Compassionate-Hearth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$312

Unrealized P&L

+$55

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

184

Trades

5,001

lifetime

Volume

$595.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$197

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 07-16 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% +$312

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 533 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+200	$142	99¢	$197	+$55	07-01 21:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	3	$21.7K	11,723	11,656	+67	open	—	04-21 11:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	4	$14.9K	8,081	8,081	+0	open	—	05-17 15:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$11.3K	11,502	451	+11,051	open	—	04-29 21:17
btc updown 15m 1773836100	41	$11.0K	6,451	6,413	+39	open	—	03-18 12:29
btc updown 15m 1773759600	4	$9.0K	6,390	3,619	+2,771	open	—	03-17 15:12
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 20	2	$8.2K	4,118	4,118	+0	open	—	03-21 04:10
btc updown 5m 1773858600	4	$8.0K	4,199	4,195	+3	open	—	03-18 18:35
bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	2	$6.8K	3,537	3,534	+3	open	—	03-18 18:30
btc updown 5m 1773759600	2	$6.7K	3,440	3,438	+1	open	—	03-17 15:03
sol updown 15m 1773827100	96	$6.7K	3,772	3,762	+10	open	—	03-18 10:00
btc updown 15m 1773761400	2	$6.5K	3,480	3,480	+0	open	—	03-17 15:40
sol updown 15m 1773837000	60	$6.5K	3,296	3,295	+1	open	—	03-18 12:41
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 18	2	$6.3K	3,162	3,161	+0	open	—	03-19 06:05
btc updown 5m 1773759900	2	$6.0K	3,160	3,155	+5	open	—	03-17 15:11
sol updown 5m 1773824700	93	$5.8K	3,103	2,905	+197	open	—	03-18 09:09
sol updown 5m 1773839400	4	$5.6K	2,972	2,963	+9	open	—	03-18 13:15
sol updown 5m 1773835500	91	$5.4K	3,478	3,449	+30	open	—	03-18 12:08
xrp updown 5m 1773826200	38	$5.2K	2,897	2,888	+9	open	—	03-18 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	43	$4.5K	3,629	3,629	+0	Down	+$124	05-11 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	13	$4.4K	4,946	200	+4,746	Up	+$558	05-10 13:06
btc updown 5m 1773833400	3	$4.2K	4,597	0	+4,597	open	—	03-18 11:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	17	$4.1K	3,500	1,071	+2,429	open	—	05-14 09:59
eth updown 5m 1773836400	6	$3.8K	3,925	3,882	+44	open	—	03-18 12:24
sol updown 5m 1773860100	6	$3.7K	4,266	679	+3,586	open	—	03-18 18:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 19	1	$3.6K	3,838	0	+3,838	open	—	03-19 09:58
eth updown 5m 1773838200	2	$3.4K	3,752	0	+3,752	open	—	03-18 12:52
eth updown 5m 1773762000	2	$3.1K	3,669	0	+3,669	open	—	03-17 15:43
eth updown 5m 1773762900	1	$3.1K	3,149	0	+3,149	open	—	03-17 15:58
btc updown 5m 1773860700	2	$3.0K	3,156	0	+3,156	open	—	03-18 19:09
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 18	2	$3.0K	1,494	1,494	+0	open	—	03-19 06:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 16:11:26	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x07ddc7…
07-16 10:57:56	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xe8b2f9…
07-15 22:02:49	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	47	80¢	$37	0xf6e04b…
07-15 22:02:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x59ae9d…
07-15 22:02:10	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x4f41d9…
07-15 22:01:55	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xccef19…
07-15 22:00:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xd3771c…
07-15 22:00:04	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	53	80¢	$42	0x0efac0…
07-15 21:59:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xc5e092…
07-15 21:58:53	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0x50b55b…
07-15 21:58:35	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 15	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x44d6af…
07-15 21:57:56	will ethereum reach 2100 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x458d60…
07-15 21:57:28	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xb9f515…
07-15 21:57:02	ethereum above 2000 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x771148…
07-15 21:56:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x13bba1…
07-14 18:41:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	185	97¢	$179	0x3f268d…
07-14 18:25:23	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa44427…
07-14 18:24:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xb7401a…
07-14 18:20:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x7ef26f…
07-14 18:20:01	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1fe8d8…
07-14 18:19:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x5fd499…
07-12 16:51:52	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x95e654…
07-12 16:41:56	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	458	98¢	$447	0x6bb13d…
07-12 16:33:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x46e6e1…
07-12 16:32:37	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x0aed4f…
07-12 16:31:26	bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x35ab35…
07-12 16:31:17	bitcoin above 64k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x249f6a…
07-12 16:14:37	btc updown 15m 1783872900	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x8cda17…
07-12 16:10:49	btc updown 15m 1783872000	Down	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xc36c54…
07-12 16:03:17	btc updown 15m 1783872000	Down	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xdd3d94…
