Violent-Outlook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

Trades

552

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-31 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 72% +$35

Politics

21% — —

Other

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	19	$275	264	226	+38	open	—	04-24 17:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$182	128	100	+28	open	—	04-21 20:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	4	$131	130	130	+0	open	—	05-20 05:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	8	$124	76	76	+1	open	—	04-29 17:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	17	$123	144	11	+133	open	—	05-14 04:18
btc updown 5m 1776606000	7	$121	226	221	+5	open	—	04-19 13:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$116	102	102	+0	open	—	05-07 22:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	10	$87	66	42	+24	Yes	+$7	05-09 12:18
btc updown 5m 1776608100	6	$86	78	75	+3	open	—	04-19 14:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	3	$85	73	73	+0	open	—	05-20 05:19
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	04-19 13:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	7	$60	69	69	+0	open	—	05-14 11:27
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	04-19 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	7	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	05-20 07:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	6	$53	32	32	+0	No	+$5	05-13 09:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	4	$51	35	34	+0	open	—	04-28 16:03
btc updown 5m 1776610500	4	$50	64	60	+4	open	—	04-19 14:59
btc updown 5m 1776606300	5	$50	942	412	+530	open	—	04-19 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776611100	5	$48	153	51	+102	open	—	04-19 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	8	$46	42	19	+23	Yes	+$8	05-09 12:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$45	27	27	+0	open	—	04-26 07:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	21	$39	51	39	+12	Yes	+$3	05-08 15:59
btc updown 5m 1776756600	6	$39	44	22	+21	open	—	04-21 07:33
btc updown 5m 1776607500	2	$37	45	0	+45	open	—	04-19 14:08
btc updown 5m 1776610200	5	$36	48	41	+7	open	—	04-19 14:53
btc updown 5m 1776756300	5	$34	53	50	+2	open	—	04-21 07:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	13	$32	35	31	+4	Yes	$-0	05-09 10:13
btc updown 5m 1776604800	4	$32	122	105	+17	open	—	04-19 13:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	05-04 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$30	38	38	+0	open	—	05-20 06:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 12:29:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$1	0xda65b0…
05-26 15:48:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4cc569…
05-26 15:21:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x260977…
05-26 15:19:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x99bcb5…
05-26 15:13:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x96d2af…
05-26 15:13:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x174ca7…
05-26 15:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfaca20…
05-26 15:12:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x9c8c0d…
05-25 09:50:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3d2c7a…
05-25 09:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x314b51…
05-25 09:41:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe35361…
05-20 08:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xbbdcfd…
05-20 08:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3fe9a3…
05-20 08:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5d5c7b…
05-20 08:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x49ae97…
05-20 08:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x939c28…
05-20 08:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xf18882…
05-20 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x03cf99…
05-20 07:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x46a3c5…
05-20 07:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc8f58a…
05-20 07:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x22d3a2…
05-20 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x08bfcc…
05-20 07:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x979dea…
05-20 07:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x69dd2a…
05-20 07:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xa167bf…
05-20 07:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xb6608d…
05-20 07:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x240d7a…
05-20 07:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x86fea9…
05-20 07:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0x59ae4e…
05-20 07:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9b70ed…
05-20 07:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbe9bad…
05-20 06:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xcef792…
05-20 06:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6406e3…
05-20 06:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x9d0141…
05-20 06:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x32ce10…
05-20 06:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x1ecf24…
05-20 06:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x503976…
05-20 06:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0xb3c42c…
05-20 06:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x81b5c6…
05-20 06:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1ffba2…
05-20 06:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x6d8807…
05-20 06:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb1bd2c…
05-20 06:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5f5017…
05-20 06:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x48e55c…
05-20 06:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc0b9ea…
05-20 06:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xb6e291…
05-20 06:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x22f517…
05-20 06:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x8e697d…
05-20 06:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0x8fa284…
05-20 06:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4da5c5…
05-20 06:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$5	0xe70d11…
05-20 06:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbdf218…
05-20 06:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe315ba…
05-20 05:19:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	73	29¢	$21	0xc6e45c…
05-20 05:19:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	130	17¢	$22	0x289852…
05-14 19:21:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x5f4f40…
05-14 19:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x4548f5…
05-14 19:18:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0xe75e62…
05-14 19:17:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x085bf5…
05-14 11:27:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa9d52c…
05-14 11:27:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	17	21¢	$4	0xe7324d…
05-14 09:28:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xa89c13…
05-14 09:28:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x93a85e…
05-14 04:18:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0x8daeb5…
05-14 04:17:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0x09cc73…
05-13 15:14:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xce1379…
05-13 15:14:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0x55d901…
05-13 13:50:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xf04cca…
05-13 09:07:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	32	80¢	$26	0xcb493f…
05-13 09:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xd6925f…
05-12 19:58:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5156ff…
05-12 19:57:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	24	78¢	$18	0xf5c51d…
05-12 09:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xa7812e…
05-12 09:18:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x64bfd4…
05-11 08:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xec739c…
05-11 08:03:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x0f3f29…
05-09 12:28:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x594109…
05-09 12:19:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x21ad44…
05-09 12:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	24	86¢	$21	0xd49fb4…
05-09 12:17:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0x5a5900…
05-09 12:16:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0x6a11d7…
05-09 12:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x9951dd…
05-09 10:13:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3129c8…
05-09 09:28:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xeff757…
05-09 09:28:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xaed1fd…
05-09 09:09:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd07d72…
05-09 09:09:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7353d4…
05-09 09:08:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc41cbc…
05-09 09:07:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xce168a…
05-09 01:45:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa6454a…
05-09 01:45:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x7f5cb0…
05-08 20:27:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x740070…
05-08 20:26:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x248641…
05-08 19:06:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9e43de…
05-08 19:05:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x982ca7…
05-08 17:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x95c531…
05-08 17:09:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x16fc4d…
05-08 16:57:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x81fc7c…
05-08 16:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x549637…
05-08 16:56:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xa95780…