Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
Yes won
Total volume
$42,514
Trades
185
Unique wallets
164
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 13:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $8.0K
vs crowd: 99% YES on $41.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $13.8K | — | +$13.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $12.9K | $117 | +$12.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 150 | $14.4K | $106 | +$14.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $7.9K | $17 | +$7.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $11.2K | — | +$11.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $10.0K | — | +$10.0K |
| Median | 103 | $11.5K | $11 | +$11.5K |
| Below median | 33 | $428 | $54 | +$374 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $12 | $39 | $27 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $40 | $100 | $60 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | Yes | +8,919 | $8,910 | $8,910 | 1 | 05-06 11:12 |
| Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | Yes | +5,000 | $4,935 | $4,935 | 1 | 05-05 20:03 |
| Pleasant-Apparel 0xdfc8…3602 | Yes | +4,594 | $4,551 | $4,551 | 1 | 05-06 02:29 |
| Tedious-Ford 0xd1e8…b38d | Yes | +3,732 | $3,720 | $3,720 | 4 | 05-06 04:44 |
| Digital-Academy 0xb4fc…a926 | No | +3,631 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe617…f251 | Yes | +3,055 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 1 | 05-05 16:22 |
| Made-Up-Asterisk 0x3d68…bb2c | No | +1,950 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 12:00 |
| Timely-Expansionism 0x8a8d…72f8 | Yes | +1,901 | $1,890 | $1,890 | 1 | 05-06 06:44 |
| Sudden-Contrary 0x1db9…29c9 | Yes | +1,424 | $1,400 | $1,400 | 1 | 05-06 01:19 |
| Cheerful-Parade 0xe94b…5abe | No | +1,339 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-06 00:24 |
| Gregarious-Mistake 0x345e…6bc7 | No | +1,293 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-06 13:07 |
| Everlasting-Octagon 0x51eb…6bfa | No | +1,192 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-05 20:49 |
| Quaint-Attorney 0x2542…ee71 | Yes | +1,117 | $1,115 | $1,115 | 1 | 05-06 10:09 |
| Active-Sip 0x57d5…0834 | Yes | +1,046 | $1,033 | $1,033 | 1 | 05-05 22:45 |
| Svelte-Server 0xf25d…9d7a | Yes | +1,006 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-06 07:54 |
| Treasured-Tornado 0x6c24…b10e | No | +863 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 06:04 |
| Ready-Disruption 0x6fb3…10c8 | No | +728 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-05 23:15 |
| International-Acquaintance 0x6d5e…77f0 | No | +672 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-06 08:41 |
| Bite-Sized-Covariate 0xe3b5…7aae | Yes | +553 | $552 | $552 | 1 | 05-06 12:26 |
| Puzzling-Exhibition 0xfdd5…25cb | Yes | +517 | $516 | $516 | 1 | 05-06 12:30 |
| Tame-Swing 0xb77b…ba52 | Yes | +453 | $452 | $452 | 1 | 05-06 08:35 |
| Present-Pathogenesis 0x8889…f99b | Yes | +440 | $440 | $440 | 1 | 05-06 11:07 |
| Elastic-Arrival 0x4c63…f37f | Yes | +426 | $425 | $425 | 1 | 05-06 12:26 |
| Noteworthy-Vintner 0x1f6b…267e | No | +425 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 02:19 |
| Organic-Wraparound 0x0be3…35fe | Yes | +390 | $385 | $385 | 1 | 05-05 20:01 |
| Infatuated-Movie 0xa275…a963 | Yes | +372 | $372 | $372 | 1 | 05-06 12:20 |
| Overlooked-Imagination 0x9fd5…1ec3 | Yes | +314 | $313 | $313 | 1 | 05-06 12:30 |
| Sarcastic-Motorcar 0xb44d…bbbf | Yes | +282 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 05-06 12:27 |
| Dramatic-Danger 0x32f4…c885 | No | +273 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 21:04 |
| Monumental-Wedge 0xf596…f42b | Yes | +261 | $259 | $259 | 1 | 05-06 07:54 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | +257 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 05:39 |
| Ringed-Weekender 0x5036…187f | Yes | +249 | $248 | $248 | 1 | 05-06 09:25 |
| Another-Impostor 0x6738…add8 | Yes | +212 | $212 | $212 | 1 | 05-06 12:26 |
| Hairy-Ant 0x2840…42fa | Yes | +181 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 05-06 04:40 |
| Witty-Steak 0x53d4…a8cf | Yes | +161 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 05-06 04:39 |
