Compassionate-Hearth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.73K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

2,322

Trades

6,050

lifetime

Volume

$684.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$419

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 11-01 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 79% +$4,876

Other

3% 83% +$265

Politics

1% 81% -$501

Tech

1% 86% +$268

Sports

0% 33% -$135

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+100	$93	100¢	$100	+$7	10-02 15:17
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	+100	$91	100¢	$100	+$9	10-03 16:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	+100	$93	95¢	$95	+$2	11-01 12:15
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+100	$80	74¢	$74	-$6	10-05 14:43
us iran hormuz agreement by november 2	No	+37	$31	96¢	$35	+$4	10-14 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+15	$14	98¢	$15	+$0	11-01 12:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	3	$21.7K	11,723	11,656	+67	No	+$126	04-21 11:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	4	$14.9K	8,081	8,081	+0	No	+$384	05-17 15:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$11.3K	11,502	451	+11,051	No	+$697	04-29 21:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:15 UTC	41	$11.0K	6,451	6,413	+39	Up	+$662	03-18 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 15:00 UTC	4	$9.0K	6,390	3,619	+2,771	Down	-$451	03-17 15:12
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 20	2	$8.2K	4,118	4,118	+0	No	+$72	03-21 04:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:30 UTC	4	$8.0K	4,199	4,195	+3	Down	+$61	03-18 18:35
bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	2	$6.8K	3,537	3,534	+3	Down	+$223	03-18 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:00 UTC	2	$6.7K	3,440	3,438	+1	Up	+$95	03-17 15:03
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	96	$6.7K	3,772	3,762	+10	Down	-$158	03-18 10:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 15:30 UTC	2	$6.5K	3,480	3,480	+0	Down	-$265	03-17 15:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:30 UTC	60	$6.5K	3,296	3,295	+1	Down	+$43	03-18 12:41
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 18	2	$6.3K	3,162	3,161	+0	No	+$61	03-19 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:05 UTC	2	$6.0K	3,160	3,155	+5	Down	+$272	03-17 15:11
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:05 UTC	93	$5.8K	3,103	2,905	+197	Up	-$91	03-18 09:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:10 UTC	4	$5.6K	2,972	2,963	+9	Down	+$305	03-18 13:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:05 UTC	91	$5.4K	3,478	3,449	+30	Down	+$190	03-18 12:08
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:30 UTC	38	$5.2K	2,897	2,888	+9	Up	+$539	03-18 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	43	$4.5K	3,629	3,629	+0	Down	+$124	05-11 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	13	$4.4K	4,946	200	+4,746	Up	+$558	05-10 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:30 UTC	3	$4.2K	4,597	0	+4,597	Down	-$153	03-18 11:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	17	$4.1K	3,500	1,071	+2,429	Yes	+$228	05-14 09:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:20 UTC	6	$3.8K	3,925	3,882	+44	Up	-$1,549	03-18 12:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:55 UTC	6	$3.7K	4,266	679	+3,586	Up	-$164	03-18 18:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 19	1	$3.6K	3,838	0	+3,838	Yes	+$192	03-19 09:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:50 UTC	2	$3.4K	3,752	0	+3,752	Up	+$390	03-18 12:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:40 UTC	2	$3.1K	3,669	0	+3,669	Up	+$525	03-17 15:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:55 UTC	1	$3.1K	3,149	0	+3,149	Down	+$49	03-17 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:05 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,156	0	+3,156	Up	+$25	03-18 19:09
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 18	2	$3.0K	1,494	1,494	+0	No	+$29	03-19 06:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:18:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xd83451…
11-01 12:15:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xff193e…
11-01 12:15:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x8664cb…
11-01 12:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	160	92¢	$148	0x39e586…
11-01 12:07:01	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x5f7399…
11-01 12:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xa99689…
11-01 12:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xaac3b9…
11-01 12:05:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xd1f4b1…
11-01 12:05:33	Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x0d371b…
11-01 12:05:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x150f2d…
10-16 18:24:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x0b5c95…
10-16 18:24:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x896e75…
10-16 18:24:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x495f0e…
10-16 18:24:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x8e940e…
10-15 20:22:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x987bd4…
10-15 20:21:47	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x88e281…
10-15 20:21:38	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4d0552…
10-15 20:21:27	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1dd2e9…
10-15 15:08:22	Solana Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf7081d…
10-15 13:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x40dd70…
10-15 13:24:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0xb31d81…
10-15 13:22:20	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x431851…
10-15 13:22:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x4059a1…
10-15 12:54:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	119	98¢	$116	0x722c46…
10-15 12:48:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	181	98¢	$176	0xbaa56d…
10-15 12:31:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x704b74…
