Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$2,453
$9,582 in 24h
Trades
193
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$19,449
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-14 10:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-71.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1
vs crowd: 71% YES on $1.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $355 | — | +$355 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $600 | — | +$600 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 54 | $311 | $515 | $204 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $26 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $87 | $297 | $210 |
| Median | 10 | $17 | $17 | $0 |
| Below median | 13 | $37 | $19 | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $22 | $128 | $107 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $130 | $25 | +$105 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $955 | — | +$955 |
| unranked | 5 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frozen-Petal 0x62b6…5de0 | Yes | +1,500 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +810 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-14 05:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +187 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 05-14 05:01 |
| Bewitched-Mandolin 0x85e0…3a93 | Yes | +131 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-14 10:14 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +107 | $61 | $516 | 11 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Famous-Allowance 0xec8f…8df8 | Yes | +100 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 10:45 |
| Gentle-Cactus 0x6e63…a1cf | Yes | +91 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-13 16:22 |
| Worthy-Tapioca 0xa251…505f | Yes | +89 | $22 | $133 | 5 | 05-14 09:39 |
| Joint-Immortal 0x01ae…29d4 | Yes | +57 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Knobby-Corner 0x2da0…6946 | Yes | +47 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 01:48 |
| Webbed-Orientation 0xd292…07f8 | No | +32 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 10:44 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | +30 | $12 | $62 | 5 | 05-14 05:56 |
| Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | +24 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| Excited-Shipyard 0x697c…f794 | Yes | +24 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 05:46 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | +23 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-14 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6918…7816 | No | +23 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | No | +17 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | +15 | $8 | $35 | 17 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Vigorous-Mandate 0x39f1…e1b4 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7c…6b5c | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:56 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 05:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x09a7…8213 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 03:01 |
| Boring-Fatigue 0x4960…fd47 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 18:26 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Perfect-Legacy 0x38ad…ebd7 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 08:14 |
| Well-To-Do-Meet 0x5f75…bd97 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd98e…4788 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4878…42c0 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x68a2…7460 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 23:22 |
| Trivial-Discovery 0xafff…e376 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:16 |
| Expensive-Nit 0x7138…652a | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 20:46 |
| Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:26 |
| Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 06:31 |
| Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:26 |
| Imperturbable-Bid 0x4c59…02e2 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x68a2…7460 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Purple-Comestible 0x6a90…0feb | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:18 |
| Decent-Peninsula 0x13a9…8c3e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:05 |
| General-Redesign 0x1591…9bc9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| Sure-Footed-Nylon 0x357b…20f7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:20 |
| Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| Paltry-Dock 0xdf79…63f9 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:20 |
| Worthy-Bull 0x418f…5f3b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:26 |
| Lost-Thermometer 0x0a56…3e1c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:04 |
| Elderly-Dimension 0x5caf…3738 | No | +1 | $0 | $11 | 2 | 05-13 20:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:54:24 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc9434a… |
| 05-14 10:54:24 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x56f95c… |
| 05-14 10:54:22 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x0b7016… |
| 05-14 10:54:22 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x856904… |
| 05-14 10:54:21 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xfe25ac… |
| 05-14 10:54:21 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x82a9a6… |
| 05-14 10:54:05 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xe33e08… |
| 05-14 10:54:05 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xe5063d… |
| 05-14 10:54:03 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x4bbc61… |
| 05-14 10:54:03 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xd0cad7… |
| 05-14 10:45:29 | Famous-Allowance 0xec8f…8df8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0xa4dcbd… |
| 05-14 10:44:10 | Webbed-Orientation 0xd292…07f8 | No | BUY | 32 | 76¢ | $25 | 0x04298c… |
| 05-14 10:34:08 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xdb7a07… |
| 05-14 10:34:06 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x6d74be… |
| 05-14 10:30:08 | Shameless-Estate 0xa875…a4ac | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x5abfe7… |
| 05-14 10:29:37 | Vigorous-Mandate 0x39f1…e1b4 | No | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x39698a… |
| 05-14 10:19:28 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x00c51e… |
| 05-14 10:19:26 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xc77625… |
| 05-14 10:14:14 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x5d772e… |
| 05-14 10:14:13 | Bewitched-Mandolin 0x85e0…3a93 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 32¢ | $42 | 0x410bd8… |
| 05-14 10:04:54 | Mean-Tape 0x4994…3687 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 33¢ | $19 | 0x41cb71… |
| 05-14 10:04:21 | Expensive-Nit 0x7138…652a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x8e328e… |
| 05-14 09:39:06 | Worthy-Tapioca 0xa251…505f | Yes | BUY | 81 | 32¢ | $26 | 0x91784b… |
