0x2af1c3…
05-18 16:40:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$74	0x5238b0…
05-17 16:05:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x539112…
05-17 15:45:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xb17ad1…
05-16 19:55:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x3505cd…
05-14 22:03:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x593396…
05-14 22:02:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,041	96¢	$1,000	0xd8f4b3…
05-14 20:59:26	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb946b5…
05-14 20:59:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	671	100¢	$670	0x610982…
05-14 19:36:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x231c53…
05-14 10:35:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	671	83¢	$560	0xe43e97…
05-13 21:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xef7aaf…
05-13 21:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x87859f…
05-13 21:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x11d379…
05-13 21:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xeddac9…
05-13 21:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb91070…
05-13 21:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9b117d…
05-13 21:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x0829ee…
05-13 21:23:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	639	100¢	$638	0xa761b2…
05-13 18:27:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x99283d…
05-13 18:22:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	637	94¢	$600	0x35e9ba…
05-12 22:24:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	598	100¢	$598	0xa21dba…
05-12 18:31:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	148	0¢	$1	0xdb511c…
05-12 15:42:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	598	97¢	$580	0xbcb5e5…
05-12 07:22:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x1bc5cf…
05-11 23:22:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x1d5d3b…
05-11 23:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xd24645…
05-11 22:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xb3809e…
05-11 22:28:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb31db9…
05-11 22:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xf70ef8…
05-11 22:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x8296da…
05-11 22:22:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x85764a…
05-11 20:03:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	590	100¢	$589	0x607e22…
05-11 19:56:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbd37e9…
05-11 19:53:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xe8fe88…
05-11 19:51:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7550b8…
05-11 19:49:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2739ca…
05-11 19:49:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8a914c…
05-11 19:39:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	342	88¢	$300	0x716ab4…
05-11 16:58:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0xf66401…
05-11 16:58:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x9be0cc…
05-11 16:58:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xd0b4c6…
05-11 16:57:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	199	86¢	$172	0x9d4563…
05-11 16:30:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8271fb…
05-11 16:29:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x591e93…
05-11 16:29:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x984302…
05-11 16:28:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x63ac0b…
05-09 23:27:28	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x40db86…
05-09 23:25:22	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe9185f…
05-09 22:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6f560a…
05-09 22:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x76938d…
05-09 20:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xed1452…
05-09 20:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x236192…
05-09 20:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xdf667a…
05-09 20:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa4ca08…
05-09 20:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x54115e…
05-08 21:05:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	912	100¢	$911	0xaf36db…
05-08 20:39:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	912	100¢	$909	0xe710de…
05-08 20:38:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	910	100¢	$909	0x75d4e4…
05-07 21:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xdef0f2…
05-07 20:04:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	898	100¢	$897	0xcbf976…
05-07 18:52:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	898	99¢	$890	0x451d74…
05-07 16:19:27	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	1,091	66¢	$720	0x92f0dd…
05-07 13:44:43	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe1be9f…
05-07 13:44:13	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x00d731…
05-07 13:42:41	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x0f55a9…
05-07 08:05:18	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4ce14e…
05-07 08:04:38	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	1,152	87¢	$1,000	0xfe31ea…
05-06 20:15:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	1,056	100¢	$1,054	0x52be80…
05-06 13:42:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	1,056	95¢	$1,000	0x108deb…
05-05 20:01:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	1,073	100¢	$1,071	0xbc38f6…
05-05 19:49:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb11a99…
05-05 15:00:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	1,062	96¢	$1,020	0x6520d7…
05-04 22:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf1fc54…
05-04 22:13:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xcfc70a…
05-04 17:12:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0x523fcd…
05-04 14:47:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	116	47¢	$54	0x66b353…
05-04 13:19:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	116	52¢	$60	0x9332b8…
05-04 13:15:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	99	58¢	$58	0x31f563…
05-04 10:42:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xdec03a…
05-01 17:21:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	166	97¢	$161	0xc749a8…
05-01 13:50:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x8db36d…
05-01 13:38:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	51	87¢	$45	0xfbbb33…