Fragrant-Guitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

662

lifetime

Volume

$5.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-30 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 22% $-161

Other

6% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	2	$318	261	261	+0	No	$-15	05-08 09:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	2	$314	167	167	+0	No	+$16	05-10 02:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	1	$248	273	0	+273	No	+$25	05-07 23:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	1	$205	239	0	+239	No	+$33	05-07 09:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$185	207	0	+207	Down	$-185	05-10 07:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	1	$177	197	0	+197	No	+$20	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$166	186	0	+186	Up	+$21	05-10 03:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	1	$159	169	0	+169	No	+$10	05-05 20:08
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$156	171	0	+171	Up	+$15	05-05 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$125	150	0	+150	Down	+$26	05-09 06:59
bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	2	$107	61	61	+0	open	—	06-30 12:47
Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 8, 3AM ET?	4	$105	235	0	+235	Yes	$-105	05-08 06:56
bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	1	$57	58	0	+58	open	—	06-29 13:00
eth updown 15m 1769618700	4	$57	56	15	+41	open	—	01-28 17:02
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 28	1	$54	57	0	+57	open	—	06-28 22:31
will bitcoin reach 63k on june 27	1	$54	54	0	+54	open	—	06-27 18:18
btc updown 15m 1769364900	4	$53	58	55	+4	open	—	01-25 18:22
will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	1	$51	58	0	+58	open	—	06-30 16:46
will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 26	1	$51	54	0	+54	open	—	06-26 08:02
bitcoin above 60k on june 30 2026	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	06-30 12:49
eth updown 15m 1770501600	2	$49	26	26	+0	open	—	02-07 22:15
xrp up or down january 23 5pm et	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	01-23 23:07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 27?	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	04-28 02:56
eth updown 15m 1769629500	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	01-28 19:51
bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 15:33
bitcoin up or down january 23 10am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	01-23 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$37	55	0	+55	Up	+$18	05-08 09:48
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 19c	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 18:24
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 24	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	06-24 22:44
bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	1	$27	29	0	+29	open	—	06-24 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 16:46:47	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	BUY	58	88¢	$51	0x4e5ae8…
06-30 12:49:32	bitcoin above 60k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6573c0…
06-30 12:47:58	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0x303687…
06-30 07:16:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x6a8456…
06-29 13:00:53	bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x82570b…
06-28 22:31:14	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 28	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x874536…
06-27 18:18:46	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 27	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xb59685…
06-26 08:02:02	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 26	No	BUY	54	96¢	$51	0x9c82d5…
06-24 22:44:41	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 24	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x8ea71d…
06-24 12:37:59	bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	29	96¢	$27	0xb15c73…
06-23 21:12:22	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 23	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x571ead…
06-23 11:20:10	bitcoin above 64k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x37498b…
06-22 19:56:59	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x90becd…
06-22 08:57:34	bitcoin above 66k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xcbbf72…
06-21 06:49:20	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xdb60af…
06-19 08:45:44	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7638be…
06-18 19:21:44	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 18	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0xa008ff…
06-18 11:48:16	bitcoin above 66k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x3ea0c1…
06-16 12:14:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xe6cb44…
06-15 21:13:12	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 15	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x78ede9…
06-14 20:08:15	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 14	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x40410b…
06-12 15:33:39	bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xce5a99…
06-12 13:08:34	bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfa13e8…
06-11 19:13:01	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 11	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8cbbf3…
06-05 11:50:36	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x39684b…
06-05 11:03:55	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6a2069…
05-21 20:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8847b8…
05-21 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4bd533…
05-21 20:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc3205f…
05-21 19:50:47	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5	Under	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x568716…
05-21 18:21:54	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf6ad49…
05-20 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6187c3…
05-20 10:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e9be9…
05-20 10:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd58714…
05-20 09:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4cdbbd…
05-20 09:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc86dbc…
05-20 09:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xced234…
05-20 09:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ebcbe…
05-20 09:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaf3604…
05-20 09:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x905e59…
05-20 09:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x89b984…
05-20 09:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa670c1…
05-20 09:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc1d9b4…
05-20 08:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xebf999…
05-20 08:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x842b0c…
05-20 08:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe0b42b…
05-20 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x542cb9…
05-20 08:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf88ae…
05-20 08:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x79a8e6…
05-20 08:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb0bceb…
05-20 08:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9bc16f…
05-15 15:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4c894c…
05-15 15:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x997c44…
05-14 07:24:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x4bcf4b…
05-13 17:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcaba94…
05-13 12:26:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x5e187a…
05-12 19:41:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x224668…
05-12 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x9c0525…
05-12 08:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x569eeb…
05-10 07:46:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	207	89¢	$185	0x3597e0…
05-10 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	186	89¢	$166	0xc2098c…
05-10 02:50:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0x39b95c…
05-09 20:47:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xbef781…
05-09 20:47:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xcb410c…
05-09 20:31:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	167	89¢	$149	0x4abdfc…
05-09 06:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	150	83¢	$125	0x9c7e74…
05-08 19:50:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x34eb34…
05-08 19:50:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb360c1…
05-08 19:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xdcac71…
05-08 19:50:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0d3d5d…
05-08 19:49:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x950aaa…
05-08 19:49:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xfbe02c…
05-08 19:49:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0f278b…
05-08 19:49:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0xe964c3…
05-08 19:49:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x1e8267…
05-08 19:49:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	209	0¢	$1	0xf8f255…
05-08 19:49:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb2af57…
05-08 19:49:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x25efea…
05-08 19:49:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x1bfd14…
05-08 19:49:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x1e6c4b…
05-08 19:49:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xd881f2…
05-08 19:49:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x2904c0…
05-08 19:48:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x64dc4e…
05-08 19:48:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2bf82b…
05-08 19:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x59c2a7…
05-08 19:48:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xae6493…
05-08 19:30:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x88c3c5…
05-08 19:30:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xf40171…
05-08 19:30:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xc584da…
05-08 19:30:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc3a8ee…
05-08 19:30:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x017e93…
05-08 19:30:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 10?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xdc0890…
05-08 19:30:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x3fa9da…
05-08 19:30:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x2f2d93…
05-08 19:30:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 10?	No	BUY	277	0¢	$1	0x8a3598…
05-08 19:30:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 10?	No	BUY	179	1¢	$1	0xf36809…
05-08 19:19:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x617725…
05-08 19:19:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47ef98…
05-08 19:19:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfa04cc…
05-08 19:19:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0xda4e2d…