| Jubilant-Camper 0xbff3…4a17 | Yes | +152 | $152 | $152 | 1 | 05-06 12:02 |
| Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | Yes | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-06 12:00 |
| Considerate-Peninsula 0x9267…3b9a | No | +143 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 07:54 |
| Homely-Indigence 0x3f20…90be | Yes | +124 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 05-06 05:49 |
| Grumpy-Fame 0x438f…8e66 | Yes | +119 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 05-06 11:31 |
| Coarse-Mobster 0x3f31…169d | Yes | +117 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 05-06 11:31 |
| Discrete-Zero 0xedec…6881 | Yes | +115 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-06 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9be…3ba3 | No | +111 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Lucky-Duplexer 0xb764…51dd | No | +110 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 09:10 |
| Murky-Jelly 0xb2c6…0c65 | No | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 17:14 |
| Unfortunate-Ereader 0x26c7…264f | No | +90 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 05:55 |
| Splendid-Priesthood 0x768c…56f1 | No | +86 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 03:24 |
| Cluttered-Webmail 0xf520…ea81 | No | +77 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 06:39 |
| Whimsical-Enjoyment 0x6d8c…fe8a | No | +67 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 13:37:32 | Pitiful-Asphalt 0xd799…178c | Yes | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x9f9153… |
| 05-06 13:07:36 | Gregarious-Mistake 0x345e…6bc7 | No | BUY | 1,078 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3c8880… |
| 05-06 12:42:14 | Runny-Running 0x65ed…151d | Yes | SELL | 165 | 100¢ | $165 | 0xeddda3… |
| 05-06 12:42:14 | Imperturbable-Plot 0x56b2…c148 | Yes | SELL | 275 | 100¢ | $275 | 0x5af59b… |
| 05-06 12:42:12 | Questionable-Collar 0xb037…341c | Yes | SELL | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0x1b90aa… |
| 05-06 12:42:12 | Reliable-Pinworm 0xae45…1e75 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x2e957f… |
| 05-06 12:30:22 | Puzzling-Exhibition 0xfdd5…25cb | Yes | BUY | 517 | 100¢ | $516 | 0xd76d11… |
| 05-06 12:30:20 | Waterlogged-Hypothermia 0x3e86…5cb2 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 100¢ | $114 | 0xde4f73… |
| 05-06 12:30:16 | Overlooked-Imagination 0x9fd5…1ec3 | Yes | BUY | 314 | 100¢ | $313 | 0xcc373b… |
| 05-06 12:30:08 | Discrete-Zero 0xedec…6881 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0x31468e… |
| 05-06 12:27:04 | Sarcastic-Motorcar 0xb44d…bbbf | Yes | BUY | 282 | 100¢ | $282 | 0xbed43b… |
| 05-06 12:27:02 | Svelte-Allocation 0x3b61…10e0 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0x051df4… |
| 05-06 12:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x4816…bd0e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc94c0d… |
| 05-06 12:26:58 | Elastic-Arrival 0x4c63…f37f | Yes | BUY | 426 | 100¢ | $425 | 0x4b676b… |
| 05-06 12:26:56 | Bite-Sized-Covariate 0xe3b5…7aae | Yes | BUY | 553 | 100¢ | $552 | 0x17c67e… |
| 05-06 12:26:54 | Another-Impostor 0x6738…add8 | Yes | BUY | 212 | 100¢ | $212 | 0x24ba64… |
| 05-06 12:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x4816…bd0e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xd93db5… |
| 05-06 12:20:08 | Infatuated-Movie 0xa275…a963 | Yes | BUY | 372 | 100¢ | $372 | 0xbdc4f5… |
| 05-06 12:15:18 | (anonymous) 0x4816…bd0e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x69ab67… |
| 05-06 12:15:18 | Vengeful-Switchboard 0xaf7d…e081 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 100¢ | $97 | 0xc16f37… |
| 05-06 12:12:06 | Torn-Bassinet 0x4ff7…6bcf | Yes | BUY | 91 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x728453… |
| 05-06 12:10:08 | Memorable-Teller 0xc588…2495 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 100¢ | $98 | 0x14e267… |
| 05-06 12:02:26 | Jubilant-Camper 0xbff3…4a17 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 100¢ | $152 | 0x08eac8… |
| 05-06 12:00:14 | Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x021d5c… |
