Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

216

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$250

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-07

last 10-29 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

49% 65% -$15

Sports

31% 62% -$2

Crypto

10% 62% -$3

Politics

7% 44% -$8

Tech

2% 75% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	+1	$1	52¢	$1	$0	09-24 18:13
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	Yes	+2	$1	22¢	$0	-$1	09-24 23:58
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	+2	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	10-06 00:08
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+7	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	06-24 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:30 UTC	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	06-07 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:55 UTC	3	$4	6	3	+3	Down	$0	06-07 00:57
will the announcers say fan 10 times during the switzerland vs algeria fifa world cup match 20260701163844358	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	07-03 05:02
will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	-$3	06-24 01:04
will the announcers say qatar or russia during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113098	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	07-05 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:35 UTC	3	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	06-07 05:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	06-07 05:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:30 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	06-07 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	06-23 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	06-08 00:25
will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646404	2	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	06-24 01:18
will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	06-27 23:25
Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	-$2	08-24 19:03
will the match not air 20260706213736134	2	$1	120	120	+0	No	-$1	07-07 17:41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$4	08-23 16:21
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-18 15:32
will pepsico say fiscal 5 times during earnings call 20260703193548729	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	07-09 02:56
will pepsico say dividend during earnings call 20260703193548733	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	07-09 03:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-06 00:08
Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the 49ers vs Rams game?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-10 01:27
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-24 18:15
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	09-24 23:58
Will Tesla say "Gigafactory" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-19 16:24
will docusign say billing during earnings call	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	08-31 21:42
Will the announcers say "Contract" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-08 01:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-12 17:53
will tsmc say shortage during earnings call october 15	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	10-14 16:05
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.83% in September?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-12 17:55
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-15 16:32
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-27 23:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:44:58	Will Amazon say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2c29e3…
10-27 17:00:24	Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5271b2…
10-26 18:30:47	Will Google say "Debt" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6c7c94…
10-26 18:29:27	Will Google say "Chrome" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1720ff…
10-24 01:54:23	will coca cola say zero sugar during earnings call october 27	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xca8367…
10-24 01:51:54	Will Verizon say "5G" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb0da9c…
10-24 01:51:26	will verizon say verizon one during earnings call october 26	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc156fb…
10-20 00:29:15	will procter gamble say toothpaste during earnings call october 22	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4bdd30…
10-20 00:20:12	will procter gamble say competition during earnings call october 22	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7f6848…
10-19 16:24:53	Will Tesla say "Gigafactory" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4db069…
10-19 16:22:33	Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0a9455…
10-19 16:20:51	Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc661a6…
10-19 16:20:09	Will Netflix say "NFL" / "Football" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6241d5…
10-17 22:07:47	will netflix say membership during earnings call october 20	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x039b23…
10-17 22:07:08	will netflix say hollywood during earnings call october 20	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa0e387…
10-14 16:06:51	will general motors say oil during earnings call october 20	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xca3e2b…
10-14 16:05:09	will tsmc say shortage during earnings call october 15	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x069a69…
10-12 18:11:47	Will JPMorgan say "Money" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x066980…
10-11 17:06:31	Will JPMorgan say "Leverage" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa1f829…
10-11 17:05:00	Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x27b4c6…
10-09 16:00:44	will dominos say fantastic during earnings call october 13	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd6c936…
10-09 16:00:08	will dominos say delivery 5 times during earnings call october 13	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1c1e9f…
10-06 00:08:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x42cbe0…
10-03 16:50:26	will constellation brands say wine 5 times during earnings call october 7	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x509896…
10-01 15:28:50	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x57ba9f…
09-29 00:32:08	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeaf364…
09-29 00:31:44	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8336d4…
09-24 23:58:29	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x22e5b9…
09-24 18:16:09	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4dcee9…
09-24 18:15:36	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7bc2e1…
09-24 18:14:57	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x70f0fd…
09-24 18:14:23	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt3 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5b8e7d…
