Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,847
Trades
259
Unique wallets
82
Liquidity
$1,873
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-11 12:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+66.3¢
(top1%: 92% YES on $97
vs crowd: 26% YES on $3.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $76 | $321 | $244 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $339 | $241 | +$98 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $142 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $313 | $168 | +$145 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $89 | $7 | +$82 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $251 | $192 | +$59 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $16 | $43 | $26 |
| Median | 8 | $36 | $195 | $158 |
| Below median | 10 | $85 | $26 | +$59 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $35 | $29 | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $35 | $109 | $74 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 41 | $322 | $1.9K | $1.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +1,616 | $1,283 | $1,713 | 30 | 07-11 12:56 |
| Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | +867 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 07-09 00:29 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +346 | $84 | $84 | 19 | 07-05 09:21 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +237 | $176 | $176 | 14 | 07-10 20:41 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +211 | $50 | $78 | 10 | 07-07 20:07 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +207 | $166 | $166 | 4 | 07-01 07:21 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | +206 | $77 | $77 | 4 | 06-15 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdd4…4cf8 | Yes | +181 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-10 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x210c…7625 | Yes | +158 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-10 01:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x82b8…1b3b | Yes | +148 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-22 11:06 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +142 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-11 08:29 |
| Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | +140 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 07-09 00:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +136 | $81 | $124 | 11 | 07-01 07:21 |
| Wide-Councilman-Republican 0xcc82…6f90 | Yes | +132 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-09 08:20 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +125 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 06-25 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a61…19a4 | No | +118 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 07-02 12:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +106 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 06-11 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5603…7a24 | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-11 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | +82 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-09 00:29 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Walkway 0x1f2a…1e03 | Yes | +63 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-28 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | Yes | +61 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-09 00:28 |
| Oily-Dock 0x9f76…fb8a | Yes | +60 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-03 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +60 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-05 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5a3…5b70 | Yes | +54 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-09 00:29 |
| Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-01 07:21 |
| Flustered-Dictaphone 0xf0cf…5acc | Yes | +31 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 19:09 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-09 00:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 07-07 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd787…7c12 | Yes | +26 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-25 04:59 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-07 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 07-02 12:31 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2dd…be11 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-29 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c46…87a0 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 00:44 |
| Stable-Entry 0x9a75…02d3 | Yes | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-22 21:58 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | +12 | $-1 | $55 | 2 | 06-11 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f5a…f31d | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-09 00:29 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-16 19:51 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 09:46 |
| Inexperienced-Combat 0x0981…5b7f | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-29 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-09 08:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-09 00:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-05 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xadb5…4d50 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-09 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +5 | $5 | $38 | 5 | 07-07 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +4 | $3 | $5 | 2 | 07-10 09:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | No | +4 | $4 | $31 | 3 | 06-25 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +3 | $1 | $10 | 3 | 06-15 00:07 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +2 | $1 | $22 | 3 | 05-30 01:53 |
| Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 21:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 12:56:26 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xe799b5… |
| 07-11 12:56:26 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xe799b5… |
| 07-11 07:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xc38a8c… |
| 07-11 07:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x5603…7a24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xc38a8c… |
| 07-11 06:19:53 | Sorrowful-Sustenance 0x65ce…fd65 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x746365… |
| 07-11 06:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x746365… |
| 07-10 20:41:41 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xc1fcdc… |
| 07-10 20:41:41 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 36 | 81¢ | $29 | 0xc1fcdc… |
| 07-10 20:41:41 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0xc1fcdc… |
| 07-10 20:41:41 | (anonymous) 0xcdd4…4cf8 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 19¢ | $35 | 0xc1fcdc… |
| 07-10 09:47:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe72b51… |
| 07-10 09:47:49 | Sorrowful-Sustenance 0x65ce…fd65 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe72b51… |
| 07-10 01:41:23 | (anonymous) 0x210c…7625 | Yes | BUY | 158 | 19¢ | $30 | 0xd964b9… |
| 07-10 01:41:23 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 158 | 81¢ | $128 | 0xd964b9… |
| 07-09 11:04:10 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x560b10… |
| 07-09 11:04:10 | (anonymous) 0x5367…6aa5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x560b10… |
| 07-09 08:20:55 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x6b9ef0… |
