Pitiful-Asphalt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-18 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 67% $-2

Other

43% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be greater than 50m	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	01-03 08:59
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	01-22 13:10
bitcoin above 86k on january 11	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	01-11 03:47
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 14	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	01-13 11:44
will opinion launch a token on march 4	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	03-04 12:30
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	02-05 11:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	04-20 11:41
will canada strike iran by march 31	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	03-30 12:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	03-18 13:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 17	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	04-17 13:05
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 28?	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	04-27 11:07
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	04-29 11:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 96forhigher	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	04-16 11:17
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-21 09:41
highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 70 71f	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	04-11 08:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	05-06 13:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	05-04 08:22
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	04-01 12:52
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	04-02 13:18
highest temperature in lucknow on march 14 2026 39c	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-14 12:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	05-19 12:35
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	1	$69	69	+69	open	—	01-08 13:26
ethereum above 2300 on february 14	1	$62	62	+62	open	—	02-14 06:25
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	03-09 13:42
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 2 2026	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	02-02 13:18
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$48	48	+48	open	—	01-29 12:15
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$43	43	+43	open	—	01-29 12:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	1	$43	43	+43	Yes	+$0	05-09 12:40
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 215 239	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	03-09 13:06
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	02-02 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 11:25:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x371ff7…
06-11 11:48:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x2cd6ba…
06-11 11:47:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdd52a4…
05-19 12:35:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xbda98a…
05-09 12:41:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x06e069…
05-09 12:40:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x4a1ce6…
05-06 13:37:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x9f9153…
05-04 08:22:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x328fb3…
04-29 11:00:38	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x1ced1f…
04-27 11:07:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x16c8db…
04-20 11:41:16	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x3516ea…
04-17 13:05:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 17	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x723a2c…
04-16 11:17:20	highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 96forhigher	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xb12a6e…
04-11 08:54:05	highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x957c9c…
04-02 13:18:07	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x04b8a2…
04-01 12:52:03	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x156699…
03-30 12:22:26	will canada strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x1f907b…
03-21 09:41:29	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xbe2b85…
03-18 13:24:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x83d3d4…
03-14 12:39:03	highest temperature in lucknow on march 14 2026 39c	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x78cf81…
03-09 13:42:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xdb81bd…
03-09 13:09:17	bitcoin above 82k on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x97e122…
03-09 13:06:47	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 215 239	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbd348f…
03-04 12:30:27	will opinion launch a token on march 4	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf77cfa…
02-14 06:25:03	ethereum above 2300 on february 14	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xd3f65d…
02-14 06:16:15	will xrp reach 2 february 9 15	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x844d4f…
02-14 06:14:57	will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4bdad8…
02-05 11:52:19	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x276aab…
02-05 11:28:13	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x7c599c…
02-02 13:42:04	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9b0d72…
02-02 13:30:40	ethereum above 2900 on february 3	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x778da8…
02-02 13:18:50	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 2 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xe10786…
01-29 12:43:24	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x5fa08f…
01-29 12:15:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xbedc1f…
01-22 13:10:22	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xb9dfc6…
01-13 11:44:21	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 14	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xa172e6…
01-11 03:47:26	bitcoin above 86k on january 11	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x51d58a…
01-08 13:39:24	bitcoin above 98k on january 9	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa9b48a…
01-08 13:26:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 8	Yes	BUY	325	0¢	$1	0x35ca3d…
01-08 13:26:04	nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x17f238…
01-03 08:59:39	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be greater than 50m	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x9c15a8…