Bountiful-Sloth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$65

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved

897

Trades

1,133

lifetime

Volume

$39.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-09 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 27% -$2,121

Other

0% 0% -$48

Politics

0% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 9?	Yes	+246	$47	2¢	$4	-$42	11-09 08:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on November 9?	Yes	+440	$17	1¢	$3	-$14	11-09 07:35
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on November 9?	Yes	+115	$9	1¢	$1	-$8	11-09 15:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 92k december 29 january 4	2	$631	526	526	+0	Yes	+$410	01-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET	2	$498	399	399	+0	Down	+$298	05-14 22:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?	2	$483	409	409	+0	Yes	+$335	05-01 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	3	$412	842	213	+630	Down	+$12	05-14 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC	2	$374	255	246	+9	Down	+$125	04-11 23:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?	3	$321	241	241	+0	Yes	+$141	05-14 14:58
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	2	$317	262	262	+0	Yes	+$207	01-02 17:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 3	2	$311	269	269	+0	Yes	+$225	03-03 17:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?	2	$304	258	258	+0	Yes	+$212	06-03 03:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 18	2	$296	286	286	+0	Yes	+$275	03-18 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:05 UTC	2	$293	200	193	+7	Down	+$100	04-11 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:40 UTC	2	$283	190	183	+6	Down	+$89	04-11 23:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:45 UTC	2	$268	184	177	+7	Down	+$89	04-11 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:25 UTC	2	$263	180	174	+6	Down	+$90	04-11 15:31
bitcoin up or down on february 2	2	$254	227	227	+0	Up	+$200	02-02 17:03
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$254	576	576	+0	No	+$12	01-05 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:55 UTC	2	$218	150	145	+5	Down	+$74	04-11 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET	3	$216	1,768	0	+1,768	Down	-$216	05-14 23:19
bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 8am et	2	$215	165	165	+0	Down	+$115	08-04 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$203	142	142	+0	Up	+$79	05-01 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	2	$200	762	0	+762	Down	-$200	05-14 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$200	566	0	+566	Down	-$200	10-24 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 09:05 UTC	1	$200	400	0	+400	Up	-$200	04-12 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$200	830	0	+830	Down	-$200	05-14 20:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 12	1	$200	636	0	+636	No	-$200	04-12 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$200	883	0	+883	Down	-$200	05-14 23:01
will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	2	$200	601	0	+601	No	-$200	06-04 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$200	842	0	+842	Down	-$200	05-14 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$200	1,122	0	+1,122	Down	-$200	05-14 17:18
will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	2	$200	2,038	0	+2,038	No	-$200	08-07 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 15:48:55	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0x2d984a…
11-09 08:25:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	246	19¢	$47	0x6175ca…
11-09 07:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0x344c56…
11-09 07:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x2a1517…
11-09 07:35:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	440	4¢	$17	0x4d8565…
11-09 07:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x2a8c63…
11-06 12:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	63	14¢	$9	0x617caf…
11-06 09:14:42	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	562	2¢	$9	0x24edee…
11-06 08:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x976045…
11-06 08:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x233ace…
11-05 18:05:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	480	5¢	$23	0x06d28e…
11-05 15:07:19	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	562	3¢	$18	0x5f3494…
11-05 08:46:06	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	667	7¢	$47	0x5aa65b…
11-05 06:07:30	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	662	3¢	$18	0x32cb35…
11-04 07:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0xa94208…
11-04 07:53:48	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x479d2c…
11-04 07:52:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0x422432…
11-03 17:28:42	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	709	1¢	$9	0x4fea16…
11-03 11:46:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	425	4¢	$18	0x136764…
11-03 11:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xf3c1cd…
11-03 11:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x753a60…
11-03 11:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xaa7f9c…
11-03 10:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xd8494e…
11-02 08:26:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	621	1¢	$9	0xffe654…
11-02 07:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x088173…
11-01 09:37:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	316	8¢	$27	0xdce4f1…
11-01 09:36:10	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	731	1¢	$10	0xc3bc97…
10-31 08:12:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	311	3¢	$10	0xe29116…
10-31 08:12:24	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x45c271…
10-31 08:11:55	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	670	1¢	$10	0xa0bf09…
10-30 22:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	103	38¢	$39	0x459638…