10-15 12:31:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	193	93¢	$179	0xff8636…
10-15 12:24:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x5da9da…
10-15 12:23:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf020be…
10-15 06:16:50	bitcoin up or down on october 15 2026	Up	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x0f718b…
10-14 20:31:21	us iran hormuz agreement by november 2	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x363953…
10-14 19:17:22	ethereum above 2500 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x23a641…
10-14 18:39:39	us iran hormuz agreement by november 2	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x8c7a8a…
10-14 18:34:19	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x414c58…
10-14 18:33:52	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x4ada1e…
10-14 18:33:45	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x0194aa…
10-14 18:25:33	ethereum above 2500 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x9f72e2…
10-14 18:25:25	ethereum above 2500 on october 15 2026	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x481436…
10-14 18:25:04	bitcoin above 86k on october 17 2026	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xba78b6…
10-14 18:24:54	bitcoin above 84k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x63c8fc…
10-14 18:24:46	bitcoin above 84k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1b28d2…
10-14 18:15:37	bitcoin up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf59b6c…
10-13 20:35:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 14?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xce899b…
10-10 20:16:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x94395e…
10-10 01:41:26	Ethereum Up or Down on October 10?	Up	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x93bfe5…
10-09 22:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down on October 10?	Up	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x09f054…
10-08 21:31:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	294	92¢	$270	0x383228…
10-08 21:31:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,100	88¢	$968	0x396be2…
10-07 11:22:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x67684e…
10-07 11:22:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xbb51df…
10-07 11:22:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xc14c28…
10-07 11:22:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x5ea3e7…
10-07 09:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x870bba…
10-07 09:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xf2eae8…
10-07 09:42:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe2dcd2…
10-07 09:41:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x1320b3…
10-07 09:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x259854…
10-07 09:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x0aeffa…
10-07 08:42:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9?	No	BUY	96	90¢	$86	0x4fdcfc…
10-07 08:41:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8290aa…
10-07 08:41:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 7?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x31f780…
10-07 05:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xcf86bb…
10-07 05:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xf85ccc…
10-07 05:59:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xac9114…
10-07 05:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x996719…
10-07 02:02:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xee1f7d…
10-07 02:01:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0x89e787…
10-06 23:51:47	Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x40b2d5…
10-06 22:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	102	46¢	$47	0x9e899d…
10-06 20:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x309182…
10-06 19:52:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x742650…
10-06 19:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xd7bf2a…
10-06 19:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0xb70cb0…
10-06 19:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x4bb928…
10-06 19:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x57fbb1…
10-06 19:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x8648d5…
10-05 19:11:53	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x20ebb7…
10-05 18:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xc9c09f…
10-05 18:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x74f6d1…
10-05 18:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x560051…
10-05 18:55:40	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xe25de0…
10-05 18:54:55	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x76bc10…
10-05 18:54:46	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xdadef0…
10-05 18:53:35	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x76e7f5…
10-05 18:52:23	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x74c01f…
10-05 18:52:17	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xd0d2b1…
10-05 18:51:59	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x7d3374…
10-05 18:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xe9f75e…
10-05 18:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x2b9cd5…
10-05 18:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x89e862…
10-05 18:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xdd4c4c…
10-05 18:41:01	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	165	63¢	$104	0x0d9b67…
10-05 18:40:34	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x9ae456…
10-05 18:39:58	bitcoin up or down on october 6 2026	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x0ac299…
10-05 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xa1d8d2…
10-05 18:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xdab0a9…
10-05 18:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	300	60¢	$180	0xd5f851…
10-05 18:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	222	60¢	$133	0xae8060…
10-05 16:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x707c41…
10-05 16:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	222	42¢	$93	0x68fc28…