Thunderous-Acid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,751

lifetime

Volume

$99.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

74% 85% +$1,171

Tech

11% — —

Politics

10% 50% +$36

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$8.4K	13,000	400	+12,600	open	—	06-12 16:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	15	$6.4K	8,922	0	+8,922	open	—	04-21 12:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	11	$6.4K	7,109	0	+7,109	open	—	04-28 14:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	6	$5.6K	3,117	2,910	+206	open	—	04-17 12:25
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	12	$4.9K	2,424	2,685	-262	open	—	05-15 14:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	43	$4.9K	5,813	1,548	+4,265	open	—	05-26 10:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	23	$4.8K	5,694	0	+5,694	open	—	05-18 12:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	44	$4.3K	6,858	100	+6,758	open	—	05-26 11:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	56	$3.9K	8,561	1,426	+7,135	open	—	05-25 16:50
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	41	$3.7K	4,930	0	+4,930	open	—	06-18 06:11
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	57	$3.6K	7,619	0	+7,619	open	—	06-16 16:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	27	$2.5K	3,853	0	+3,853	open	—	04-22 07:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	38	$2.4K	5,231	0	+5,231	open	—	04-18 08:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	27	$2.3K	4,998	0	+4,998	open	—	04-17 16:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	8	$2.0K	1,800	1,475	+325	open	—	06-12 16:04
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	61	$1.8K	3,559	200	+3,359	open	—	06-14 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$1.2K	1,423	0	+1,423	open	—	04-25 15:47
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	34	$1.2K	4,546	0	+4,546	open	—	06-15 07:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	18	$1.2K	1,635	810	+825	open	—	04-29 12:48
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc womens skiathlon frida karlsson swe	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	02-07 18:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	30	$949	2,957	0	+2,957	open	—	05-21 17:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	6	$949	555	555	+0	open	—	01-11 19:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	29	$898	1,321	0	+1,321	open	—	03-30 05:44
will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	17	$823	2,450	0	+2,450	open	—	06-20 11:35
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	44	$815	2,158	22	+2,136	open	—	06-23 19:19
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	10	$715	738	0	+738	open	—	03-04 09:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	18	$708	1,400	100	+1,300	open	—	05-29 04:49
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	8	$678	1,300	38	+1,262	Yes	+$550	05-11 15:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$669	870	0	+870	open	—	06-14 05:49
Nothing Ever Happens: May	7	$663	370	370	+0	open	—	06-01 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:47:40	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x9bc822…
08-11 11:10:03	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x1a826d…
08-09 16:08:58	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0x022aaa…
08-08 22:56:51	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xee2bf0…
08-08 22:17:04	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xed1aa8…
08-08 19:46:49	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x40b0a3…
08-08 19:45:36	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$9	0x6cca97…
08-06 13:35:27	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xa0f900…
08-06 13:35:27	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x2f9dfe…
08-06 12:00:47	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe57cbb…
08-06 11:53:08	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x750fd9…
08-06 11:51:56	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x9a9c13…
08-06 11:43:23	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xd8134a…
08-06 11:35:35	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x1c6927…
08-06 11:20:41	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x5f4545…
08-05 02:27:06	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0xab8179…
08-04 22:00:14	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0xc30aaf…
08-04 21:58:45	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x02d2cd…
08-04 21:58:36	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0a7adb…
08-04 21:57:24	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x67f484…
08-04 20:11:44	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xd36400…
08-04 20:08:47	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x8cb650…
08-04 15:57:32	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xca8797…
08-04 12:35:27	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xcaffa8…
08-04 00:30:39	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe106e5…
08-03 14:11:59	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x37b53c…
08-03 13:34:53	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xaf6646…
08-03 12:03:03	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe37380…
08-03 09:52:30	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xc38a6c…
08-03 09:33:20	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	87	40¢	$35	0xab2149…
08-03 09:13:38	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xe95432…
08-03 09:03:33	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x701cd8…
08-03 08:54:50	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x5fc825…
08-03 08:21:54	will spy reach 760 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xc3081b…
08-03 08:02:11	will spy reach 770 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xf3a191…
08-02 05:54:50	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x755784…
07-29 18:40:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	71¢	$84	0x7145bb…
07-25 17:05:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0xbdaabc…
07-24 08:31:03	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x2f29c4…
07-19 17:52:58	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x542a8c…
07-19 17:46:04	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x445dcf…
07-19 16:37:16	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	84	9¢	$8	0x99dd90…
07-19 15:40:51	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	105	9¢	$10	0x4f0306…
07-17 12:03:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x68f2e7…
07-17 08:30:22	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x01aa07…
07-15 12:38:38	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xaa5ec9…
07-15 11:19:29	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0559be…
07-15 09:20:55	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0x22bc50…
07-12 10:46:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x332645…
07-11 17:10:19	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x6d1aab…
07-11 09:15:17	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x5c934e…
07-11 07:42:17	will spy reach 790 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x620cc2…
07-11 06:08:17	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd6a6a7…
07-11 02:40:40	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb03e96…
07-11 00:04:01	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x9cb505…
07-10 21:04:58	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	79	7¢	$5	0xa44500…
07-10 21:01:20	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xfa301f…
07-10 20:02:32	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x8be7df…
07-10 19:04:31	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd48853…
07-10 19:03:44	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	199	6¢	$12	0x84bd5f…
07-10 18:50:31	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xd87749…
07-10 18:44:41	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xd75752…
07-10 18:35:05	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x78a9d9…
07-10 18:31:08	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x043cdf…
07-10 18:27:56	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x550299…
07-10 16:45:14	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x34b4e1…
07-10 16:16:29	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	91	9¢	$8	0x372932…
07-10 15:48:04	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xafb195…
07-10 15:21:44	will spy reach 790 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	96	4¢	$4	0x4f8610…
07-10 14:51:13	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x913a29…
07-10 13:56:16	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa576ce…
07-10 13:37:37	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb445cf…
07-10 12:14:01	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x23b1f5…
07-10 11:30:19	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x21a466…
07-10 09:43:58	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x0f8ada…
07-09 07:00:52	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0x4f44f1…
07-09 01:52:04	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	91	15¢	$13	0x9d86cb…
07-08 20:08:07	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	102	8¢	$8	0x364d02…
07-08 19:57:50	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x7824f6…
07-08 12:49:25	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x2f0295…
07-08 01:56:52	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x7a3d0c…
07-07 08:48:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xbfa895…
07-06 12:53:22	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7aa784…
07-06 10:42:02	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x7e3404…
07-06 10:38:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x08c465…
07-06 00:46:52	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1e4b38…
07-06 00:38:38	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xadb816…
07-05 22:10:55	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xedf283…
07-05 21:00:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	90	21¢	$19	0x1ca8ba…
07-05 20:50:26	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x551d8d…
07-05 20:50:25	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xbd2a3a…
07-05 20:23:20	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3b496b…
07-05 17:31:31	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x33c145…
07-05 13:41:44	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x50c0ed…
07-04 09:20:14	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4009f9…
06-23 19:40:11	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb610f0…
06-23 19:19:19	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x7df403…
06-23 11:47:59	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xd4dea2…
06-23 02:53:16	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x3daaed…
06-22 20:58:59	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x925ced…