| 05-06 12:00:06 | Made-Up-Asterisk 0x3d68…bb2c | No | BUY | 1,950 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x108071… |
| 05-06 11:32:10 | Unimportant-Apron 0xbaea…8705 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 100¢ | $113 | 0x8fb2f6… |
| 05-06 11:32:08 | Helpful-Announcement 0x78c1…afd6 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 100¢ | $113 | 0x8c67b2… |
| 05-06 11:32:04 | Shimmering-Breadcrumb 0x7759…a48a | Yes | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0xf9cbfe… |
| 05-06 11:32:00 | Soulful-Terrace 0x38fe…13ec | Yes | BUY | 112 | 100¢ | $111 | 0xc01ac9… |
| 05-06 11:31:58 | Grumpy-Fame 0x438f…8e66 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 100¢ | $118 | 0x97bb03… |
| 05-06 11:31:54 | Coarse-Mobster 0x3f31…169d | Yes | BUY | 117 | 100¢ | $117 | 0x0e767f… |
| 05-06 11:31:54 | Kind-Ride 0x4f31…bb3d | Yes | BUY | 93 | 100¢ | $93 | 0xc43806… |
| 05-06 11:15:04 | Wan-Recruit 0x81d3…e98e | Yes | BUY | 94 | 100¢ | $94 | 0xe39259… |
| 05-06 11:15:02 | Wretched-Clam 0x8d6a…3bdf | Yes | BUY | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0xa9ade2… |
| 05-06 11:15:02 | Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa47eb2… |
| 05-06 11:12:12 | Euphoric-Waste 0x29ce…b53b | Yes | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $499 | 0x27d523… |
| 05-06 11:12:08 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | Yes | BUY | 8,919 | 100¢ | $8,910 | 0x8fea6a… |
| 05-06 11:12:00 | Heavenly-Vegetable 0xdf57…34a1 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 100¢ | $78 | 0xa07441… |
| 05-06 11:11:58 | Blue-Duster 0x1382…f3b2 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x818c63… |
| 05-06 11:11:54 | Kooky-Coordinator 0xb0c0…8a88 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xcdc398… |
| 05-06 11:10:10 | Known-Scraper 0xc78f…dc29 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x93bdac… |
| 05-06 11:07:00 | Present-Pathogenesis 0x8889…f99b | Yes | BUY | 440 | 100¢ | $440 | 0x17f178… |
| 05-06 11:00:06 | Brief-Lawn 0xeda3…729c | Yes | BUY | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x8c2936… |
| 05-06 10:59:42 | Kosher-Codling 0x60b1…24b0 | No | SELL | 186 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd055da… |
| 05-06 10:46:54 | Miserly-Slip 0x1169…5512 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x410ba1… |
| 05-06 10:41:48 | Productive-Keyboarding 0x007d…f5ca | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xe8f7e2… |
| 05-06 10:32:00 | Excited-Neck 0xff36…aa17 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0xaf17f8… |
| 05-06 10:21:56 | (anonymous) 0xd0e0…eb9c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x53bea5… |
| 05-06 10:21:50 | Loyal-Vine 0xb960…31a1 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x4c5424… |
| 05-06 10:09:50 | Quaint-Attorney 0x2542…ee71 | Yes | BUY | 1,117 | 100¢ | $1,115 | 0x2acc59… |
| 05-06 10:05:00 | Wobbly-Conference 0x72ff…ae38 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x25647e… |
| 05-06 10:05:00 | Yearly-Philosophy 0x18a3…68ad | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x61a57c… |
| 05-06 10:04:56 | Married-Hazelnut 0x7193…1f8d | Yes | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x2f5649… |
| 05-06 10:01:44 | Misty-Hike 0xe88e…941e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x835993… |
| 05-06 10:00:22 | Weepy-Daily 0xf602…11b8 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x3dbdd9… |
| 05-06 09:55:04 | (anonymous) 0xd9a8…2885 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2d3f46… |
| 05-06 09:54:58 | Friendly-Savage 0xc86a…773d | Yes | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x224fae… |
| 05-06 09:54:58 | Soft-Centimeter 0x00dd…7a1e | Yes | BUY | 94 | 100¢ | $94 | 0x3fafb0… |
| 05-06 09:46:50 | Kindhearted-Ephemera 0xbc99…f199 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd809d2… |
| 05-06 09:25:02 | Ringed-Weekender 0x5036…187f | Yes | BUY | 249 | 100¢ | $248 | 0x4bf890… |
| 05-06 09:06:50 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1acff8… |
| 05-06 08:46:32 | (anonymous) 0xd9a8…2885 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x586ec8… |
| 05-06 08:44:48 | Glittering-Uniform 0xb085…a717 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xcdbb66… |
