Paltry-Blank — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

2,707

Trades

6,966

lifetime

Volume

$2.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$316

Open exposure

$60

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 22:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

54% 96% +$7,146

Crypto

43% 96% +$11,371

Politics

2% 88% +$199

Tech

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1?	Yes	—	+60	$57	99¢	$60	+$2	10-30 22:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	3	$30.9K	30,959	0	+30,959	No	+$63	09-15 15:52
will nvda dip to 192 in march	84	$24.9K	12,561	12,561	+0	Yes	+$182	03-02 15:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$21.0K	21,227	0	+21,227	No	+$190	09-16 17:23
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	23	$20.0K	18,289	2,289	+16,000	Yes	+$595	04-03 03:11
bitcoin above 68k on february 20	6	$18.8K	9,525	9,525	+0	No	+$273	02-20 17:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	3	$16.4K	16,403	0	+16,403	No	+$34	03-05 04:33
will nvda dip to 184 in march	39	$16.0K	9,578	6,500	+3,078	Yes	+$104	03-02 16:44
spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	7	$13.1K	6,568	6,568	+0	Down	+$7	03-06 19:10
bitcoin above 64k on march 30	2	$12.5K	12,610	0	+12,610	Yes	+$139	03-30 08:22
spx opens up or down on february 3 2026	19	$12.2K	6,162	6,162	+0	Up	+$83	02-03 15:24
bitcoin above 68k on february 28	4	$11.5K	11,602	0	+11,602	No	+$122	02-28 14:25
dji up or down on february 24 2026	6	$11.1K	11,416	0	+11,416	Up	+$269	02-24 20:57
bitcoin above 64k on march 8	6	$11.0K	11,253	0	+11,253	Yes	+$280	03-08 13:43
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	7	$10.2K	10,619	0	+10,619	Up	+$417	03-31 12:06
bitcoin above 70k on march 27	2	$10.0K	10,383	0	+10,383	No	+$417	03-27 08:43
spx up or down on april 1 2026	7	$9.9K	10,091	0	+10,091	Up	+$193	04-01 19:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	3	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$200	05-01 15:23
ndx up or down on february 5 2026	8	$9.7K	5,128	5,128	+0	Down	+$511	02-05 23:33
bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	3	$9.7K	10,117	0	+10,117	Yes	+$431	06-25 14:36
cl up or down on march 9 2026	35	$9.6K	33,285	0	+33,285	Up	-$1,488	03-09 19:51
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	6	$9.6K	4,834	4,834	-0	Down	+$42	02-02 20:20
spx up or down on april 8 2026	3	$9.4K	9,500	0	+9,500	Up	+$119	04-08 14:19
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 28?	5	$9.2K	10,744	0	+10,744	Down	+$1,574	04-28 14:16
ndx up or down on march 6 2026	4	$9.1K	9,632	0	+9,632	Down	+$555	03-06 15:56
bitcoin above 64k on february 23	5	$9.0K	9,105	0	+9,105	Yes	+$95	02-23 16:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	3	$8.9K	9,122	0	+9,122	Up	+$212	05-06 15:06
spx up or down on march 26 2026	3	$8.8K	9,111	0	+9,111	Down	+$274	03-26 16:40
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	3	$8.4K	8,380	0	+8,380	No	+$11	01-25 04:15
nvda up or down on february 9 2026	14	$8.3K	7,737	1,237	+6,500	Up	+$660	02-09 20:58
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$7.9K	8,022	0	+8,022	Down	+$82	03-02 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:34:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xf8dcf2…
10-30 00:07:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5548be…
10-29 23:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	1,164	96¢	$1,118	0x102fd5…
10-29 23:55:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa162ae…
10-29 23:55:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$794	0x3310d1…
10-29 23:55:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	214	97¢	$207	0x8d670f…
10-29 23:55:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x49b701…
10-29 23:55:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0xa3cd8f…
10-29 23:55:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	495	97¢	$482	0x1f9792…
10-29 17:25:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	246	97¢	$239	0xfbeca1…
10-29 09:41:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xce9018…
10-29 09:41:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xb59a1c…
10-29 00:13:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeae2e5…
10-29 00:13:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x97512c…
10-29 00:13:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	264	97¢	$256	0xac7ae1…
10-29 00:13:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	214	98¢	$210	0xbc98eb…
10-28 12:25:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	488	98¢	$477	0xd344d1…
10-28 00:42:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0xc5960f…
10-26 18:21:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	372	95¢	$353	0x6cb1f8…
10-26 18:21:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd37f89…
10-25 23:53:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x993535…
10-25 23:53:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0x8fba28…
10-25 23:12:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x8f1b16…
10-25 23:12:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0x3dd8b1…
10-25 23:11:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	229	95¢	$217	0xe644e6…
10-24 14:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	214	95¢	$204	0x6f091b…
10-24 14:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	430	96¢	$412	0x618337…
10-24 14:38:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xe049f0…
10-24 14:38:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x57a8ba…
10-24 14:38:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$15	0x4b244f…
10-24 14:38:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x5836bd…
10-24 14:37:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x2fbd2d…
