Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$320
$871 in 24h
Trades
256
Unique wallets
6
Liquidity
$22,827
Latest YES mid
61¢
Latest NO mid
39¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 08:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $174 | $146 | +$28 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $63 | $38 | +$25 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | $106 | $107 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | +206 | $107 | $107 | 101 | 05-08 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | +193 | $106 | $106 | 100 | 05-08 20:56 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +113 | $62 | $62 | 31 | 05-08 21:01 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | +73 | $38 | $38 | 19 | 05-08 20:56 |
| Caring-Rice 0x5342…d243 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 08:27 |
| Violent-Outlook 0xd6be…14e3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9f6…374b | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:20 |
| Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 22:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:27:34 | Caring-Rice 0x5342…d243 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x5f7dac… |
| 05-10 08:27:34 | Caring-Rice 0x5342…d243 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x8c2430… |
| 05-09 15:20:33 | (anonymous) 0xf9f6…374b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x9f3d43… |
| 05-09 09:09:58 | Violent-Outlook 0xd6be…14e3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xd07d72… |
| 05-08 22:06:16 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x258949… |
| 05-08 21:01:33 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xe3e98a… |
| 05-08 21:01:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x3743e7… |
| 05-08 21:01:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xddae53… |
| 05-08 21:01:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xc74c45… |
| 05-08 21:01:31 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xd5623b… |
| 05-08 21:01:30 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xcc38f8… |
| 05-08 21:01:30 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x74caaf… |
| 05-08 21:01:30 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x9b9b51… |
| 05-08 21:01:28 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 54¢ | $2 | 0x8a4dbf… |
| 05-08 21:01:28 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x1817f5… |
| 05-08 21:00:56 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x570a18… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xf40cce… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x81d60d… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x0b114e… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xe070d1… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xf13e3e… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa39bf0… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xbd270f… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xe450b9… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe7a386… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x21ccfe… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x7a7bc7… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xbe21eb… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xe98fe1… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x46dd24… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa18d88… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xf1e1bd… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x5c5a4f… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x7c9f62… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xfb6efc… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x542916… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xaeee95… |
| 05-08 20:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xafacca… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x77f7d1… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x3e48b0… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xd5ed9f… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xef0b70… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x94cdc1… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x9daf17… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xfe91fa… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x9352fd… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xa61474… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x151930… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xf6206d… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x118e3d… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe7245b… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x404559… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x06cdb8… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x7441d0… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x0ef359… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x5fe696… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x965314… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x7697d5… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x017311… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xffc29f… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x961bdb… |
| 05-08 20:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe986a3… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x4a6448… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x3ca46f… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x545539… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xab5666… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xd184bb… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x908380… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x5063dd… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x3a1d81… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x1e4b19… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x42599e… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x67f887… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x40b1ec… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xb4cfd4… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x86e101… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xd0ec4c… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xba8be1… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xd9fdde… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x7135e8… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x1fca3b… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x4e8757… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x443d4d… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x1c5276… |
| 05-08 20:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x9b1528… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x02615a… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xeea37f… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xdd1910… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xc62be5… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x9ccda3… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x5af772… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xbc3f15… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x3a2719… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xa000fd… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x4325a4… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xd8f8d3… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x180a4c… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x77b98d… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xd9a8a5… |
| 05-08 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x59a4d5… |