Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?
open
Total volume
$548
$113 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$12,846
Latest YES mid
66¢
Latest NO mid
34¢
End date
2026-05-20
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-17 22:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $351 | $7 | +$344 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $148 | $12 | +$136 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $99 | — | +$99 |
| Median | 6 | $5 | $7 | $2 |
| Below median | 10 | $47 | $3 | +$43 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $351 | $7 | +$344 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +400 | $351 | $351 | 2 | 05-14 19:31 |
| 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | Yes | +110 | $89 | $89 | 3 | 05-16 23:35 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +39 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 13:51 |
| Lined-Tutu 0xe5c7…4b1c | Yes | +33 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-15 07:24 |
| Old-Route 0xc07c…d8f3 | No | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | No | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:46 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 22:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 07:41 |
| Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 07:24 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:46 |
| Unrealistic-Situation 0x3b93…cf00 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 14:18 |
| Self-Reliant-Rhubarb 0x55b6…f489 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 23:13 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 23:35 |
| Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 22:13 |
| Cautious-Revenge 0xcbde…68fd | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd686…b1ed | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 14:15 |
| Dual-Exile 0xc09f…ea40 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 12:45 |
| Colorful-Porch 0xf4d4…aa4a | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 14:34 |
| Thin-Jiffy 0x7a7e…4457 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:31 |
| Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 04:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 22:13:59 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x1d8402… |
| 05-17 22:13:48 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xf58a6c… |
| 05-17 17:00:47 | Old-Route 0xc07c…d8f3 | No | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xd5aabf… |
| 05-16 23:35:17 | 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | Yes | BUY | 53 | 81¢ | $43 | 0xf52d25… |
| 05-16 23:35:17 | (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x602498… |
| 05-16 23:13:03 | Self-Reliant-Rhubarb 0x55b6…f489 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbf9ee2… |
| 05-16 19:26:54 | 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | Yes | BUY | 48 | 80¢ | $38 | 0x9fb97b… |
| 05-16 14:34:56 | Colorful-Porch 0xf4d4…aa4a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x885b53… |
| 05-16 12:45:53 | Dual-Exile 0xc09f…ea40 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x611798… |
| 05-16 07:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | No | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6a3570… |
| 05-15 14:32:18 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xfdb356… |
| 05-15 13:51:26 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 39 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xc05997… |
| 05-15 11:46:24 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | No | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5e6848… |
| 05-15 07:24:20 | Lined-Tutu 0xe5c7…4b1c | Yes | BUY | 33 | 93¢ | $31 | 0xb7680a… |
| 05-15 07:24:04 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xfe896e… |
| 05-15 04:10:12 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf6aeb8… |
| 05-14 21:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x09a7…8213 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x04578c… |
| 05-14 19:31:49 | Thin-Jiffy 0x7a7e…4457 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe99cf9… |
| 05-14 19:31:46 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x2b7c07… |
| 05-14 19:31:46 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x417a4e… |
| 05-14 16:39:25 | Cautious-Revenge 0xcbde…68fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xa0465c… |
| 05-14 14:18:25 | Unrealistic-Situation 0x3b93…cf00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x5269a6… |
| 05-14 14:15:58 | (anonymous) 0xd686…b1ed | Yes | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x185815… |
| 05-14 14:15:57 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 300 | 86¢ | $258 | 0x89e84b… |
| 05-14 05:46:38 | (anonymous) 0x09a7…8213 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x94bbd1… |
| 05-14 05:46:38 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0c4c78… |
| 05-14 05:46:15 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | No | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x79e85c… |
| 05-14 03:46:04 | 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x98f6fa… |