Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?
open
Total volume
$1,672
$4,396 in 24h
Trades
81
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$26,873
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-12 22:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+20.9¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $46
vs crowd: 15% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $9 | $91 | $82 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $17 | $182 | $165 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $126 | $592 | $466 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $16 | $29 | $13 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $20 | $198 | $178 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $12 | $129 | $117 |
| Median | 10 | $16 | $19 | $2 |
| Below median | 8 | $8 | $262 | $254 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $55 | $1 | +$54 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $11 | $160 | $149 |
| unranked | 10 | $12 | $66 | $55 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | +355 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 05-12 16:06 |
| Grandiose-Foam 0x1733…2901 | No | +200 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 05-12 17:01 |
| Outrageous-Table 0x19fc…b4e3 | No | +130 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 05-12 20:47 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +115 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +103 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 17:16 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +102 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | No | +101 | $69 | $69 | 2 | 05-10 20:14 |
| Helpful-Dollop 0x8ae6…0f9a | No | +86 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-12 17:02 |
| Obvious-Youngster 0x0ddd…5cf8 | No | +76 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-11 15:21 |
| Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | Yes | +47 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-09 20:13 |
| Far-Off-Ash 0xae37…90f2 | No | +46 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-11 15:29 |
| Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | +46 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-12 08:22 |
| Burdensome-Engineer 0xbc85…1631 | No | +39 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-11 23:27 |
| Cooperative-Thongs 0xa56c…a440 | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 18:17 |
| Runny-Chastity 0x7dd7…19bf | No | +36 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-11 23:33 |
| Celebrated-Cribbage 0x7875…e0ef | Yes | +32 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 15:29 |
| Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | +24 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-12 00:17 |
| Thin-Jiffy 0x7a7e…4457 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 17:16 |
| Sandy-Imitation 0xc241…1487 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-12 22:07 |
| Staid-Allowance 0xe2f1…6c06 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 02:54 |
| Imaginary-Porthole 0x1e1f…b832 | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 22:45 |
| Artistic-Classmate 0x5565…4b3b | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 17:16 |
| Critical-Unique 0x9fe2…6825 | Yes | +17 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 01:24 |
| Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 22:27 |
| Serpentine-Alliance 0x5c4b…d3de | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x52fc…c095 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 12:58 |
| Repulsive-Ideology 0x4b3c…7cd3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 20:55 |
| Tame-School 0xbd6c…a568 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x39fa…9869 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 16:50 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:02 |
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 08:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 03:13 |
| Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:36 |
| Dimpled-Foundation 0x2647…43fa | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 22:27 |
| Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 22:27 |
| Unlawful-Sushi 0xdd62…7785 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:49 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 15:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x54d1…bc7b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6be…cbf7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3603…b9b3 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:13 |
| Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:13 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Solid-Anticodon 0xf7b3…5d59 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x8187…c10f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 13:14 |
| Humble-Margarine 0x1943…2d83 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Trusty-Venison 0x39b9…eb4e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 22:07:09 | Sandy-Imitation 0xc241…1487 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xa43b53… |
| 05-12 22:02:36 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x79bc66… |
| 05-12 22:01:05 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 12¢ | $14 | 0xd64bf5… |
| 05-12 22:01:05 | Tame-School 0xbd6c…a568 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x4224e3… |
| 05-12 21:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x388b…ac5a | No | SELL | 32 | 89¢ | $28 | 0x623e35… |
| 05-12 21:00:59 | Trusty-Venison 0x39b9…eb4e | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x3502ab… |
| 05-12 20:55:17 | Repulsive-Ideology 0x4b3c…7cd3 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x620fcb… |
| 05-12 20:55:14 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 26 | 87¢ | $23 | 0x5b2789… |
| 05-12 20:47:39 | Outrageous-Table 0x19fc…b4e3 | No | BUY | 130 | 87¢ | $113 | 0x4644c9… |
| 05-12 19:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x388b…ac5a | No | BUY | 17 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x0d8ad8… |
| 05-12 19:52:31 | Slim-Modernity 0x81fa…e75a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8e82b5… |
| 05-12 19:40:27 | Impassioned-Excess 0xf89d…6f39 | No | SELL | 588 | 84¢ | $494 | 0x7bee30… |
| 05-12 19:36:31 | Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa925c9… |
| 05-12 19:11:40 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x5a9219… |
| 05-12 19:11:40 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x70ba12… |