09-24 18:13:29	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x19ac16…
09-20 18:16:04	Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7c4eb3…
09-20 18:11:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf8b61b…
09-20 18:09:54	Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xded4bf…
09-18 15:34:40	Will Costco say "Holiday" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf01f71…
09-18 15:32:13	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x02a4b4…
09-18 15:31:39	Will Costco say "Revenue" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x71b234…
09-18 15:30:49	Will General Mills say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd6f5ff…
09-18 15:29:15	Will AutoZone say "Used Car" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x02c72c…
09-18 15:27:30	Will AutoZone say "Pricing" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd7763c…
09-17 01:54:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc8267a…
09-15 16:32:36	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf9c9c6…
09-12 18:05:10	Will the announcers say "Trade" or "Traded" during the Cowboys vs Giants game?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeb1f35…
09-12 18:03:13	Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Cowboys vs Giants game?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa89cf1…
09-12 17:58:27	Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb25e0c…
09-12 17:56:58	Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x344f1e…
09-12 17:56:34	Will the announcers say "Trade" or "Traded" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa92173…
09-12 17:55:12	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.83% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb5d058…
09-12 17:53:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x608717…
09-11 15:48:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.78% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf996e6…
09-10 16:49:37	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.67% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1ff9bc…
09-10 16:45:28	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2159e7…
09-10 01:27:21	Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the 49ers vs Rams game?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8b9289…
09-09 16:56:21	Will Oracle say "Payment" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x11d9fc…
09-09 16:54:31	Will Oracle say "Pipeline" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8ec499…
09-08 01:59:16	Will the announcers say "Tie Game" or "Tied Game" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0acc91…
09-08 01:56:49	Will the announcers say "Contract" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfb2cd9…
09-08 01:56:04	Will the announcers say "Trade" or "Traded" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8ac6a5…
09-08 01:54:42	Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x54b88d…
09-03 21:00:40	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa344da…
09-03 20:59:07	Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x258e58…
09-03 20:58:30	Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x457d07…
09-02 17:23:09	Will Trump say "Sucker" in September?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa5403e…
08-31 21:45:31	will docusign say insurance during earnings call	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9fcfe5…
08-31 21:43:15	will docusign say deliver during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc4f24c…
08-31 21:42:16	will docusign say billing during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x20b47f…
08-31 21:39:34	will lululemon say design during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x256ddc…
08-31 21:34:13	will lululemon say outerwear during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x06c157…
08-28 15:51:21	will trump say who are you with where are you from in september 20260930	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5fd2cd…
08-27 16:18:10	will trump say john deere in september 20260930	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5b8a71…
08-27 16:14:58	will trump say walmart in september 20260930	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf1b9bf…
08-27 16:14:21	will trump say boeing in september 20260930	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8dcba4…
08-27 16:12:58	will trump say predict prediction in september 20260930	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xed0f8e…
08-27 02:24:03	will best buy say gaming during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc83c85…
08-27 02:18:36	will dell say nvidia during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x20f9d3…
08-27 02:17:55	will dell say confidence during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdce156…
08-25 00:13:30	will trump say mission during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe346ff…
08-25 00:07:07	will zoom say workplace during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfc9d88…
08-24 19:19:37	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5e3114…
08-24 19:05:16	Will Nvidia say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4aeb16…
08-24 19:03:24	Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc13d2f…
08-24 18:58:33	will best buy say mobile during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6e12d4…
08-24 18:55:18	will best buy say international during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3012b6…
08-23 16:29:22	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x714427…
08-23 16:28:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc53eca…
08-23 16:23:45	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x87762f…
08-23 16:21:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x12f408…
08-23 16:19:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x724615…
08-22 16:30:19	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x20759a…
08-22 16:22:49	will nvidia say dividend during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbcaeb2…
08-22 16:19:55	will nvidia say gaming during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x930338…
08-18 17:57:01	will target say revenue during earnings call 20260819	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x49419a…
08-18 17:54:24	will walmart say automation during earnings call 20260820	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3c720f…
08-18 17:53:52	will walmart say tariff during earnings call 20260820	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9bb64a…
08-18 17:53:18	will walmart say million or billion 8 times during earnings call 20260820	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x76df12…
08-17 17:17:45	will home depot say revenue during earnings call	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe685ba…
08-17 17:17:21	will home depot say lumber during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbb6cd1…
08-17 17:17:00	will home depot say weather during earnings call	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa195c5…