| 05-14 09:29:32 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 26 | 64¢ | $17 | 0x154608… |
| 05-14 09:29:07 | Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x5d223b… |
| 05-14 09:04:21 | Incredible-Phosphate-Doe 0x5a4d…0b8f | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xd5e706… |
| 05-14 09:04:21 | Incredible-Phosphate-Doe 0x5a4d…0b8f | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xbb65b5… |
| 05-14 08:49:01 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x487b2f… |
| 05-14 08:44:16 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xfdbdc5… |
| 05-14 08:34:10 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x7f9940… |
| 05-14 08:14:13 | Perfect-Legacy 0x38ad…ebd7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x744a00… |
| 05-14 08:14:03 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 35 | 59¢ | $21 | 0x9bb6c6… |
| 05-14 07:24:14 | Fragrant-Guitar 0x87de…c545 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x6c8602… |
| 05-14 07:04:18 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x36864a… |
| 05-14 06:33:51 | Dual-Clause 0x7061…9233 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 40¢ | $40 | 0x840c0f… |
| 05-14 06:20:25 | Sure-Footed-Nylon 0x357b…20f7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x5d2221… |
| 05-14 06:16:11 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x431748… |
| 05-14 06:11:10 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x71581b… |
| 05-14 06:11:06 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x6f739f… |
| 05-14 06:10:52 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x320a03… |
| 05-14 06:10:51 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xf611b6… |
| 05-14 06:10:51 | Shameless-Estate 0xa875…a4ac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x42eb9b… |
| 05-14 06:06:33 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x1cfc8a… |
| 05-14 06:06:32 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xf4d991… |
| 05-14 06:06:30 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x65eeea… |
| 05-14 06:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x68a2…7460 | No | BUY | 4 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x04ac97… |
| 05-14 06:05:48 | Joint-Immortal 0x01ae…29d4 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 46¢ | $26 | 0xe28c96… |
| 05-14 06:05:48 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…4788 | No | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0xe010be… |
| 05-14 06:02:18 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xb0c4d8… |
| 05-14 06:01:34 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 104 | 56¢ | $58 | 0x6461d4… |
| 05-14 06:01:22 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xd5d2b1… |
| 05-14 06:01:20 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xbbc3f1… |
| 05-14 05:56:49 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x4eddd9… |
| 05-14 05:56:33 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 46 | 40¢ | $18 | 0xd3c8be… |
| 05-14 05:55:02 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x965d7d… |
| 05-14 05:54:43 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xdb04b2… |
| 05-14 05:51:11 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 25 | 58¢ | $14 | 0x515155… |
| 05-14 05:49:26 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x893561… |
| 05-14 05:46:21 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x09dd09… |
| 05-14 05:46:15 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x16182b… |
| 05-14 05:46:07 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 110 | 59¢ | $65 | 0xb0d963… |
| 05-14 05:46:00 | Excited-Shipyard 0x697c…f794 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x8e6774… |
| 05-14 05:45:18 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xe67efd… |
| 05-14 05:45:18 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 810 | 37¢ | $300 | 0xba04bf… |
| 05-14 05:45:11 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x2cb0b3… |
| 05-14 05:45:11 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x8c26b7… |
| 05-14 05:39:49 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3f7a6e… |
| 05-14 05:31:09 | Excited-Shipyard 0x697c…f794 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb85bec… |
| 05-14 05:05:25 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xa3d41c… |
| 05-14 05:05:25 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xdc3924… |
| 05-14 05:05:25 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x7de696… |
| 05-14 05:01:19 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xc596eb… |
| 05-14 04:40:10 | Imperturbable-Bid 0x4c59…02e2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x777c0b… |
| 05-14 04:16:01 | Shady-Sustenance 0x9a7e…7d4c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xc86a51… |
| 05-14 04:06:37 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x26e51e… |
| 05-14 04:06:37 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x832449… |
| 05-14 04:05:17 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x541ff4… |
| 05-14 04:05:17 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x75fb8f… |
| 05-14 04:04:16 | Lost-Thermometer 0x0a56…3e1c | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xd8c230… |
| 05-14 03:56:20 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x960be6… |
| 05-14 03:43:49 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x83c34e… |
| 05-14 03:43:49 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x4e5537… |
| 05-14 03:43:47 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xf1ac2e… |
| 05-14 03:28:41 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xbfabdc… |
| 05-14 03:28:41 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x7ce615… |
| 05-14 03:25:09 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x0e2f86… |
| 05-14 03:25:09 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x07bab4… |
| 05-14 03:21:30 | Well-To-Do-Meet 0x5f75…bd97 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x905bfb… |
| 05-14 03:13:29 | Worthy-Tapioca 0xa251…505f | Yes | BUY | 101 | 26¢ | $26 | 0xe52d5e… |
| 05-14 03:05:08 | Decent-Peninsula 0x13a9…8c3e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xa26773… |
| 05-14 03:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x09a7…8213 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x7ee392… |
| 05-14 03:01:21 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xc86ea1… |
| 05-14 03:01:21 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x292ecc… |
| 05-14 02:55:20 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xba1d8e… |
| 05-14 02:55:20 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x0ce0cb… |
| 05-14 02:55:19 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xe1c50c… |
| 05-14 02:55:17 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xcd1247… |
| 05-14 02:55:10 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xa517e1… |
| 05-14 02:43:19 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x2ccf39… |
| 05-14 02:42:18 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xd557cf… |