| 05-12 18:37:18 | (anonymous) 0xc6be…cbf7 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x367e97… |
| 05-12 18:17:16 | Cooperative-Thongs 0xa56c…a440 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x3d881e… |
| 05-12 17:46:26 | Sandy-Imitation 0xc241…1487 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xbd2ae8… |
| 05-12 17:16:38 | Thin-Jiffy 0x7a7e…4457 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7d1f57… |
| 05-12 17:16:36 | Artistic-Classmate 0x5565…4b3b | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0xf2750d… |
| 05-12 17:16:36 | Thin-Jiffy 0x7a7e…4457 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x37f7ea… |
| 05-12 17:16:34 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd1b7e6… |
| 05-12 17:16:32 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 102 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x4789d1… |
| 05-12 17:02:25 | Helpful-Dollop 0x8ae6…0f9a | No | BUY | 86 | 93¢ | $80 | 0xb01554… |
| 05-12 17:01:26 | Grandiose-Foam 0x1733…2901 | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0x005fcf… |
| 05-12 16:16:22 | Humble-Margarine 0x1943…2d83 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x4a5f4d… |
| 05-12 16:16:20 | Dimpled-Foundation 0x2647…43fa | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf1325a… |
| 05-12 16:16:19 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 102 | 89¢ | $91 | 0xfeee43… |
| 05-12 16:16:19 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x80a98a… |
| 05-12 16:06:50 | Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xf68111… |
| 05-12 16:01:28 | Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | BUY | 222 | 12¢ | $27 | 0xc2d3be… |
| 05-12 16:01:21 | Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | BUY | 111 | 12¢ | $13 | 0xbd7a6c… |
| 05-12 15:53:06 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xeea9eb… |
| 05-12 13:43:06 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x9a2b97… |
| 05-12 13:22:53 | Practical-Persimmon 0x9d5e…3921 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x7e5abc… |
| 05-12 09:12:31 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 77 | 77¢ | $60 | 0x5517d0… |
| 05-12 08:22:37 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0xfa9e4f… |
| 05-12 02:54:17 | Staid-Allowance 0xe2f1…6c06 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xac0bcc… |
| 05-12 02:49:06 | Unlawful-Sushi 0xdd62…7785 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x4c7237… |
| 05-12 01:48:41 | (anonymous) 0x4f8c…914e | No | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x7271a5… |
| 05-12 00:17:52 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x613e66… |
| 05-11 23:33:06 | Runny-Chastity 0x7dd7…19bf | No | BUY | 36 | 58¢ | $21 | 0x3e0084… |
| 05-11 23:27:31 | Burdensome-Engineer 0xbc85…1631 | No | BUY | 39 | 59¢ | $23 | 0xe00fc6… |
| 05-11 16:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x39fa…9869 | No | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xbe5169… |
| 05-11 16:38:36 | Victorious-Lawmaker 0x800f…b7ff | Yes | SELL | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x87dbe5… |
| 05-11 15:29:52 | Far-Off-Ash 0xae37…90f2 | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x645ba0… |
| 05-11 15:29:50 | Celebrated-Cribbage 0x7875…e0ef | Yes | BUY | 32 | 38¢ | $12 | 0xfb0721… |
| 05-11 15:28:49 | Far-Off-Ash 0xae37…90f2 | No | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x56e9c2… |
| 05-11 15:27:44 | Far-Off-Ash 0xae37…90f2 | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xa5bdf4… |
| 05-11 15:21:43 | Obvious-Youngster 0x0ddd…5cf8 | No | BUY | 76 | 70¢ | $53 | 0x503247… |
| 05-11 14:33:29 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xe7f35f… |
| 05-11 14:28:05 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x85f23f… |
| 05-11 14:25:59 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc561cd… |
| 05-11 14:20:37 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x698016… |
| 05-11 13:48:30 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x33f05b… |
| 05-11 13:25:12 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x5a1dc0… |
| 05-11 05:43:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xfc8006… |
| 05-11 03:13:35 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x9cd470… |
| 05-11 03:13:35 | (anonymous) 0x3603…b9b3 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x1df484… |
| 05-11 03:13:35 | (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x43694c… |
| 05-11 01:24:38 | Critical-Unique 0x9fe2…6825 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 46¢ | $8 | 0xb24d13… |
| 05-10 22:45:41 | Imaginary-Porthole 0x1e1f…b832 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x04c176… |
| 05-10 22:27:20 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x2a7ba6… |
| 05-10 22:27:20 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x669839… |
| 05-10 22:27:17 | Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x8b45d8… |
| 05-10 22:27:17 | Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x31b636… |
| 05-10 22:27:04 | (anonymous) 0x54d1…bc7b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x4cfbbb… |
| 05-10 22:27:04 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xb413ce… |
| 05-10 20:14:31 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | No | BUY | 51 | 61¢ | $31 | 0xd504ec… |
| 05-10 20:11:50 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 32 | 60¢ | $19 | 0x932bcd… |
| 05-10 06:32:48 | Miserly-Windscreen 0x9ede…47fa | Yes | SELL | 42 | 31¢ | $13 | 0xebd93c… |
| 05-09 20:39:12 | Solid-Anticodon 0xf7b3…5d59 | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x516d6f… |
| 05-09 20:13:20 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | Yes | BUY | 23 | 35¢ | $8 | 0x8e5804… |
| 05-09 19:47:22 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | Yes | BUY | 24 | 35¢ | $8 | 0x919a2b… |
| 05-09 12:58:15 | (anonymous) 0x52fc…c095 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xb3500f… |
| 05-08 13:14:40 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | No | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x4da331… |
| 05-08 13:14:40 | (anonymous) 0x8187…c10f | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x041b2a… |
| 05-08 08:39:02 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x47f2fa… |
| 05-07 15:14:44 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x9acd41… |
| 05-07 10:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 35¢ | $8 | 0x8f0c19… |
| 05-07 08:04:35 | Serpentine-Alliance 0x5c4b…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x654963… |