| 07-09 08:20:55 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 127 | 81¢ | $103 | 0x6b9ef0… |
| 07-09 08:20:55 | Wide-Councilman-Republican 0xcc82…6f90 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 19¢ | $25 | 0x6b9ef0… |
| 07-09 00:43:55 | (anonymous) 0xadb5…4d50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x911f28… |
| 07-09 00:43:55 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x911f28… |
| 07-09 00:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x7b2286… |
| 07-09 00:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 26 | 81¢ | $21 | 0x3156f4… |
| 07-09 00:29:13 | (anonymous) 0xd5a3…5b70 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x3156f4… |
| 07-09 00:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x7b2286… |
| 07-09 00:29:08 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | BUY | 312 | 18¢ | $56 | 0x387eae… |
| 07-09 00:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x13e21e… |
| 07-09 00:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x3f5a…f31d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x13e21e… |
| 07-09 00:29:08 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | BUY | 51 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x607d65… |
| 07-09 00:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 312 | 82¢ | $256 | 0x387eae… |
| 07-09 00:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 51 | 81¢ | $41 | 0x607d65… |
| 07-09 00:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xea104b… |
| 07-09 00:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 52 | 82¢ | $43 | 0xea104b… |
| 07-09 00:28:46 | (anonymous) 0xd5a3…5b70 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x903455… |
| 07-09 00:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 28 | 82¢ | $23 | 0x903455… |
| 07-09 00:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf0fed2… |
| 07-09 00:28:44 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 48 | 82¢ | $40 | 0xb9bf0e… |
| 07-09 00:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 41 | 82¢ | $34 | 0xb9bf0e… |
| 07-09 00:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x3f5a…f31d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xf0fed2… |
| 07-09 00:28:44 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | BUY | 89 | 18¢ | $16 | 0xb9bf0e… |
| 07-09 00:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 61 | 82¢ | $50 | 0x55db5f… |
| 07-09 00:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | Yes | BUY | 61 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x55db5f… |
| 07-09 00:28:43 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xefb9a0… |
| 07-09 00:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xefb9a0… |
| 07-09 00:28:43 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | BUY | 555 | 17¢ | $94 | 0xefb9a0… |
| 07-09 00:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xefb9a0… |
| 07-09 00:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xefb9a0… |
| 07-09 00:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 500 | 83¢ | $415 | 0xefb9a0… |
| 07-09 00:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xefb9a0… |
| 07-07 20:07:37 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x4e9c60… |
| 07-07 20:07:37 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x4e9c60… |
| 07-07 20:07:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xcf6085… |
| 07-07 20:07:35 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xcf6085… |
| 07-07 15:58:59 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x92f71d… |
| 07-07 15:58:59 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf45222… |
| 07-07 15:58:59 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xf45222… |
| 07-07 15:58:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x92f71d… |
| 07-07 15:58:55 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2cacad… |
| 07-07 15:58:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x2cacad… |
| 07-07 15:58:53 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x44cef5… |
| 07-07 15:58:53 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x44cef5… |
| 07-07 15:58:53 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x44cef5… |
| 07-07 15:58:53 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x44cef5… |
| 07-05 14:59:34 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x0683c9… |
| 07-05 14:59:34 | Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x0683c9… |
| 07-05 09:21:19 | Identical-Sage 0x42df…b671 | Yes | SELL | 350 | 11¢ | $40 | 0x1b3f45… |
| 07-05 09:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | SELL | 242 | 89¢ | $215 | 0x1b3f45… |
| 07-05 09:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1b3f45… |
| 07-05 09:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1b3f45… |
| 07-05 09:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x1b3f45… |
| 07-05 09:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1b3f45… |
| 07-05 09:21:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1b3f45… |
| 07-03 00:21:37 | Oily-Dock 0x9f76…fb8a | Yes | BUY | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x931772… |
| 07-03 00:21:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x931772… |
| 07-02 17:48:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x3f23a8… |
| 07-02 17:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x3f23a8… |
| 07-02 12:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x7a61…19a4 | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0x8b5028… |
| 07-02 12:31:38 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x8b5028… |
| 07-02 12:31:38 | Rotten-Cub 0xda74…0ecd | No | SELL | 17 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x8b5028… |
| 07-02 12:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8b5028… |
| 07-02 12:31:38 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8b5028… |
| 07-02 10:55:22 | Rotten-Cub 0xda74…0ecd | No | SELL | 60 | 84¢ | $50 | 0xc3e964… |
| 07-02 10:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x7a61…19a4 | No | BUY | 60 | 84¢ | $50 | 0xc3e964… |
| 07-02 00:48:28 | Rotten-Cub 0xda74…0ecd | No | SELL | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0x0e630d… |
| 07-02 00:48:28 | Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x0e630d… |
| 07-01 07:21:10 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x830a0f… |
| 07-01 07:21:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x830a0f… |
| 07-01 07:21:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xb64e17… |
| 07-01 07:21:05 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb64e17… |
| 07-01 07:21:05 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xb64e17… |
| 07-01 07:21:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 28 | 79¢ | $22 | 0x488723… |
| 07-01 07:21:01 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x488723… |
| 07-01 07:21:01 | Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x488723… |
| 07-01 07:21:01 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 73 | 80¢ | $58 | 0x488723… |
| 07-01 07:21:01 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x488723… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 36 | 75¢ | $27 | 0x982d9a… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | No | SELL | 36 | 75¢ | $27 | 0x982d9a… |
| 07-01 00:46:29 | Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xe9538a… |
| 07-01 00:46:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xe9538a… |
| 07-01 00:46:29 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | No | BUY | 36 | 79¢ | $29 | 0xe9538a… |