Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
37
Trades
2,989
lifetime
Volume
$15.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$24
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 07-01 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
69% 62% +$2
Crypto
14% 50% $-1
Sports
11% 54% $-22
Politics
5% 100% +$0
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +6 $5 91¢ $6 +$1 06-12 00:46
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 06-11 21:03
Will the Chicago White Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +8 $5 48¢ $4 $-1 06-11 22:48
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 $-0 07-01 00:11
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 06-25 22:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $-0 07-01 01:31
Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5) Hamarkameratene -6 $-0 26¢ $-2 $-1 06-01 01:14
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +8 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-30 17:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +500 $1 $0 $-0 06-27 16:36
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +500 $1 $0 $-0 06-27 11:49
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? Yes +15 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 22:40
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? Yes +18 $1 $0 $-1 06-29 15:32
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-29 08:31