07-12 14:46:16	eth updown 15m 1783867500	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xf6f439…
07-12 14:46:16	eth updown 15m 1783867500	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x556d0b…
07-12 14:45:17	eth updown 15m 1783867500	Down	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0x518a8a…
07-12 14:37:22	eth updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x255f3f…
07-12 14:33:40	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	101	78¢	$79	0x626423…
07-12 14:33:35	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0xd24111…
07-12 14:33:34	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Down	SELL	99	21¢	$21	0xac16ff…
07-12 14:33:32	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x474452…
07-12 14:33:31	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	34	78¢	$26	0xb562d7…
07-12 14:33:29	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf450df…
07-12 14:33:28	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x908d20…
07-12 14:33:28	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x52319d…
07-12 14:33:04	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Up	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xc33760…
07-12 14:31:43	btc updown 15m 1783866600	Down	BUY	99	44¢	$44	0x503d9b…
07-12 14:08:35	btc updown 15m 1783865700	Up	BUY	1,000	54¢	$543	0xaa9926…
07-12 13:59:46	btc updown 15m 1783864800	Up	BUY	326	52¢	$169	0x6fa5ff…
07-12 13:59:46	btc updown 15m 1783864800	Up	BUY	435	53¢	$231	0x447696…
07-12 13:47:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	418	24¢	$100	0x08a2a3…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xba1f81…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9a9157…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x8ee3d2…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8e9dab…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x610ec2…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x41c3a9…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3c75a9…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x373fd6…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x35e5e3…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x2a7dfd…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1bc993…
07-12 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0x021108…
07-12 13:45:40	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xd56da0…
07-12 13:39:53	btc updown 15m 1783863000	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xbd7425…
07-12 13:39:53	btc updown 15m 1783863000	Up	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x1ee9ad…
07-11 18:49:22	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xdbc435…
07-11 18:48:46	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 11	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x111511…
07-11 17:25:28	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb23099…
07-11 17:18:22	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xaf2b04…
07-11 17:18:16	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x84d31b…
07-11 17:18:13	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5a4b8d…
07-11 17:18:10	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x64506d…
07-11 17:18:07	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xfc5669…
07-11 17:18:05	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6d4c90…
07-11 17:17:49	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1005f6…
07-11 17:09:04	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xd4fcd5…
07-11 16:44:46	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x8f88d5…
07-11 16:40:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe98b41…
07-11 16:36:53	ethereum above 1800 on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x6cc0b3…
07-11 16:36:35	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x6f503a…
07-11 16:36:08	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x352e4d…
07-11 16:35:38	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x130e55…
07-10 20:28:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	67	76¢	$51	0x10f911…
07-07 19:04:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xb09c57…
07-07 17:51:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf677cc…
07-07 17:15:32	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0x8d34f7…
07-07 17:14:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xf4d0b2…
07-07 17:13:58	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	64	88¢	$57	0x5651dc…
07-07 17:12:32	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x822674…
07-07 02:51:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x94bcba…
07-07 02:51:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x53f9c3…
07-07 02:51:47	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xb4e494…
07-07 02:51:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	67	77¢	$52	0x4c05ad…
07-07 02:51:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x043459…
07-07 02:50:11	bitcoin up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xc010aa…
07-06 20:10:58	bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x6a486b…
07-06 20:10:17	bitcoin above 66k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x464e32…
07-06 19:59:50	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	64	89¢	$57	0x22a9a7…
07-06 19:59:35	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x675b7c…
07-06 19:57:50	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0x4bc25a…
07-06 19:57:35	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x94b1eb…
07-06 17:14:38	bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x756e81…