Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
open
Total volume
$8,602
$24,903 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$29,072
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $4.9K | $17 | +$4.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $3.6K | $37 | +$3.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $4.9K | — | +$4.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| unranked | 26 | $3.6K | $37 | +$3.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | Yes | +5,000 | $4,935 | $4,935 | 1 | 05-05 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe617…f251 | Yes | +3,055 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 1 | 05-05 16:22 |
| Everlasting-Octagon 0x51eb…6bfa | No | +1,192 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-05 20:49 |
| Organic-Wraparound 0x0be3…35fe | Yes | +390 | $385 | $385 | 1 | 05-05 20:01 |
| Dramatic-Danger 0x32f4…c885 | No | +273 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9be…3ba3 | No | +111 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Lucky-Duplexer 0xb764…51dd | No | +110 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 09:10 |
| Murky-Jelly 0xb2c6…0c65 | No | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 17:14 |
| International-Acquaintance 0x6d5e…77f0 | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:12 |
| Unfortunate-Ereader 0x26c7…264f | No | +90 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 05:55 |
| Whimsical-Enjoyment 0x6d8c…fe8a | No | +67 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ff…d69f | Yes | +57 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-05 02:50 |
| Icy-Charm 0x67ca…93b6 | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-05 12:05 |
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | +48 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-04 21:24 |
| Muted-Boatyard 0x419f…e853 | No | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | No | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 21:24 |
| Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | +12 | $11 | $11 | 6 | 05-05 06:10 |
| Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9a8…2885 | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-05 16:04 |
| Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 10:10 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 18:54 |
| Sure-Footed-Statin 0xf07a…3299 | No | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 16:42 |
| Cluttered-Cope 0x237c…543e | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 13:11 |
| Half-Lantern 0xe551…e6ab | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 17:22 |
| Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 02:50 |
| Hilarious-Explanation 0x00ec…687f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 16:02 |
| Informal-Feeling-Spice 0xaf82…916a | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 00:55 |
| Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 19:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:04:24 | Dramatic-Danger 0x32f4…c885 | No | BUY | 273 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x81c026… |
| 05-05 20:49:34 | Everlasting-Octagon 0x51eb…6bfa | No | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $14 | 0x1793b9… |
| 05-05 20:03:42 | Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 99¢ | $4,935 | 0x709aa7… |
| 05-05 20:01:20 | Organic-Wraparound 0x0be3…35fe | Yes | BUY | 390 | 99¢ | $385 | 0x76da4d… |
| 05-05 19:38:14 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x168d34… |
| 05-05 18:54:30 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb86dd9… |
| 05-05 18:37:42 | Everlasting-Octagon 0x51eb…6bfa | No | BUY | 95 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa6efb0… |
| 05-05 18:36:54 | Everlasting-Octagon 0x51eb…6bfa | No | BUY | 97 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc94837… |
| 05-05 17:55:00 | Whimsical-Enjoyment 0x6d8c…fe8a | No | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x727786… |
| 05-05 17:22:46 | Half-Lantern 0xe551…e6ab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8e5113… |
| 05-05 17:14:54 | Murky-Jelly 0xb2c6…0c65 | No | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x994496… |
| 05-05 16:42:30 | Sure-Footed-Statin 0xf07a…3299 | No | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0ba433… |
| 05-05 16:39:48 | Muted-Boatyard 0x419f…e853 | No | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x45df41… |
| 05-05 16:32:34 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcb957d… |
| 05-05 16:22:30 | (anonymous) 0xe617…f251 | Yes | BUY | 3,055 | 98¢ | $3,000 | 0xff4757… |
| 05-05 16:12:34 | International-Acquaintance 0x6d5e…77f0 | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xadd2a3… |
| 05-05 16:04:54 | (anonymous) 0xd9a8…2885 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x9114f7… |
| 05-05 16:02:22 | Hilarious-Explanation 0x00ec…687f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9dc2b1… |
| 05-05 13:11:42 | Cluttered-Cope 0x237c…543e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5b4e96… |
| 05-05 12:05:26 | Icy-Charm 0x67ca…93b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x8aa56e… |
| 05-05 10:10:14 | Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x34911c… |
| 05-05 09:10:20 | Lucky-Duplexer 0xb764…51dd | No | BUY | 110 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x7b6cf5… |
| 05-05 07:41:02 | Voluminous-Pine 0x8fd0…a3e3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc18d1c… |
| 05-05 06:10:44 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x516140… |
| 05-05 06:05:40 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x0310f1… |
| 05-05 05:55:28 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xd8dfb9… |
| 05-05 05:55:10 | Unfortunate-Ereader 0x26c7…264f | No | BUY | 90 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x5377a0… |
| 05-05 05:40:12 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x959db2… |
| 05-05 05:35:06 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x66a3e5… |
| 05-05 05:30:02 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x9f2816… |
| 05-05 03:30:20 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x20487c… |
| 05-05 03:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xc9be…3ba3 | No | BUY | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0xf3ed53… |
| 05-05 02:50:38 | Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x0560c1… |
| 05-05 02:50:32 | (anonymous) 0xa5ff…d69f | Yes | BUY | 57 | 91¢ | $52 | 0xd97315… |
| 05-05 00:55:12 | Informal-Feeling-Spice 0xaf82…916a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xf37f29… |
| 05-04 22:39:58 | Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x4b4ebf… |
| 05-04 21:24:30 | Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | No | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x533a3f… |
| 05-04 21:24:26 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 84¢ | $40 | 0xcc80e8… |