Sudden-Contrary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

487

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$146.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$239

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-01 22:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 96% -$1,243

Other

22% 97% -$501

Sports

1% 67% +$201

Politics

0% 100% +$36

Tech

0% 75% -$42

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	2	$6.6K	3,335	3,335	+0	Yes	+$32	05-31 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	4	$6.1K	3,068	3,068	+0	Yes	+$52	05-25 18:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	3	$4.1K	2,229	2,229	+0	Yes	+$319	05-19 17:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	2	$3.6K	1,816	1,816	+0	Yes	+$14	05-21 17:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	2	$3.5K	1,775	1,775	+0	Yes	+$25	05-17 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	2	$3.3K	3,405	0	+3,405	No	-$3,279	05-31 22:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	2	$3.2K	3,360	0	+3,360	Yes	+$198	05-27 12:43
Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)	2	$3.0K	1,532	1,532	+0	CA Belgrano	+$30	05-24 23:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	2	$3.0K	1,528	1,528	+0	Yes	+$26	05-23 17:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	2	$2.7K	1,353	1,353	+0	Yes	+$4	05-23 17:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	1	$2.5K	2,660	0	+2,660	Yes	+$160	05-21 17:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	1	$2.5K	2,609	0	+2,609	Yes	+$109	05-25 18:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	2	$2.4K	1,231	1,231	+0	Yes	+$30	05-20 16:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	1	$2.4K	2,474	0	+2,474	Yes	+$74	05-29 23:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	2	$2.3K	1,299	1,299	+0	Yes	+$291	05-20 16:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	1	$2.3K	2,313	0	+2,313	Yes	+$13	05-27 19:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	1	$2.3K	2,471	0	+2,471	Yes	+$171	05-28 21:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	1	$1.8K	1,928	0	+1,928	Yes	+$164	05-17 15:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$1.7K	1,734	0	+1,734	Yes	+$14	05-16 13:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	1	$1.7K	1,724	0	+1,724	Yes	+$24	05-14 22:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$1.6K	886	886	+0	Yes	+$159	05-21 17:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	2	$1.6K	1,718	0	+1,718	Yes	+$126	05-14 11:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$1.6K	1,593	0	+1,593	Yes	+$33	05-12 21:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$1.5K	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	+$100	05-23 17:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	1	$1.5K	1,520	0	+1,520	Yes	+$20	05-12 01:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$1.4K	1,442	0	+1,442	Yes	+$4	05-10 03:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$1.4K	1,439	0	+1,439	Yes	+$7	05-07 23:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$1.4K	1,439	0	+1,439	Yes	+$9	05-08 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	1	$1.4K	1,433	0	+1,433	Yes	+$10	05-06 23:10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.4K	812	812	+0	No	+$204	05-30 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 22:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xd63465…
05-31 22:59:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3,350	96¢	$3,229	0x8d7004…
05-31 22:58:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,335	100¢	$3,332	0x609096…
05-31 15:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x424f61…
05-30 20:10:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,335	99¢	$3,300	0xe1d77b…
05-30 20:07:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	812	100¢	$811	0xadf807…
05-29 23:10:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2,474	97¢	$2,400	0xd05ebe…
05-28 21:28:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2,471	93¢	$2,300	0xef510f…
05-27 21:05:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x154b60…
05-27 19:51:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	2,313	99¢	$2,300	0x231de4…
05-27 19:48:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0xe98489…
05-27 12:43:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	265	99¢	$262	0xa11b9d…
05-26 19:16:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3,095	94¢	$2,900	0x463228…
05-25 20:43:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	339	99¢	$336	0x843478…
05-25 20:43:10	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	227	98¢	$222	0x3aa740…
05-25 18:25:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2,609	96¢	$2,500	0x82883a…
05-25 18:24:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3,068	100¢	$3,064	0x1d7ce2…
05-24 23:01:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,553	98¢	$1,528	0x453934…
05-24 23:00:46	Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)	CA Belgrano	SELL	1,532	100¢	$1,530	0x1839bd…
05-24 20:01:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,429	99¢	$1,415	0xd57c68…
05-24 20:00:50	Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)	CA Belgrano	BUY	1,532	98¢	$1,500	0x02cd1e…
05-23 17:27:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x80d694…
05-23 17:26:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,318	99¢	$1,300	0xd28878…
05-23 17:26:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,600	94¢	$1,500	0x833273…
05-23 17:26:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	1,353	100¢	$1,352	0xe272ec…
05-23 17:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	1,528	100¢	$1,526	0xff38c9…
05-22 22:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,353	100¢	$1,348	0xf5042a…
05-22 22:02:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,528	98¢	$1,500	0xa46ab6…
05-21 17:31:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	190	99¢	$189	0x3036ac…
05-21 17:31:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2,660	94¢	$2,500	0x4c37b9…
05-21 17:30:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	886	100¢	$885	0x3fc35f…
