Vibrant-Picket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$280

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$165

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-20 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 76% +$280

Other

18% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox		-305	$-137	54¢	$-165	$-27	06-20 18:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	10	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-15 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	82	$2.2K	1,251	1,247	+5	Up	+$183	05-12 00:48
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	4	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-13 13:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	5	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-14 17:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	5	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$83	05-11 17:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	8	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-15 22:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$65	05-13 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$1000	1,544	0	+1,544	Down	+$544	05-10 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$1000	1,621	0	+1,621	Down	$-1,000	05-12 00:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	3	$988	500	500	+0	open	—	05-14 18:46
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	8	$972	500	500	+0	open	—	05-14 21:26
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	5	$914	500	500	+0	open	—	05-15 22:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	4	$800	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-15 10:38
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$728	400	400	+0	open	—	05-15 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	4	$720	400	400	+0	open	—	05-14 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$600	810	0	+810	Up	+$210	05-08 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$600	651	0	+651	Down	+$51	05-08 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$600	629	0	+629	Up	+$29	05-08 11:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	4	$591	300	300	+0	open	—	05-15 10:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	2	$576	300	300	+0	Yes	+$24	05-12 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$500	562	0	+562	Down	+$62	05-11 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$453	333	333	+0	Up	+$53	05-11 21:55
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 13?	3	$398	210	210	+0	No	+$20	05-13 16:45
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	6	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	05-15 22:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	13	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 00:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	3	$389	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	2	$384	200	200	+0	No	+$8	05-11 17:59
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 22:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	05-17 16:45
Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$372	400	0	+400	open	—	05-11 21:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 18:55:50	mlb stl cin 2026 05 24	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	653	36¢	$235	0x7da991…
06-20 18:55:47	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	SELL	305	45¢	$137	0x0a6af7…
05-25 18:45:04	Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	Gael Monfils	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x292f25…
05-25 18:44:31	Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	Hugo Gaston	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x823869…
05-25 18:44:14	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x4d7240…
05-25 18:44:00	Roland Garros WTA: Akasha Urhobo vs Katie Boulter	Akasha Urhobo	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x565b12…
05-25 18:43:30	Roland Garros WTA: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Camila Osorio	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xa40370…
05-25 18:42:53	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xfb2c52…
05-25 18:41:41	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x5affe8…
05-25 18:41:17	Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kessler	Hanyu Guo	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x7cbeed…
05-25 18:40:28	Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	354	85¢	$300	0xf0fecd…
05-19 20:44:14	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe6baeb…
05-19 20:33:55	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xba393e…
05-19 20:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xfb7374…
05-19 20:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x8b49ca…
05-19 20:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xe8e45e…
05-19 20:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb96b3e…
05-19 20:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x867545…
05-19 20:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x15d05e…
05-19 15:34:41	Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x14497f…
05-19 15:34:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x3e3a73…
05-19 15:34:24	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Sean Cuenin vs Hugo Dellien	Hugo Dellien	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xb1613b…
05-19 13:44:30	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boisson	Lois Boisson	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x5d1cc1…
05-19 13:44:16	Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xcbb897…
05-19 13:43:22	Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov	Hugo Gaston	BUY	334	60¢	$200	0x254e25…
05-19 13:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	98	17¢	$17	0x2f2e88…
05-19 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xffb425…
05-19 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xdc9e28…
05-19 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xc1b2d4…
05-19 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xafdf81…
05-19 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0x74d674…
05-19 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x6f985e…
05-19 13:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0x176dce…
05-19 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x964471…
05-19 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x899b67…
05-19 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7f9884…
05-19 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x2f3258…
05-19 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1b7725…
05-19 13:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xfc3f67…
05-19 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xd51ae5…
05-19 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x9027cc…
05-19 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x66a722…
05-19 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x56526f…
05-19 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x5527d7…
05-19 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x54064b…
05-19 13:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x59c162…
05-19 13:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	86	37¢	$32	0x39c120…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xea96f3…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xd47c72…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc36b67…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbbfadc…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x87191f…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x810fc4…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6f4634…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x500cd3…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x3d1ee5…
05-19 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x19709e…
05-19 13:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xcf865d…
05-19 13:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0xccd533…
05-19 13:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x2ba7aa…
05-19 13:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfb714e…
05-19 13:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x1af4e2…
05-19 13:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0xab9de3…
05-19 13:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x8b5201…
05-19 13:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x59f0a0…
05-19 13:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x590d16…
05-19 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0xf0abb9…
05-19 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0xb6af6b…
05-19 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x4c601f…
05-19 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x3dbcb2…
05-19 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x24ce53…
05-19 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x1c981c…
05-19 13:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	130	47¢	$61	0xc7d211…
05-19 13:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0x93b147…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xeb8c7a…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xe79a94…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0xd8b8ad…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xb65841…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7fac05…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x789de6…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0x738c33…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x528bb2…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x508fb9…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4a54a2…
05-19 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x07e80b…
05-19 13:18:17	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ann Li	SELL	222	94¢	$209	0x0cf81a…
05-19 13:18:10	Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Luciano Darderi	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x694e8a…
05-19 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfabd96…
05-19 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	57	60¢	$34	0xe219b9…
05-19 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x957da0…
05-19 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x6e940f…
05-19 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6aa0ac…
05-19 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x608f44…
05-19 13:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xd86064…
05-19 13:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x27d8e9…
05-19 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa4a17e…
05-19 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x772b20…
05-19 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5f4cde…
05-19 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x50eda8…
05-19 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x489461…