Lively-Photography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

790

Trades

4,623

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-24 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 63% -$734

Other

3% 37% -$329

Sports

1% 67% -$120

Politics

0% 50% $0

Tech

0% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		-1	-$1	92¢	$-1	$0	07-05 14:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	91	$768	778	414	+364	Yes	-$102	05-23 10:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	80	$743	1,457	1,039	+417	No	-$14	05-29 15:16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	39	$621	627	317	+310	No	+$2	05-23 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	29	$532	335	284	+52	Up	+$30	05-21 13:00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	54	$484	654	514	+140	No	-$75	05-26 15:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	52	$427	430	403	+28	No	-$23	05-28 11:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	43	$233	382	0	+382	Yes	+$5	05-12 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	38	$232	376	0	+376	No	-$51	05-27 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	25	$226	415	224	+191	Down	+$33	05-21 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	25	$217	355	0	+355	Down	-$1	05-11 13:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	31	$201	316	0	+316	No	+$18	05-25 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	15	$195	123	107	+16	Up	+$14	05-01 13:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	53	$195	332	0	+332	Yes	-$50	05-28 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	16	$188	272	0	+272	Down	-$159	05-13 11:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	10	$187	109	94	+15	No	+$7	05-01 23:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	36	$180	269	100	+169	No	-$13	05-24 15:37
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$179	220	0	+220	Sean Strickland	-$179	05-10 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	29	$179	362	0	+362	Down	+$25	05-27 12:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	12	$175	110	76	+34	Yes	+$10	05-01 04:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	25	$172	117	73	+44	No	+$15	05-01 10:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	24	$169	397	0	+397	No	-$16	05-22 11:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	27	$167	278	0	+278	Yes	-$19	04-30 11:53
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	11	$167	103	77	+26	No	+$10	04-30 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	17	$165	358	0	+358	Down	+$22	05-26 14:54
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	22	$164	84	84	+0	No	+$2	05-01 23:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	9	$163	86	84	+2	Yes	+$4	05-03 13:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	10	$163	84	84	+0	No	+$3	04-29 23:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 30?	21	$160	83	83	+0	No	+$7	05-01 04:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	28	$157	258	0	+258	No	+$10	05-26 10:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?	9	$156	85	85	+0	No	+$4	05-01 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:43:27	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x64ff2d…
08-16 03:25:12	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x87f5cf…
07-11 18:05:31	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Nikita Krylov	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x34e291…
07-05 15:04:53	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1f6b86…
07-05 14:59:41	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0e832f…
07-05 14:59:34	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x0683c9…
07-05 14:59:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0xc36d55…
06-18 03:36:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdf97ef…
06-18 03:12:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x4bc07d…
06-18 03:00:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xf0965a…
06-18 02:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1c7913…
06-18 02:30:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x65e5f4…
06-18 02:28:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x055fe7…
06-18 02:28:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x30afa0…
06-18 02:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3ee42f…
06-18 02:28:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2c64ed…
06-18 02:28:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf6561a…
06-18 02:28:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe99886…
06-18 02:28:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf4515b…
06-18 02:28:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc482b0…
06-18 02:28:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ec876…
06-18 02:20:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x818f61…
06-18 02:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xd54d25…
06-18 02:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe1ebb8…
06-18 02:11:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x37143a…
06-18 02:06:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x886c5a…
06-18 02:06:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xd20393…
06-18 02:01:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xa8b647…
06-18 02:01:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x15344a…
06-18 02:01:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x038f8e…
06-18 01:58:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x807ddc…
06-18 01:56:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x66dbed…
06-18 01:30:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x16083b…
06-18 01:30:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa50e5d…
06-18 01:30:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x9ec757…
06-18 00:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x85ae6c…
06-17 06:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe1c6e9…
06-17 06:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x06901c…
06-17 05:36:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x42833d…
06-17 05:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa6481e…
06-17 05:20:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd6e017…
06-17 05:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x16d027…
06-17 05:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcf8f4d…
06-17 04:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x81d6f4…
06-17 04:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc723e1…
06-17 04:31:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x61b45d…
06-17 03:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x331260…
06-17 03:50:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	530	1¢	$5	0x0779a1…
06-17 03:50:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x24fa80…
06-17 01:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc14cd6…
06-17 01:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x085557…
06-17 01:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7a53f6…
06-16 08:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x0c5a28…
06-16 08:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x8826a7…
06-16 08:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	280	1¢	$3	0x4b892f…
06-16 07:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xb750bc…
06-16 07:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x42ac5d…
06-16 07:57:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x75a6e0…
06-16 07:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9dc261…
06-16 07:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	176	1¢	$2	0x23b572…
06-16 07:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5c258f…
06-16 07:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xaf8fb5…
06-16 07:41:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc2204b…
06-16 07:37:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0c5b9c…
06-16 06:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc6f109…
06-16 06:32:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8668b1…
06-16 06:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8c7c04…
06-16 06:14:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xadbf90…
06-16 06:13:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x589178…
06-16 06:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x556e32…
06-16 06:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x48ac5b…
06-16 06:10:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20eb5c…
06-16 06:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0f2c7e…
06-16 06:08:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8f1fa6…
06-16 06:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdc1de8…
06-16 06:07:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x37a8c9…
06-16 06:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x380414…
06-16 06:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x115086…
06-16 06:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc56044…
06-16 06:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5617a9…
06-16 05:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xaf3ec1…
06-16 02:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x21d5e9…
06-16 02:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xa99543…
06-16 01:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	370	1¢	$4	0x63e44f…
06-16 01:55:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x18d784…
06-16 01:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	370	1¢	$4	0xa691dd…
06-16 01:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	176	1¢	$2	0x4c3cc6…
06-16 01:40:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x3dacb9…
06-16 01:38:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x169ab8…
06-16 00:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	849	1¢	$8	0xdbe59d…
06-16 00:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	861	1¢	$9	0xadb5a0…
06-16 00:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x86cbbb…
06-15 06:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x22ef2b…
06-15 06:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x26e649…
06-15 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfb0850…
06-15 06:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb645f0…
06-15 05:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x5a289e…
06-15 04:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	174	1¢	$2	0x8e064c…
06-15 04:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf3cf93…
06-15 04:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x229f8d…