10-30 22:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0xf8cc15…
10-30 10:06:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	421	12¢	$50	0x47a626…
10-30 06:21:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	608	8¢	$50	0x19994b…
10-30 06:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	234	20¢	$48	0x4374b7…
10-30 05:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0xd62e4f…
10-29 10:59:28	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	902	3¢	$27	0x0ffd9b…
10-29 10:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	218	10¢	$23	0xb23712…
10-29 09:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	54	32¢	$17	0xc53b27…
10-29 09:31:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	974	3¢	$30	0x155c02…
10-28 15:00:59	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	834	2¢	$19	0xe1437b…
10-28 08:32:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	421	11¢	$46	0x99c69f…
10-28 07:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	664	3¢	$20	0x185e37…
10-28 07:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	469	5¢	$24	0x024450…
10-28 07:44:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x31f55c…
10-27 10:13:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	491	5¢	$23	0xd6c474…
10-26 16:14:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	212	22¢	$47	0x2fc4cf…
10-26 13:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	132	35¢	$46	0x432c92…
10-26 13:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0xad1041…
10-26 12:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	202	24¢	$48	0x803c1e…
10-26 09:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	265	9¢	$23	0x81afb9…
10-26 08:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0x61560b…
10-26 08:57:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0xe6575a…
10-25 18:52:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	565	8¢	$47	0xfe89ab…
10-25 10:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	170	11¢	$18	0xa0718d…
10-24 17:24:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	236	3¢	$8	0xe12bbb…
10-24 17:24:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	567	14¢	$80	0x5f9b7a…
10-24 14:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xd8b950…
10-24 10:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xc3a025…
10-24 09:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x4af834…
10-24 09:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	198	25¢	$50	0x5d9550…
10-24 05:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x7135dd…
10-23 17:14:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	210	23¢	$48	0xbf4574…
10-23 16:56:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	303	31¢	$95	0x17aaa3…
10-23 14:33:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0xa0aeb5…
10-23 06:43:30	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	208	11¢	$23	0x295660…
10-22 04:46:35	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	318	3¢	$9	0x6492ee…
10-21 09:01:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	284	3¢	$9	0x9bed67…
10-21 04:44:41	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	204	4¢	$9	0xe3a038…
10-20 11:32:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$9	0xfe2970…
10-20 06:30:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	259	3¢	$9	0x1d56a6…
10-19 04:50:03	will bitcoin reach 87k on october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	421	3¢	$12	0xbf8017…
10-19 04:42:20	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$9	0xbe461b…
10-18 11:43:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	629	1¢	$9	0x1cb3f8…
10-18 06:47:30	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	260	3¢	$9	0x9fba2c…
10-17 07:16:42	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1,089	1¢	$9	0x84e50d…
10-16 11:04:48	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	425	11¢	$47	0xfdddba…
10-16 05:25:15	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	219	4¢	$9	0xe0a7fe…
10-15 13:42:13	will bitcoin dip to 77k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	174	5¢	$9	0x28e183…
10-15 04:48:26	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	262	9¢	$23	0x541557…
10-13 16:09:00	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$9	0xe870a9…
10-13 11:37:43	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$9	0xfc1008…
10-12 08:26:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	213	22¢	$47	0x5f3ca1…
10-09 20:43:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	148	6¢	$9	0x7f80d6…
10-09 10:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	261	7¢	$18	0x016130…
10-09 07:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x34c5bd…
10-08 17:11:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$9	0xb76d68…
10-08 07:40:09	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	582	2¢	$9	0x6bbfa0…
10-07 05:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	237	4¢	$9	0x6035e0…
10-06 08:25:42	Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	676	1¢	$9	0x54ab51…
10-05 07:14:55	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	462	3¢	$13	0x09a438…
10-05 05:34:37	will bitcoin reach 90k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x2da67e…
10-04 16:20:11	will bitcoin reach 87k on october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	214	4¢	$9	0xc93fbf…
10-04 16:16:08	will bitcoin reach 87k on october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	288	3¢	$9	0xc42796…
10-04 07:16:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	539	3¢	$18	0x394e98…
10-03 08:35:56	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 3 2026	Yes	BUY	965	1¢	$13	0xf95c3f…
10-02 19:17:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	371	6¢	$23	0x74b68a…
10-02 06:39:50	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	465	4¢	$18	0x8008a3…
10-01 12:49:54	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	331	7¢	$23	0xf7113e…
10-01 05:39:44	will bitcoin reach 90k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	327	7¢	$23	0x44ded8…