Another-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$618

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

2,963

Trades

6,436

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-24 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

80% 51% -$374

Crypto

8% 44% -$126

Sports

8% 41% -$156

Politics

3% 45% +$35

Tech

1% 35% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+8	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	06-26 14:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi	5	$195	250	250	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$15	06-03 19:03
cs2 fut tyloo 2026 06 06	9	$162	99	82	+17	FUT Esports	+$2	06-06 17:04
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	27	$135	188	0	+188	Tundra Esports	-$135	05-22 14:04
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	4	$119	78	78	+0	No	+$19	05-21 13:16
cs2 bb3 gl1 2026 06 06	10	$107	74	74	+0	BetBoom Team	+$18	06-06 19:50
lol kt dk 2026 06 07	9	$103	70	70	+0	KT Rolster	+$2	06-07 12:41
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	4	$101	70	70	+0	BetBoom Team	+$4	06-03 16:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?	3	$99	54	54	+0	No	+$8	06-04 18:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 4?	11	$89	55	55	+0	No	-$8	06-04 20:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$0	05-08 15:01
lol tes we 2026 06 07 game3	2	$85	51	51	+0	Top Esports	+$16	06-07 11:33
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	2	$75	49	49	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$0	06-05 15:28
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 4?	2	$74	44	44	+0	No	+$14	06-04 09:56
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	11	$73	53	53	+0	Over	+$13	06-12 03:50
will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	3	$73	48	48	+0	Yes	+$7	06-07 10:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$72	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 10:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$72	39	39	+0	No	$0	06-07 10:06
will wti crude oil wti hit low 90 in june	3	$70	37	37	+0	Yes	+$4	06-05 16:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 13:44
lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06 game3	5	$67	39	39	+0	Karmine Corp	+$12	06-06 17:48
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	9	$64	53	49	+3	No	$0	06-17 06:02
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 3am et	3	$62	35	35	+0	Down	+$7	06-04 08:04
bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 10pm et	2	$61	37	37	+0	Up	+$13	06-04 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13?	7	$60	55	55	+0	Yes	+$30	06-14 01:02
will hyperliquid reach 88 in june	2	$59	38	38	+0	No	-$1	06-05 02:55
will russia capture stavky by july 31	3	$58	40	40	+0	No	-$5	06-07 16:51
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$55	34	34	+0	MIBR	+$12	06-03 14:44
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	2	$53	35	35	+0	No	-$2	06-07 16:50
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4am et	4	$53	74	0	+74	Up	-$53	06-04 08:23
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	2	$53	39	39	+0	No	-$1	06-07 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 00:29:34	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xfbd136…
07-24 00:29:19	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x367ef3…
07-24 00:29:09	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xc396d4…
07-24 00:29:00	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x9c9f13…
07-24 00:28:40	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x61ef75…
07-24 00:28:24	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x685a6c…
07-24 00:28:09	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x22031b…
07-24 00:28:04	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x8c506e…
07-24 00:27:49	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x747266…
07-24 00:27:31	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xa13e24…
07-24 00:27:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x90d095…
07-24 00:27:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xf2dbf7…
07-24 00:26:55	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x44992b…
07-24 00:26:37	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0x47dc69…
07-24 00:26:19	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xdf91f2…
07-24 00:26:10	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x6f9f2d…
07-24 00:26:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x606c28…
07-24 00:25:42	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xb937b9…
07-03 03:14:07	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4adfb8…
07-03 03:02:31	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xad12c5…
07-03 02:20:58	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x04e4ea…
07-03 02:20:53	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$1	0xbeb4c1…
07-03 02:20:50	Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x37de8b…
07-03 02:20:47	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x007e9b…
07-03 02:20:43	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xa90e06…
07-03 02:20:40	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xf616e6…
07-03 02:20:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x37c42f…
07-03 02:20:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x60eede…
07-03 02:20:17	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x895725…
07-03 02:20:13	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe53587…
07-03 02:20:08	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0xd8fb65…
07-03 02:20:02	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x554b1a…
07-03 02:19:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x0816b7…
07-03 02:19:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xa68d6e…
07-03 01:35:22	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xcf7f13…
07-03 01:33:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xf50a62…
07-03 01:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x716e52…
07-03 01:15:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x500ef4…
07-03 01:13:40	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa1fbbd…
07-03 01:08:35	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf22b55…
07-03 01:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb31e8a…
07-03 00:53:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf9c490…
07-03 00:47:02	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x32559a…
07-03 00:32:40	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5d7f7d…
07-03 00:29:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x1f59f0…
07-03 00:27:58	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x96821f…
07-03 00:12:17	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbb6f7d…
07-02 23:58:41	Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6083a1…
07-02 23:43:23	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x578ff5…
07-02 23:33:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x35f13a…
07-02 23:10:43	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd736c2…
07-02 23:08:52	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x209cf1…
07-02 23:05:23	Croatia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x09e993…
07-02 23:04:22	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1f1072…
07-02 22:58:04	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x4d9fc5…
07-02 22:06:34	mlb mia col 2026 07 02	Colorado Rockies	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc58aa5…
07-02 21:18:53	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x117ec0…
07-02 21:18:14	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd41720…
07-02 21:16:50	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3a0a59…
07-02 21:16:14	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9cd629…
07-02 21:15:13	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc657ff…
07-02 21:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 2?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xc9b087…
07-02 21:01:05	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x306825…
07-02 20:54:41	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x58f272…
07-02 20:47:52	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x09cad6…
07-02 20:39:53	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x708e78…
07-02 20:14:47	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x058065…
07-02 20:14:44	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe52bc6…
07-02 20:10:22	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0bb6fd…
07-02 19:41:01	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x62f988…
07-02 19:36:52	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x51bad1…
07-02 19:35:31	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x5cf686…
07-02 19:30:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xdd4e28…
07-02 19:25:44	Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x923b6f…
07-02 19:17:02	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x6c3133…
07-02 19:10:55	solana above 90 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xb098e7…
07-02 19:10:20	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0d4977…
07-02 19:03:26	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x33ef06…
07-02 19:00:50	wta paolini golubic 2026 07 01	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdcafbf…
07-02 18:50:40	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xbb311a…
07-02 18:49:37	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x465672…
07-02 18:31:19	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7bf76f…
07-02 18:22:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xd4e0f1…
07-02 18:16:56	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb65553…
07-02 18:08:34	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8d7ca3…
07-02 17:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf80e05…
07-02 17:12:44	wta paolini golubic 2026 07 01	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x682142…
07-02 17:12:29	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xec6975…
07-02 16:57:34	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd9b638…
07-02 16:57:02	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x19340b…
07-02 16:50:55	wta mertens timofee 2026 07 02 first set total 8pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1cb4c2…
07-02 16:23:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xba10d0…
07-02 16:22:41	mlb mia col 2026 07 02	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x767d82…
07-02 16:05:49	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x32b5e4…
07-02 15:56:25	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe6d24a…
07-02 15:47:47	wta mertens timofee 2026 07 02 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x540fd1…
07-02 15:35:13	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xab0201…
07-02 15:14:22	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x729442…
07-02 15:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf8d5fa…
07-02 14:37:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeb0fed…