Fragrant-Guitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$367

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

921

Trades

1,632

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-30 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 56% -$303

Other

45% 63% -$66

Sports

0% 40% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	3	$437	387	261	+126	No	-$8	05-08 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?	2	$386	197	197	+0	No	+$8	05-03 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 2?	2	$374	194	194	+0	No	+$10	05-02 20:48
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 2?	2	$358	184	184	+0	No	+$8	05-02 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 2?	2	$340	175	175	+0	No	+$10	05-02 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 2?	2	$324	166	166	+0	No	+$8	05-02 02:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	2	$314	167	167	+0	No	+$16	05-10 02:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 1?	2	$304	159	159	+0	No	+$14	05-01 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 1?	2	$284	146	146	+0	No	+$8	05-01 04:24
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 4?	2	$265	155	155	+0	No	+$45	05-04 17:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	1	$248	273	0	+273	No	+$25	05-07 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on May 4?	1	$210	228	0	+228	No	+$18	05-03 22:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	1	$205	239	0	+239	No	+$33	05-07 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 3?	1	$196	210	0	+210	No	+$14	05-03 10:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$185	207	0	+207	Down	-$185	05-10 07:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	1	$177	197	0	+197	No	+$20	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$166	186	0	+186	Up	+$21	05-10 03:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	1	$159	169	0	+169	No	+$10	05-05 20:08
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$156	171	0	+171	Up	+$15	05-05 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$125	150	0	+150	Down	+$26	05-09 06:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	3	$123	120	96	+24	Yes	-$77	05-05 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 31?	2	$112	57	57	+0	No	+$2	05-31 23:30
will bitcoin reach 64k on july 5	6	$109	110	76	+34	No	-$53	07-06 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 31?	2	$108	56	56	+0	No	+$4	05-31 11:14
bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	2	$107	61	61	+0	Yes	-$7	06-30 12:47
Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 8, 3AM ET?	4	$105	235	0	+235	Yes	-$105	05-08 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 30?	2	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$3	05-30 21:12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 30?	2	$95	49	49	+0	No	+$3	05-30 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 29?	2	$90	47	47	+0	No	+$2	05-29 07:51
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	1	$64	65	0	+65	No	+$2	07-04 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 21:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc912d9…
08-30 21:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3c1b9c…
08-29 08:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	No	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x639926…
08-29 00:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0x28cc60…
08-29 00:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7d01ae…
08-29 00:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x545fe7…
08-29 00:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x369c53…
08-28 11:28:21	atp cretu kopp 2026 08 28 set handicap home 1pt5	Kopp	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x900e92…
08-28 06:27:51	itf vaissau coco 2026 08 28	Bosman Coco	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd21110…
08-28 02:07:31	itf vaissau coco 2026 08 28	Dune Vaissaud	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x8b1c49…
08-28 02:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc44ad2…
08-27 17:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x547072…
08-27 17:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x295133…
08-27 14:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	No	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x049d66…
08-27 14:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x51dd16…
08-27 14:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xac076c…
08-26 23:03:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xef9dc5…
08-26 22:58:00	mlb kc tor 2026 08 26 hr kazuma okamoto 0pt5	Under	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x0002e5…
08-26 22:55:34	mlb kc tor 2026 08 26 hr kazuma okamoto 0pt5	Under	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xeec4eb…
08-26 19:39:15	mlb chc ari 2026 08 26 hr pete crow armstrong 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xae3e5a…
08-26 19:38:16	mlb chc ari 2026 08 26 hr pete crow armstrong 0pt5	Under	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf88c1a…
08-26 03:59:07	itf webe huan 2026 08 26 set handicap away 1pt5	Huang	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa9ded6…
08-26 03:58:28	itf webe huan 2026 08 26 set handicap away 1pt5	Weber	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x500932…
08-26 01:08:43	mlb lad atl 2026 08 25 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0af87d…
08-26 01:04:43	mlb lad atl 2026 08 25 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xb42d27…
08-25 21:22:22	cs2 k271 sparta 2026 08 25	SPARTA	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb853c6…
08-25 19:49:58	cs2 k271 sparta 2026 08 25	K27	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa17c0d…
08-25 19:48:39	dota2 rearis spirit1 2026 08 25	RE.Arise	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe389f0…
08-25 19:00:57	dota2 rearis spirit1 2026 08 25	RE.Arise	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x095238…
08-25 19:00:43	dota2 rearis spirit1 2026 08 25	RE.Arise	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x666b32…
08-25 18:58:03	dota2 rearis spirit1 2026 08 25	Spirit Academy	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7ef566…
08-25 11:36:55	cs2 ra1 5s 2026 08 25	5star	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x2a3e18…