05-21 17:30:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1,816	100¢	$1,814	0x00437f…
05-20 16:34:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	886	82¢	$727	0x3d810b…
05-20 16:34:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,816	99¢	$1,800	0x46a517…
05-20 16:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	1,231	100¢	$1,230	0x02fc40…
05-20 16:32:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	1,299	100¢	$1,298	0xfb09b1…
05-20 02:37:21	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x042954…
05-19 18:14:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,299	78¢	$1,007	0x00639a…
05-19 18:09:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,231	98¢	$1,200	0x62d3bf…
05-19 17:33:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	2,229	100¢	$2,227	0xbd30cb…
05-19 15:05:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xbf381b…
05-18 21:58:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	2,228	86¢	$1,907	0x52d1fe…
05-17 15:43:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,928	91¢	$1,764	0x344867…
05-17 15:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	1,775	100¢	$1,773	0xf31108…
05-16 21:20:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1,775	98¢	$1,748	0x8a245a…
05-16 19:24:23	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	131	2¢	$3	0xa1179f…
05-16 13:55:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,734	99¢	$1,720	0x37a2c4…
05-15 17:49:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0x1bbb7c…
05-14 22:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,724	99¢	$1,700	0xe6ae7d…
05-14 11:18:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	95	96¢	$92	0xbe62f4…
05-14 01:59:33	Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	BUY	93	94¢	$87	0xfc8b26…
05-14 00:48:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,622	92¢	$1,500	0x11cd43…
05-12 21:40:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,593	98¢	$1,560	0x5322b8…
05-12 01:47:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,520	99¢	$1,500	0x5c0373…
05-11 17:30:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x901a6e…
05-11 14:36:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0xa969a9…
05-11 14:35:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,076	93¢	$1,000	0x1e39ae…
05-10 03:36:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,442	100¢	$1,438	0xc8b71a…
05-08 22:49:54	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xa41358…
05-08 22:49:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,439	99¢	$1,430	0xb53b67…
05-07 23:48:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,439	99¢	$1,432	0x292dd6…
05-06 23:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,433	99¢	$1,423	0xff489c…
05-06 16:10:25	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x0bd695…
05-06 01:19:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,424	98¢	$1,400	0x47fe6a…
05-05 00:45:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0x1bb6d3…
05-05 00:36:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	321	94¢	$300	0xd5b1c0…
05-05 00:36:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0xc87ba4…
05-04 14:40:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x5e7178…
05-04 14:39:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,025	98¢	$1,000	0x077459…
05-04 14:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xeaa100…
05-03 01:36:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,318	99¢	$1,300	0x51ff74…
05-01 22:49:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	223	99¢	$220	0x99aef1…
05-01 22:49:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0x22b1e2…
05-01 00:01:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$301	0xe82740…
05-01 00:01:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	175	86¢	$150	0x3e06f5…
05-01 00:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	719	97¢	$700	0x1dd742…
04-30 01:21:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	350	97¢	$338	0x0ba92a…
04-30 01:21:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	804	99¢	$800	0x4d0b01…
04-28 21:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 28?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x98dee8…
04-28 21:51:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x25893b…
04-28 21:51:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	802	100¢	$800	0x0c663f…
04-28 21:37:24	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	800	75¢	$600	0xc723dd…
04-28 01:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x7fe2be…
04-27 20:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	987	100¢	$983	0xb3abd5…
04-27 15:34:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	294	99¢	$290	0x71f42c…
04-27 15:34:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$290	0xc1edc1…
04-27 03:41:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in April?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x7c0805…
04-27 00:58:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	87	94¢	$82	0x1e341b…
04-26 20:14:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0xc6e49f…
04-26 20:13:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0xc2f10a…
04-26 20:13:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	359	99¢	$357	0x7eb49e…
04-26 20:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x01b2fa…
04-25 23:36:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	444	99¢	$442	0x101b59…
04-25 18:01:38	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x3a6ed4…
04-25 18:01:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	359	97¢	$350	0xe99a5c…
04-25 17:57:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x4e2aab…
04-25 01:15:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	309	99¢	$307	0x4b2d51…
04-25 01:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	258	99¢	$255	0xd7d664…
04-25 01:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 25?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$255	0x882ebf…
04-25 01:11:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	358	99¢	$355	0x629874…