10-24 14:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x16d37a…
10-24 00:47:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2,198	98¢	$2,156	0xbd9fa2…
10-22 23:13:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	140	97¢	$136	0x74a7e7…
10-22 19:15:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0x24bd47…
10-22 18:02:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	400	97¢	$387	0x53a227…
10-22 10:45:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xa44c46…
10-22 10:44:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x4c14ea…
10-22 10:24:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	214	89¢	$190	0x820637…
10-22 10:24:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	257	98¢	$251	0x1b9558…
10-22 10:23:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	292	97¢	$283	0xdba1bf…
10-19 20:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	298	95¢	$284	0x23d973…
10-19 20:40:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	219	99¢	$216	0x395836…
10-19 20:40:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	284	95¢	$271	0xdc102c…
10-19 11:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2,774	98¢	$2,719	0xe31ed4…
10-18 13:35:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	443	98¢	$435	0x65aa21…
10-17 22:14:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	273	96¢	$262	0x08f507…
10-16 00:40:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf32e6d…
10-08 20:10:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	169	98¢	$165	0xf42341…
10-08 04:44:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	505	98¢	$492	0x4146b6…
10-07 22:35:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	560	98¢	$550	0x21620e…
10-07 00:29:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	465	98¢	$456	0x83e4a1…
10-07 00:29:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xe2185d…
10-07 00:29:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x34d8ff…
10-07 00:15:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0xdbffe7…
10-07 00:15:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,026	98¢	$1,010	0x0fbf5e…
10-06 17:41:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	805	97¢	$782	0x7866ba…
10-06 00:41:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	1,257	99¢	$1,242	0x4dfb43…
10-06 00:39:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	497	98¢	$488	0xd5edfb…
10-06 00:39:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	222	98¢	$218	0x1b2e78…
10-05 16:45:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	347	98¢	$340	0x44aa5c…
10-05 11:42:31	bitcoin above 84k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x761d94…
10-05 11:30:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	416	98¢	$409	0x01c6c4…
10-05 11:30:19	bitcoin above 84k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	309	98¢	$303	0x646a4e…
10-05 01:54:58	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb7e451…
10-02 19:27:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	292	96¢	$282	0x92d8f5…
10-02 19:26:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	273	99¢	$270	0xd97dd1…
10-02 19:26:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	574	96¢	$552	0x50d2a8…
10-02 19:25:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa5a80a…
10-02 19:25:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xae43ce…
10-02 19:25:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xfa664e…
10-02 19:24:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd6a55e…
10-02 19:24:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $364 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x65cd7b…
10-02 18:20:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x20b8bf…
10-02 18:20:09	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	631	99¢	$625	0xd8e7b8…
10-02 15:36:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfd0019…
10-02 15:34:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	544	99¢	$539	0x749ea7…
10-02 12:06:11	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x423eb1…
10-02 11:57:23	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x03cc48…
10-02 11:15:32	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xfb1bad…
10-02 10:45:27	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0xc0adc7…
10-02 10:45:24	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x4b51f1…
10-01 22:18:14	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xcd4564…
10-01 22:17:53	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1bc389…
10-01 22:17:23	will googl reach 360 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	564	99¢	$558	0x3b746f…
10-01 19:28:12	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x71bf0d…
10-01 19:28:05	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9c1eed…
10-01 19:27:48	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0xf059b2…
10-01 19:27:23	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x740b5d…
10-01 19:27:12	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x4fb034…
10-01 19:27:12	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x384340…
10-01 19:27:11	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x9feb58…
10-01 19:27:11	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x767f04…
10-01 19:27:09	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xcf53e7…
10-01 19:27:09	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x73bc9a…
10-01 19:25:14	bitcoin above 82k on october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	419	91¢	$382	0xe86b91…
10-01 19:24:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	1,448	98¢	$1,427	0x711c51…
10-01 19:24:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	1,255	97¢	$1,215	0xe870bb…
10-01 18:24:38	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	995	98¢	$976	0xca6116…