| 05-06 08:44:14 | Rural-Gobbler 0x3ffe…2e22 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xa6488e… |
| 05-06 08:41:10 | International-Acquaintance 0x6d5e…77f0 | No | BUY | 572 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xf5c9b5… |
| 05-06 08:35:08 | Animated-Loincloth 0x7048…8205 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0xfdf231… |
| 05-06 08:35:02 | Tame-Swing 0xb77b…ba52 | Yes | BUY | 453 | 100¢ | $452 | 0xdecf66… |
| 05-06 08:24:42 | Virtuous-Packaging 0x3c99…3ebd | Yes | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x797765… |
| 05-06 08:20:02 | Criminal-Precision 0x7469…3a0c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xfe27d8… |
| 05-06 08:19:34 | Decent-Chemotaxis 0xe5dd…0c74 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xaf558c… |
| 05-06 08:19:24 | Decent-Chemotaxis 0xe5dd…0c74 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x375f45… |
| 05-06 08:10:00 | (anonymous) 0x4816…bd0e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x80baea… |
| 05-06 07:56:10 | Gregarious-Mistake 0x345e…6bc7 | No | BUY | 215 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4baf66… |
| 05-06 07:54:40 | Svelte-Server 0xf25d…9d7a | Yes | BUY | 1,006 | 99¢ | $1,000 | 0x0eec99… |
| 05-06 07:54:40 | Overjoyed-Havoc-Syndicate 0x8ff3…0535 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd46a25… |
| 05-06 07:54:36 | Monumental-Wedge 0xf596…f42b | Yes | BUY | 261 | 99¢ | $259 | 0x6c1ae1… |
| 05-06 07:54:34 | Considerate-Peninsula 0x9267…3b9a | No | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9fcfda… |
| 05-06 07:54:32 | Unacceptable-Unity 0x4e95…1a85 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xa573ee… |
| 05-06 07:53:56 | Monthly-Raise 0x7e06…d153 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1278c5… |
| 05-06 07:33:58 | Entire-Quail 0x1c03…45a4 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x38a587… |
| 05-06 07:20:32 | Dramatic-Army 0xa80e…abd9 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0xc39535… |
| 05-06 07:09:38 | Kosher-Codling 0x60b1…24b0 | No | BUY | 61 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdcbd54… |
| 05-06 07:09:12 | Curly-Flag 0x3932…ade8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x757c88… |
| 05-06 06:44:30 | Timely-Expansionism 0x8a8d…72f8 | Yes | BUY | 1,901 | 99¢ | $1,890 | 0xf08878… |
| 05-06 06:44:28 | Content-Knuckle 0x5480…51f3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe0775d… |
| 05-06 06:39:14 | Cluttered-Webmail 0xf520…ea81 | No | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0f7d09… |
| 05-06 06:34:30 | Devoted-Paste 0xe4d9…8857 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7a6d51… |
| 05-06 06:34:16 | Cautious-Revenge 0xcbde…68fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc41a81… |
| 05-06 06:09:46 | Hurtful-Accent 0x52e7…2279 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x5f10b9… |
| 05-06 06:04:52 | Mountainous-Copy 0xd0d6…99f4 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xc4647b… |
| 05-06 06:04:22 | Treasured-Tornado 0x6c24…b10e | No | BUY | 863 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xe639d1… |
| 05-06 05:59:04 | Cheery-Lottery 0x1f60…5fcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x4e3b06… |
| 05-06 05:54:34 | Plastic-Notion 0x5565…ac5d | Yes | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $37 | 0xf00189… |
| 05-06 05:49:32 | Homely-Indigence 0x3f20…90be | Yes | BUY | 124 | 100¢ | $123 | 0xe15bdf… |
| 05-06 05:49:30 | Motherly-Waiver 0x5436…522f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd5c994… |
| 05-06 05:39:52 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | BUY | 257 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xcee024… |
| 05-06 05:39:44 | Insubstantial-Alto 0xaa75…2663 | No | SELL | 53 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe2ea96… |
| 05-06 05:34:44 | Delirious-Enforcement 0x0ad9…d017 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdf300a… |
| 05-06 05:04:56 | Powerless-Creche 0x0443…3fb1 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x754ff0… |
| 05-06 04:59:32 | Sturdy-Geranium 0x9b09…5df9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x4c6efc… |