08-25 08:43:21	cs2 ra1 5s 2026 08 25	Rare Atom	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x1749c4…
08-25 00:14:13	LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs	Zeu5 Esports	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe6fef0…
08-25 00:14:09	LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs	Zeu5 Esports	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3d455f…
08-24 21:21:43	LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs	Fuego	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x95c5e6…
08-24 20:45:48	cs2 lph pg5 2026 08 24	LPH Gaming	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf19770…
08-24 17:26:04	cs2 lph pg5 2026 08 24	LPH Gaming	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x16f908…
08-24 13:53:18	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf2e65f…
08-24 13:46:04	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9c824d…
08-24 12:25:31	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x416056…
08-24 12:24:37	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2c93a5…
08-24 12:22:48	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1a169d…
08-24 12:11:00	atp brunold gavriel 2026 08 24	Mika Brunold	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcdf414…
08-24 11:37:55	atp brunold gavriel 2026 08 24	Liam Gavrielides	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x326138…
08-24 11:37:54	atp brunold gavriel 2026 08 24	Liam Gavrielides	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x9de026…
08-24 11:37:54	atp brunold gavriel 2026 08 24	Liam Gavrielides	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x65b090…
08-24 07:54:31	atp brunold gavriel 2026 08 24	Mika Brunold	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x513868…
08-24 07:50:07	atp brunold gavriel 2026 08 24	Mika Brunold	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6510ef…
08-24 06:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9958e1…
08-24 06:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x04a71d…
08-23 22:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x9fc4f5…
08-23 22:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xd09b18…
08-23 22:28:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x75fdc7…
08-23 15:04:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x9cdb0d…
08-23 13:11:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6611a1…
08-23 10:05:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x810182…
08-23 10:05:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa222dd…
08-22 22:40:24	wta pegula swiatek 2026 08 22 set handicap away 1pt5	Pegula	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3800b6…
08-22 20:03:36	wta pegula swiatek 2026 08 22	Iga Swiatek	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x010930…
08-22 20:03:00	wta pegula swiatek 2026 08 22	Jessica Pegula	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x04c2ca…
08-21 20:35:10	atp kopriva harri 2026 08 21	Vit Kopriva	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x9d876a…
08-21 20:33:27	atp kopriva harri 2026 08 21	Lloyd Harris	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x862ec5…
08-20 12:23:40	Exact Score: FC Bunyodkor 1 - 1 FK Kokand 1912?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x821c5b…
08-20 12:22:55	Exact Score: FC Bunyodkor 1 - 1 FK Kokand 1912?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0xc8cebf…
08-20 11:19:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?	No	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x6030bc…
08-20 09:08:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x7d25c8…
08-20 06:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xcfe63c…
08-20 06:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x3cd6c8…
08-20 06:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x7fa23d…
08-20 06:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1e9ca9…
08-19 23:34:39	Exact Score: Club Cerro Porteño 1 - 2 SE Palmeiras?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xfebb2d…
08-19 23:34:10	Exact Score: Club Cerro Porteño 1 - 2 SE Palmeiras?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xf595af…
08-19 22:50:01	Exact Score: Club Cerro Porteño 1 - 2 SE Palmeiras?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0x74977a…
08-19 16:51:16	Exact Score: PFK Mash AL Mubarek 0 - 3 FC Andijon?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x927e91…
08-19 15:59:57	Exact Score: PFK Mash AL Mubarek 0 - 3 FC Andijon?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x9ea602…
08-19 07:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x09afdf…
08-19 07:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x4461d2…
08-19 04:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcd4d5d…
08-18 21:39:55	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdcdd0e…
08-18 21:37:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xe673e9…
08-18 21:37:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x80ff34…
08-18 21:37:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x4492bf…
08-18 21:37:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x0a8077…
08-18 21:35:03	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6af07c…
08-18 21:31:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x802775…
08-18 21:31:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3927ef…
08-18 21:31:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x22f6be…
08-18 21:30:31	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xb870e8…
08-18 21:29:42	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x025ca2…
08-18 21:22:01	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x824823…
08-18 21:19:28	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4de6b2…
08-18 21:18:13	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xd9b3f1…
08-18 21:13:21	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb2c74f…
08-18 21:10:06	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xa3af2d…
08-18 21:10:06	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x86b98a…
08-18 21:03:07	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5623fa…
08-18 21:02:48	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x746198…
08-18 20:52:12	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xa1aa0f…
08-18 20:50:21	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x75508d…